I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last six years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .715 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last six seasons, a value of .335 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	History
Ben Martin	0.615
Jonathan Byrd	0.506
Nate Lashley	0.468
Alex Smalley	0.452
Tyler Duncan	0.417
Joel Dahmen	0.417
Jhonattan Vegas	0.410
Rafael Campos	0.408

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Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Alex Noren	55	927.1
Billy Horschel	70	722.1
Mark Hubbard	72	721.3
Ben Griffin	75	700.1
Nicolai Hojgaard	78	693.2
KH Lee	79	691.9
Sam Ryder	80	685.8
Aaron Rai	81	683.6

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Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player	Rank	Rating
Scottie Scheffler	1	2987.7
Xander Schauffele	2	2376.8
Rory McIlroy	3	2183.9
Patrick Cantlay	4	2051.4

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Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Alex Noren	1380.8
Matthias Schmid	905.7
Mac Meissner	653.3
Max Greyserman	580.7
Ben Martin	510.9
Nate Lashley	479.4
Joe Highsmith	338.5
Billy Horschel	337.1

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Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Matt Kuchar	-606.3
Alex Smalley	-549.7
Taylor Pendrith	-524.5
Justin Suh	-484.6
Chesson Hadley	-473.0
Hayden Buckley	-439.8
Michael Kim	-439.2
Brandon Wu	-426.2

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Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the Puntacana Resort and Club Corales course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last six years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.23	Greens in regulation
0.18	Scrambling
0.16	Driving distance
0.06	Putts per GIR

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Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Alex Noren	70.43
Billy Horschel	70.86
Thriston Lawrence	70.95
Max Greyserman	71.00
Aaron Rai	71.00
Alex Fitzpatrick	71.02
Victor Perez	71.02
Joseph Bramlett	71.05

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Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Ben Taylor	72.8
Scott Gutschewski	72.7
Alex Smalley	72.6
Raul Pereda	72.6
David Lipsky	72.6
Paul Barjon	72.6
Callum Tarren	72.6
Justin Suh	72.4

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Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2024 and Punta Cana, Dominican Republic, the event venue.

Player	Residence	Distance
Kevin Tway	Jupiter, FL	950
Richy Werenski	Jupiter, FL	950
Adam Long	Jupiter, FL	950
Daniel Berger	Jupiter, FL	950
Taylor Pendrith	Palm Beach Gardens, FL	950
Jim Herman	Palm City, FL	950
Hayden Buckley	Naples FL	1000
Ben Kohles	Ponte Vedra Beach, FL	1150
Tyler Duncan	Ponte Vedra Beach, FL	1150
Tyson Alexander	Jacksonville Beach, FL	1150
Russell Knox	Ponte Vedra Beach, FL	1150
Lanto Griffin	Ponte Vedra Beach, FL	1150
Billy Horschel	Ponte Vedra Beach, FL	1150
Adrien Dumont de Chassart	Ponte Vedra Beach, FL	1150
Nico Echavarria	Ponte Vedra Beach, FL	1150

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Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.372
I love this place	0.177
Ooh, that’s hot	0.141
Location, location, location	0.051