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PGA Championship Power Ratings

May 12, 2025 Thomas Hawley Uncategorized

Dates: May 15-18, 2025. Venue: Quail Hollow Club, Charlotte NC.
Purse: $18.8 million (2024)

Scottie Scheffler

Pick	Player	Power Number	Observed Odds	Course fit
1	Scottie Scheffler	-20.0	13-1	72.1
2	Rory McIlroy	6.7	25-1	71.8
3	Xander Schauffele	9.5	25-1	73.3
4	Russell Henley	16.1	35-1	72.8
5	Justin Thomas	17.5	35-1	72.9
6	Patrick Cantlay	18.4	35-1	72.4
7	Collin Morikawa	18.5	35-1	72.2
8	Corey Conners	21.4	40-1	72.3
9	Tommy Fleetwood	22.1	40-1	72.5
10	Sepp Straka	27.0	50-1	72.5
11	Shane Lowry	27.1	50-1	72.5
12	Jon Rahm	28.7	55-1
13	Maverick McNealy	30.5	60-1	72.6
14	Bryson DeChambeau	30.6	60-1
15	Sungjae Im	30.8	60-1	72.3
16	Jason Day	31.1	60-1	72.8
17	Alex Noren	32.5	65-1
18	Andrew Novak	33.1	65-1	72.5
19	Daniel Berger	34.7	70-1	72.4
20	Jordan Spieth	34.7	70-1	72.6
21	Viktor Hovland	35.0	70-1	72.7
22	Sam Burns	35.3	75-1	72.7
23	Denny McCarthy	36.0	75-1	73
24	Hideki Matsuyama	36.2	75-1	72.7
25	Tom Hoge	36.3	75-1	73.4
26	Brian Harman	36.9	80-1	72.8
27	Bud Cauley	37.8	85-1	72.5
28	Ludvig Aberg	37.8	85-1	72.2
29	Keegan Bradley	38.3	85-1	72.4
30	Mackenzie Hughes	39.0	90-1	73
31	Si Woo Kim	39.7	90-1	72.4
32	Wyndham Clark	40.4	95-1	72.7
33	Lucas Glover	40.8	100-1	72.5
34	Tyrrell Hatton	41.4	100-1
35	JT Poston	42.4	100-1	72.7
36	Keith Mitchell	42.4	100-1	72
37	Harris English	43.1	100-1	72.7
38	Eric Cole	43.3	100-1	73.2
39	Ben Griffin	43.4	100-1	72.7
40	Davis Thompson	43.4	100-1	72.2
41	Tony Finau	43.9	100-1	72.5
42	Min Woo Lee	44.0	100-1	72.6
43	Aaron Rai	44.1	100-1	72.3
44	JJ Spaun	44.1	100-1	72.6
45	Stephan Jaeger	44.1	100-1	73.1
46	Byeong Hun An	45.1	100-1	72.2
47	Cameron Smith	45.6	100-1
48	Taylor Pendrith	45.6	100-1	72
49	Michael Kim	46.0	100-1	72.6
50	Akshay Bhatia	46.5	100-1	72.8
51	Jake Knapp	48.1	150-1	73
52	Joaquin Niemann	49.2	150-1
53	Dean Burmester	49.5	150-1
54	Nick Taylor	50.0	150-1	72.8
55	Sergio Garcia	50.2	150-1
56	Adam Scott	50.5	150-1	72.8
57	Richard Bland	50.5	150-1
58	Jacob Bridgeman	51.2	150-1	72.7
59	Thomas Detry	51.5	150-1	72.5
60	Max Greyserman	51.7	200-1	73.1
61	Robert MacIntyre	51.8	200-1	72.1
62	Sahith Theegala	52.0	200-1	72.9
63	Lee Hodges	52.2	200-1	72.7
64	Taylor Moore	52.6	200-1	72.2
65	David Puig	52.8	200-1
66	Ryo Hisatsune	52.9	200-1	72.6
67	Brooks Koepka	53.1	200-1
68	Ryan Gerard	53.3	200-1	72.7
69	Harry Hall	53.3	200-1	73
70	Patrick Rodgers	53.7	200-1	72.8
71	Cam Davis	54.1	200-1	73.5
72	Michael Thorbjornsen	54.2	200-1	72.6
73	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	54.2	200-1	73.5
74	Rasmus Hojgaard	55.0	250-1	72.9
75	Justin Rose	55.0	250-1	72.8
76	Cameron Young	55.3	250-1	72.6
77	Alex Smalley	55.4	250-1	72.2
78	Sam Stevens	55.7	250-1	72.5
79	Nicolai Hojgaard	55.7	250-1	72.9
80	Kurt Kitayama	56.0	250-1	72.2
81	Adam Hadwin	56.9	300-1	73
82	Will Zalatoris	56.9	300-1	72.7
83	Kevin Yu	57.4	300-1	72.2
84	Sami Valimaki	57.5	300-1	73.1
85	Chris Kirk	57.8	300-1	72.6
86	Seamus Power	57.8	300-1	72.8
87	Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen	57.9	300-1	72.1
88	Matt Fitzpatrick	57.9	300-1	72.5
89	Erik van Rooyen	58.1	300-1	72.7
90	Tom Kim	58.3	350-1	72.9
91	Gary Woodland	58.4	350-1	72.5
92	Matt Kuchar	58.4	350-1	73
93	Nico Echavarria	58.6	350-1	73.2
94	Thorbjorn Olesen	59.3	350-1	72.3
95	Vince Whaley	59.5	400-1	72.8
96	Dustin Johnson	59.7	400-1
97	Victor Perez	59.7	400-1	72.5
98	Patrick Fishburn	59.8	400-1	72.7
99	Doug Ghim	59.9	400-1	72.6
100	Max Homa	60.0	400-1	73
101	Beau Hossler	60.4	400-1	73.5
102	Rico Hoey	60.5	400-1	72
103	Justin Lower	60.6	400-1	73
104	Austin Eckroat	61.6	500-1	72.5
105	Patrick Reed	62.1	500-1	72.9
106	Matt McCarty	62.1	500-1	72.8
107	Rickie Fowler	62.5	500-1	72.7
108	Nick Dunlap	62.9	500-1	74.8
109	Karl Vilips	63.1	500-1	73.4
110	Matt Wallace	63.8	600-1	73
111	Phil Mickelson	64.0	600-1
112	Tom McKibbin	64.5	600-1	72
113	Joe Highsmith	64.7	600-1	72.7
114	Jhonattan Vegas	64.9	600-1	72.7
115	Eugenio Chacarra	65.1	600-1	72.5
116	Niklas Norgaard	65.3	800-1	72.1
117	Davis Riley	65.3	800-1	73.7
118	Garrick Higgo	65.8	800-1
119	Johnny Keefer	65.9	800-1
120	Max McGreevy	65.9	800-1	72.4
121	Martin Kaymer	66.4	800-1
122	Takumi Kanaya	67.8	1000-1	72.4
123	Carson Young	68.0	1000-1	72.3
124	John Catlin	68.5	1000-1
125	Matthieu Pavon	68.6	1000-1	72.8
126	David Lipsky	68.7	1000-1	73.3
127	Laurie Canter	69.1	1000-1	71.6
128	Brian Campbell	69.4	1000-1	73.7
129	Keita Nakajima	69.5	1000-1	72.1
130	Daniel van Tonder	71.8	2000-1
131	John Parry	72.4	2000-1	72.7
132	Padraig Harrington	72.4	2000-1
133	Marco Penge	72.5	2000-1	72.3
134	Patton Kizzire	72.5	2000-1	73.1
135	Elvis Smylie	72.7	2000-1	72.9
136	Luke Donald	73.4	2000-1
137	Jimmy Walker	73.8	2000-1
138	Tom Johnson	75.3	2000-1
139	Jason Dufner	76.1	2000-1
140	Michael Block	76.1	2000-1
141	Vijay Singh	76.2	2000-1
142	Greg Koch	76.2	2000-1
143	Thriston Lawrence	76.6	2000-1	72.9
144	Brian Bergstol	77.5	2000-1
145	Brandon Bingaman	77.5	2000-1
146	Andre Chi	77.5	2000-1
147	Tyler Collet	77.5	2000-1
148	Jesse Droemer	77.5	2000-1
149	Bobby Gates	77.5	2000-1
150	Larkin Gross	77.5	2000-1
151	Justin Hicks	77.5	2000-1
152	Nic Ishee	77.5	2000-1
153	Michael Kartrude	77.5	2000-1
154	Ryan Lenahan	77.5	2000-1
155	Shaun Micheel	77.5	2000-1
156	Dylan Newman	77.5	2000-1
157	John Somers	77.5	2000-1
158	Bob Sowards	77.5	2000-1
159	Eric Steger	77.5	2000-1
160	Rupe Taylor	77.5	2000-1
161	Timothy Wiseman	77.5	2000-1
162	Rafael Campos	78.4	2000-1	73.8
More \| Less

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

A look at the PGA Championship

May 12, 2025 Thomas Hawley Analytics

I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .605 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .270 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	History
Justin Rose	0.818
Shane Lowry	0.735
Brooks Koepka	0.717
Rory McIlroy	0.705
Xander Schauffele	0.686
Scottie Scheffler	0.619
Viktor Hovland	0.601
Collin Morikawa	0.591

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Scottie Scheffler	1	3232.1
Rory McIlroy	2	2662.5
Xander Schauffele	3	2442.0
Collin Morikawa	4	2226.8
Patrick Cantlay	5	2009.9
Justin Thomas	6	1974.7
Tommy Fleetwood	7	1967.8
Russell Henley	8	1933.8

Tom Hawley’s Player Ratings (May 11, 2025)

May 12, 2025 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Scottie Scheffler has one victory in 2025 and exactly two years at no. 1.

#	Thru May 4, 2025	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Scottie Scheffler	43	3232	1
2	Rory McIlroy	48	2663	2
3	Xander Schauffele	42	2442	3
4	Collin Morikawa	46	2227	4
5	Patrick Cantlay	41	2010	6
6	Justin Thomas	45	1975	8
7	Tommy Fleetwood	51	1968	7
8	Russell Henley	44	1934	5
9	Corey Conners	50	1810	10
10	Shane Lowry	52	1794	11
11	Ludvig Aberg	49	1713	9
12	Sepp Straka	58	1653	13
13	Hideki Matsuyama	46	1609	12
14	Bryson DeChambeau	36	1498	14
15	Sungjae Im	56	1489	15
16	Jon Rahm	39	1465	16
17	Sam Burns	49	1417	19
18	Jason Day	42	1401	21
19	Viktor Hovland	41	1392	17
20	Maverick McNealy	45	1385	18
21	Denny McCarthy	47	1378	20
22	Keegan Bradley	46	1373	22
23	Tony Finau	47	1361	26
24	Luke Clanton	13	1308	24
25	Alex Noren	39	1307	23
26	Si Woo Kim	53	1277	32
27	Wyndham Clark	49	1267	25
28	Brian Harman	53	1266	27
29	Daniel Berger	40	1265	36
30	Jordan Spieth	43	1264	28
31	JT Poston	53	1262	31
32	Tyrrell Hatton	48	1241	30
33	Aaron Rai	58	1226	34
34	Tom Hoge	61	1223	29
35	Harris English	47	1214	42
36	Adam Scott	46	1208	33
37	Andrew Novak	56	1187	41
38	Byeong Hun An	50	1171	37
39	Min Woo Lee	50	1167	35
40	Akshay Bhatia	58	1148	39
41	JJ Spaun	54	1137	44
42	Lucas Glover	54	1132	38
43	Stephan Jaeger	53	1121	50
44	Taylor Pendrith	55	1121	40
45	Billy Horschel	54	1116	43
46	Mackenzie Hughes	54	1094	48
47	Eric Cole	67	1088	45
48	Davis Thompson	52	1077	49
49	Bud Cauley	28	1064	46
50	Sahith Theegala	58	1038	47
51	Keith Mitchell	52	1026	63
52	Joaquin Niemann	44	1023	52
53	Robert MacIntyre	65	1021	55
54	Thomas Detry	57	1011	56
55	Cameron Young	50	1005	67
56	Ben Griffin	65	1002	54
57	Michael Kim	56	988	53
58	Justin Rose	47	979	51
59	Nick Taylor	53	978	62
60	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	57	950	60
61	Max Greyserman	55	949	58
62	Jake Knapp	52	942	61
63	Will Zalatoris	34	938	57
64	Cam Davis	52	927	59
65	Patrick Rodgers	58	915	64
66	Taylor Moore	51	904	66
67	Matt Fitzpatrick	51	903	71
68	Jacob Bridgeman	57	893	80
69	Max Homa	48	891	68
70	Tom Kim	55	889	65
71	Patrick Reed	46	875	70
72	Cameron Smith	39	850	72
73	Lee Hodges	52	843	69
74	Dean Burmester	44	818	74
75	Sergio Garcia	36	815	75
76	Rasmus Hojgaard	54	812	79
77	Kurt Kitayama	44	810	73
78	Sam Stevens	62	803	83
79	Brooks Koepka	37	775	76
80	Seamus Power	48	770	78
81	Chris Kirk	47	767	82
82	Austin Eckroat	54	766	77
83	Adam Hadwin	49	752	81
84	Kevin Yu	55	749	90
85	Beau Hossler	55	741	84
86	Alex Smalley	57	736	92
87	Sebastian Munoz	35	728	86
88	Erik van Rooyen	58	718	91
89	Ryo Hisatsune	65	718	87
90	Richard Bland	34	711	88
91	Andrew Putnam	53	705	85
92	Nicolai Hojgaard	57	702	93
93	Lucas Herbert	43	699	89
94	Mark Hubbard	63	697	103
95	Rickie Fowler	48	696	113
96	Harry Hall	56	685	98
97	Carlos Ortiz	36	685	96
98	Victor Perez	53	683	106
99	Nico Echavarria	57	680	99
100	Abraham Ancer	34	678	100
101	Marc Leishman	32	676	101
102	Paul Casey	31	675	102
103	Sam Ryder	57	665	110
104	David Puig	49	665	105
105	Doug Ghim	55	662	97
106	Nick Dunlap	39	662	95
107	Michael Thorbjornsen	29	661	94
108	Louis Oosthuizen	38	655	108
109	Matt Kuchar	48	652	109
110	Gary Woodland	44	650	111
111	Cameron Tringale	31	648	104
112	Ryan Fox	56	647	122
113	Emiliano Grillo	51	646	112
114	Thorbjorn Olesen	57	642	120
115	Adam Schenk	59	633	107
116	Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen	25	620	115
117	Talor Gooch	33	619	116
118	Brendon Todd	46	612	119
119	Henrik Norlander	57	603	114
120	Sami Valimaki	56	600	132
121	Charles Howell	24	598	124
122	Chandler Phillips	55	595	118
123	Ryan Gerard	56	595	123
124	Joe Highsmith	52	591	117
125	Jhonattan Vegas	36	591	125
126	Patrick Fishburn	57	590	121
127	Charl Schwartzel	40	581	129
128	Tom McKibbin	55	581	128
129	Matthieu Pavon	60	579	127
130	Rico Hoey	60	576	135
131	Matti Schmid	67	570	136
132	Justin Lower	61	570	126
133	Charley Hoffman	50	566	131
134	Vince Whaley	30	557	130
135	Dustin Johnson	36	553	134
136	Chan Kim	58	550	133
137	Zach Johnson	38	532	138
138	Bubba Watson	31	525	140
139	Joel Dahmen	58	518	137
140	Thomas Pieters	38	517	141
141	Matt Wallace	61	517	142
142	Hayden Springer	42	507	139
143	Kevin Na	29	506	144
144	Chad Ramey	58	502	143
145	Mac Meissner	53	485	145
146	Niklas Norgaard	56	485	163
147	Adam Svensson	62	479	146
148	Harold Varner	33	476	148
149	Greyson Sigg	56	472	147
150	Anirban Lahiri	39	470	150
151	Adrian Meronk	50	465	151
152	Nate Lashley	53	465	152
153	Alejandro Tosti	58	465	149
154	KH Lee	55	464	153
155	Matthew Jordan	53	457	156
156	Carson Young	56	452	175
157	Dylan Wu	53	451	155
158	Matt McCarty	58	451	159
159	Antoine Rozner	56	450	158
160	Davis Riley	53	450	154
161	Laurie Canter	41	446	160
162	Karl Vilips	21	445	161
163	Jordan Smith	54	444	165
164	Brice Garnett	45	442	164
165	Sam Horsfield	26	439	162
166	Jesper Svensson	41	436	157
167	Danny Walker	51	435	167
168	Phil Mickelson	34	432	170
169	CT Pan	41	431	169
170	Isaiah Salinda	51	430	172
171	Matthew Wolff	29	429	174
172	Chris Gotterup	59	428	180
173	Max McGreevy	61	426	168
174	Kelly Kraft	30	426	173
175	Jason Kokrak	33	424	176
176	Caleb Surratt	30	419	166
177	Matteo Manassero	44	416	171
178	Martin Couvra	14	415	197
179	Luke List	56	406	177
180	Brendan Steele	31	404	179
181	Ben Silverman	49	402	184
182	Garrick Higgo	52	393	178
183	Trey Mullinax	29	387	182
184	Scott Stallings	21	384	185
185	Wesley Bryan	31	381	183
186	Eugenio Chacarra	40	374	188
187	Peter Uihlein	44	374	181
188	Vincent Whaley	26	373	186
189	Shaun Norris	24	372	191
190	Alexander Bjork	38	369	192
191	Will Gordon	44	369	195
192	Trace Crowe	54	368	203
193	Graeme McDowell	33	367	196
194	Ewen Ferguson	54	366	189
195	Stewart Cink	27	366	193
196	Webb Simpson	27	365	194
197	Romain Langasque	59	364	187
198	Kramer Hickok	16	364	199
199	Ricky Castillo	52	363	201
200	Keita Nakajima	39	363	198
201	Jorge Campillo	65	360	208
202	David Lipsky	58	359	190
203	Haotong Li	47	358	216
204	Neal Shipley	21	355	205
205	Taylor Montgomery	45	350	200
206	Kevin Roy	56	350	202
207	Brandon Robinson Thompson	22	348	225
208	Sebastian Soderberg	46	342	206
209	Thriston Lawrence	60	342	207
210	Matt Jones	37	341	209
211	Zac Blair	49	340	204
212	Ben Kohles	57	339	211
213	Daniel Hillier	52	336	210
214	Ryan Moore	42	334	212
215	Sam Bairstow	45	332	221
216	Branden Grace	39	331	215
217	Henrik Stenson	31	329	213
218	Chesson Hadley	46	327	228
219	Ben Campbell	28	327	218
220	Luis Masaveu	15	326	219
221	Joost Luiten	53	325	226
222	Joseph Bramlett	46	323	244
223	Robby Shelton	52	321	214
224	Guido Migliozzi	53	319	223
225	Julien Guerrier	51	316	217
226	Richard Mansell	54	316	230
227	Patton Kizzire	54	313	239
228	Alex Fitzpatrick	51	311	227
229	Kevin Streelman	41	310	224
230	Adrien Saddier	51	309	220
231	Johnny Keefer	12	307	229
232	Pierceson Coody	53	305	231
233	Johannes Veerman	52	304	222
234	SH Kim	58	301	232
235	Ben Martin	40	301	234
236	Jinichiro Kozuma	32	300	236
237	Takumi Kanaya	39	292	238
238	Martin Kaymer	34	292	240
239	Lanto Griffin	53	291	233
240	Jacob Skov Olesen	13	290	263
241	Will Chandler	25	289	256
242	Ian Poulter	30	289	241
243	Frankie Capan	55	288	235
244	Ugo Coussaud	43	288	237
245	Danny Lee	36	288	246
246	Niklas Lemke	17	287	262
247	Brian Campbell	53	286	261
248	Matthew NeSmith	44	283	245
249	David Skinns	52	281	242
250	Brandon Stone	41	280	248
251	Steven Fisk	52	278	279
252	Yannik Paul	55	277	243
253	Hayden Buckley	51	276	290
254	Connor Syme	55	275	247
255	Andy Ogletree	32	274	250
256	Jayden Schaper	47	273	252
257	Danny Willett	32	271	257
258	David Micheluzzi	38	271	251
259	Martin Laird	46	267	254
260	Carl Yuan	51	264	259
261	Quade Cummins	57	263	270
262	Kevin Tway	48	261	255
263	Nathan Kimsey	24	260	249
264	Frederic LaCroix	39	255	267
265	Max Schmitt	8	254	266
266	Joe Dean	22	254	253
267	Francesco Laporta	39	253	258
268	Alejandro Del Rey	53	253	260
269	Hennie du Plessis	22	252	264
270	Daniel Brown	52	249	271
271	Justin Suh	52	248	265
272	Cameron Champ	52	243	269
273	Paul Waring	53	241	268
274	Kensei Hirata	33	238	276
275	Yuta Sugiura	17	237	296
276	Jimmy Stanger	31	237	284
277	Andy Sullivan	60	236	273
278	Rikuya Hoshino	55	235	274
279	Bernd Wiesberger	41	233	285
280	Aldrich Potgieter	46	232	275
281	Lee Westwood	28	231	289
282	Taylor Dickson	54	231	293
283	John Parry	33	231	287
284	Elvis Smylie	14	231	286
285	Peter Malnati	60	230	278
286	Fabrizio Zanotti	45	230	288
287	Mito Pereira	34	230	272
288	Estanislao Goya	16	230	291
289	Tyler Duncan	52	228	277
290	Troy Merritt	55	226	280
291	Aaron Baddeley	48	224	283
292	Jacques Kruyswijk	32	221	282
293	John Catlin	49	221	292
294	Tapio Pulkkanen	31	221	281
295	Shubhankar Sharma	52	220	299
296	Sean Crocker	53	215	295
297	Adrien Dumont de Chassart	52	215	297
298	Kris Ventura	53	215	301
299	Jeff Winther	51	215	294
300	Brandon Wu	54	214	298
301	Nacho Elvira	55	214	325
302	Jason Scrivener	51	214	305
303	Marcus Armitage	52	212	300
304	Adrian Otaegui	59	212	302
305	Chieh-po Lee	28	212	308
306	Pablo Larrazabal	45	211	307
307	Rafael Campos	60	210	311
308	Jeremy Paul	56	210	304
309	Andrea Pavan	44	210	309
310	Richie Ramsay	49	208	310
311	Harry Higgs	53	207	392
312	Zander Lombard	41	206	303
313	Marcel Siem	47	204	312
314	Nick Hardy	61	204	306
315	William Mouw	49	204	335
316	Gregorio De Leo	8	203
317	Kevin Chappell	40	203	317
318	Yu-bin Jang	12	202	314
319	Todd Clements	53	202	322
320	Scott Jamieson	50	200	320
321	Andrew Johnston	15	199	321
322	Camilo Villegas	57	196	315
323	Vincent Norrman	46	195	319
324	Kristoffer Reitan	16	195	327
325	Yuto Katsuragawa	40	195	313
326	Calum Hill	53	194	316
327	Kieran Vincent	39	193	330
328	Scott Vincent	37	192	318
329	Marcel Schneider	55	192	323
330	Padraig Harrington	27	191	329
331	Ding Wenyi	12	190	332
332	Austin Smotherman	54	188	333
333	Martin Trainer	43	187	336
334	Andrew Wilson	40	187	347
335	Taiga Semikawa	26	184	324
336	Robin Williams	28	184	371
337	Ivan Cantero Gutierrez	43	183	331
338	Grant Forrest	50	183	328
339	Blades Brown	10	178	368
340	Oliver Lindell	13	178	399
341	Dan Bradbury	55	176	337
342	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	51	175	342
343	Jackson Suber	52	174	338
344	Ben Schmidt	10	173	326
345	Marcus Kinhult	49	173	366
346	Peter Kuest	47	173	340
347	Dan Erickson	11	171	415
348	Marcus Helligkilde	25	170	346
349	Kazuma Kobori	25	170	339
350	Tom Vaillant	36	170	349
351	Ricardo Gouveia	45	168	341
352	Shimizu Taisei	15	167	334
353	Gavin Green	57	167	351
354	Paul Peterson	59	166	348
355	Mk Kim	9	165	357
356	Chez Reavie	49	164	343
357	Darius van Driel	53	164	358
358	Richard T Lee	17	164	344
359	Callum Tarren	55	164	345
360	Casey Jarvis	50	163	350
361	Pat Perez	26	163	354
362	Tyson Alexander	56	162	359
363	Mike Lorenzo-Vera	32	160	362
364	Matthew Southgate	57	160	394
365	Marco Penge	40	159	352
366	Ryosuke Kinoshita	19	158	365
367	David Lingmerth	15	157	356
368	Ratchanon Chantananuwat	9	156	367
369	Brandt Snedeker	47	156	360
370	Edoardo Molinari	49	155	380
371	Travis Smyth	26	155	370
372	Angel Ayora	22	155	355
373	Aaron Cockerill	54	153	364
374	Callum Shinkwin	41	153	361
375	Shugo Imahira	17	153	400
376	Norman Xiong	41	153	424
377	Seung-taek Lee	22	151	376
378	Benjamin Hebert	12	150	353
379	Kalle Samooja	39	149	379
380	Alistair Docherty	51	149	372
381	Nick Bachem	42	149	377
382	Ryan McCormick	54	148	382
383	Brett White	8	147	374
384	Nicholas Lindheim	25	147	378
385	Dylan Naidoo	15	145	363
386	David Law	46	144	386
387	Young-han Song	23	144	427
388	Andreas Halvorsen	8	144
389	Jens Dantorp	56	142	381
390	Kevin Velo	53	141	387
391	Lukas Nemecz	45	141	383
392	Maximilian Kieffer	52	141	385
393	Angel Hidalgo	56	141	390
394	Matt NeSmith	11	141	369
395	Scott Piercy	46	140	384
396	Austin Cook	50	140	389
397	Tom Whitney	51	138	397
398	Ren Yonezawa	13	138	375
399	Dylan Frittelli	57	137	393
400	Max Rottluff	34	136	391
More \| Less

Truist Championship Power Ratings

May 5, 2025 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Dates: May 8-11, 2025. Venue: Philadelphia Cricket Club (Wissahickon); Flourtown PA.
Purse: $20 million

Rory McIlroy

Pick	Player	Power Number	Actual Finish
1	Rory McIlroy	3.4	7
2	Xander Schauffele	7.8	11
3	Russell Henley	15.0	46
4	Collin Morikawa	17.5	17
5	Justin Thomas	20.0	2
6	Patrick Cantlay	22.4	4
7	Corey Conners	23.2	11
8	Tommy Fleetwood	27.1	4
9	Shane Lowry	29.0	2
10	Alex Noren	30.9	51
11	Jason Day	31.1	DNP
12	Sepp Straka	31.1	1
13	Maverick McNealy	31.6	60
14	Sungjae Im	34.1	23
15	Denny McCarthy	35.3	46
16	Viktor Hovland	35.5	54
17	Jordan Spieth	36.5	34
18	Brian Harman	36.8	46
19	Sam Burns	37.2	30
20	Tom Hoge	37.5	63
21	Andrew Novak	37.6	17
22	Ludvig Aberg	37.7	60
23	Hideki Matsuyama	38.3	17
24	Daniel Berger	38.6	11
25	Wyndham Clark	38.7	63
26	Keegan Bradley	39.7	30
27	Bud Cauley	40.3	DNP
28	Lucas Glover	41.6	66
29	Si Woo Kim	43.0	17
30	JT Poston	44.5	23
31	Mac Hughes	44.7	DNP
32	Ben Griffin	45.0	46
33	Min Woo Lee	45.1	51
34	Keith Mitchell	45.3	7
35	Harris English	45.4	11
36	Byeong Hun An	45.5	34
37	Eric Cole	45.9	34
38	Davis Thompson	46.1	23
39	Taylor Pendrith	46.4	65
40	Tony Finau	46.8	15
41	Aaron Rai	47.0	23
42	Michael Kim	47.6	WD
43	JJ Spaun	47.8	17
44	Akshay Bhatia	48.0	46
45	Stephan Jaeger	50.3	7
46	Jake Knapp	50.7	DNP
47	Adam Scott	52.2	34
48	Sahith Theegala	53.8	WD
49	Nick Taylor	53.8	17
50	Max Greyserman	53.9	54
51	Michael Thorbjornsen	54.0	54
52	Thomas Detry	54.0	30
53	Robert MacIntyre	54.2	34
54	Patrick Rodgers	55.6	42
55	Cam Davis	56.3	54
56	Ryan Gerard	56.3	42
57	Will Zalatoris	56.6	54
58	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	56.8	42
59	Jacob Bridgeman	57.0	4
60	Rasmus Hojgaard	57.7	23
61	Sam Stevens	58.7	23
62	Justin Rose	58.7	WD
63	Adam Hadwin	58.7	60
64	Chris Kirk	59.2	42
65	Erik van Rooyen	60.5	34
66	Gary Woodland	60.6	34
67	Max Homa	60.7	30
68	Cameron Young	60.9	7
69	Matt Fitzpatrick	61.1	23
70	Nico Echavarria	61.2	DNP
71	Karl Vilips	63.5	DNP
72	Austin Eckroat	63.6	51
73	Garrick Higgo	65.3	68
74	Rickie Fowler	65.9	15
75	Nick Dunlap	65.9	69
76	Joe Highsmith	66.6	66
77	Jhonattan Vegas	67.5	DNP
78	Danny Walker	67.9	DNP
79	Matthieu Pavon	71.3	54
80	Brian Campbell	74.1	34
More \| Less

A look at the Truist Championship

May 5, 2025 Thomas Hawley Analytics

I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event (formerly the Wells Fargo). The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .590 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .270 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	History
Rory McIlroy	0.856
Max Homa	0.730
Xander Schauffele	0.626
Corey Conners	0.614
Rickie Fowler	0.603
Keegan Bradley	0.574
Jason Day	0.559
Denny McCarthy	0.542

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Rory McIlroy	2	2626.2
Xander Schauffele	3	2389.2
Collin Morikawa	4	2203.0
Russell Henley	5	1991.4
Patrick Cantlay	6	1913.6
Tommy Fleetwood	7	1882.3
Justin Thomas	8	1844.5
Ludvig Aberg	9	1763.7

ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classic Power Ratings

May 5, 2025 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Dates: May 8-11, 2025. Venue: Dune Golf and Beach Club, Myrtle Beach C.
Purse: $4 million

Mackenzie Hughes

Pick	Player	Power Number	Actual Finish
1	Mackenzie Hughes	45.2	2
2	Ryo Hisatsune	51.5	37
3	Lee Hodges	52.7	80
4	Taylor Moore	54.1	25
5	Harry Hall	55.6	20
6	Patrick Rodgers	56.5	DNP
7	Henrik Norlander	56.6	89
8	Nicolai Hojgaard	57.7	DNP
9	Tom Kim	59.4	54
10	Andrew Putnam	59.8	61
11	Chan Kim	59.8	110
12	Chad Ramey	59.8	45
13	Chandler Phillips	60.0	89
14	Kevin Yu	60.1	4
15	Alex Smalley	60.4	5
16	Sami Valimaki	60.5	7
17	Seamus Power	61.2	34
18	Nico Echavarria	61.3	DNP
19	Alejandro Tosti	61.7	54
20	Doug Ghim	62.0	52
21	Patrick Fishburn	62.0	119
22	Dylan Wu	62.0	45
23	Victor Perez	62.2	13
24	Vince Whaley	62.5	37
25	Adam Schenk	62.9	110
26	Joel Dahmen	63.0	110
27	Justin Lower	63.1	70
28	Mark Hubbard	63.4	7
29	Hayden Springer	63.4	65
30	Beau Hossler	63.5	116
31	Sam Ryder	63.8	13
32	Emiliano Grillo	64.6	20
33	Matti Schmid	64.6	7
34	Thorbjorn Olesen	64.9	7
35	Rico Hoey	65.1	7
36	Jesper Svensson	65.5	61
37	Chris Gotterup	66.0	13
38	Ryan Fox	66.0	1
39	Trace Crowe	66.5	27
40	Danny Walker	66.5	34
41	Webb Simpson	66.6	DNP
42	Robby Shelton	66.7	101
43	Zac Blair	66.8	110
44	Kevin Roy	67.2	54
45	Davis Riley	67.4	80
46	Max McGreevy	67.8	45
47	Matteo Manassero	67.8	61
48	Pierceson Coody	67.8	DNP
49	Greyson Sigg	68.0	70
50	Adam Svensson	68.0	59
51	Paul Waring	68.1	101
52	Ricky Castillo	68.3	37
53	Antoine Rozner	68.5	34
54	Brice Garnett	68.9	31
55	Joseph Bramlett	69.3	13
56	Carl Yuan	69.5	DNP
57	Niklas Norgaard	69.7	5
58	Kevin Tway	69.7	129
59	Cameron Champ	69.8	101
60	Luke List	69.9	67
61	Troy Merritt	70.5	101
62	Mac Meissner	70.5	101
63	Alistair Docherty	70.6	110
64	Takumi Kanaya	70.7	45
65	Tyler Duncan	70.8	89
66	Carson Young	71.1	13
67	Taylor Montgomery	71.3	116
68	David Lipsky	71.4	80
69	Quade Cummins	71.7	27
70	Ben Kohles	71.9	37
71	Kevin Chappell	72.0	DNP
72	Jeremy Paul	72.2	128
73	Blades Brown	72.8	37
74	Chez Reavie	72.9	89
75	Davis Shore	73.1	13
76	Steven Fisk	73.1	13
77	Matt NeSmith	73.5	70
78	Austin Cook	73.6	132
79	Bill Haas	73.7	66
80	Scott Piercy	73.7	129
81	Trent Phillips	73.8	31
82	Ben Silverman	74.0	20
83	Evan Harmeling	74.1	101
84	Frankie Capan	74.1	70
85	Lanto Griffin	74.2	80
86	James Hahn	74.3	89
87	Rikuya Hoshino	74.5	80
88	Norman Xiong	74.6	25
89	David Skinns	74.8	70
90	Scott Gutschewski	75.0	89
91	Kris Ventura	75.0	119
92	Francesco Molinari	75.0	59
93	Dillon Board	75.2	124
94	Brandt Snedeker	75.2	116
95	Nick Watney	75.3	45
96	Taylor Dickson	75.4	37
97	Paul Peterson	75.5	89
98	Aaron Wise	75.5	89
99	Adrien Dumont de Chassart	75.5	110
100	William Mouw	75.8	27
101	Michael Feuerstein	76.2	69
102	Patton Kizzire	76.8	20
103	George McNeill	76.8	89
104	Jonathan Byrd	76.8	70
105	Camilo Villegas	76.9	89
106	Nick Hardy	77.2	119
107	Cody Gribble	77.2	DNP
108	Tommy Gainey	77.2	DNP
109	Hayden Buckley	77.2	7
110	Kevin Kisner	77.5	70
111	Jackson Byrd	77.5	54
112	Preston Cole	77.5	131
113	Aldrich Potgieter	77.5	80
114	Anders Albertson	77.7	64
115	Will Chandler	77.8	27
116	Jackson Suber	77.8	119
117	Thomas Rosenmueller	77.9	80
118	Kevin Velo	78.0	70
119	Thriston Lawrence	78.4	70
120	Braden Thornberry	78.7	70
121	Aaron Baddeley	78.8	119
122	Theo Humphrey	79.1	45
123	Noah Goodwin	79.4	89
124	Peter Malnati	79.8	80
125	Kaito Onishi	80.3	124
126	Harry Higgs	80.5	2
127	Tim Widing	80.6	52
128	John Pak	81.1	89
129	Rafael Campos	81.3	45
130	Mason Andersen	82.0	37
131	Matthew Riedel	82.1	101
132	Cristobal Del Solar	82.1	31
133	Trevor Cone	82.5	80
134	Ryan Palmer	83.1	124
135	Philip Knowles	83.8	101
	Chesson Hadley	late entry	23
	Nathan Franks	late entry	44
	Austin Duncan	late entry	57
	George Duangmanee	late entry	67
	Zach Reuland	late entry	108
	Randall Hudson	late entry	127
More \| Less

May 12, 2025. The accuracy number for these picks is 109. The average is 179. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

A look at the ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classic

May 5, 2025 Thomas Hawley Analytics

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Tom Kim	60	950.8
Taylor Moore	63	938.4
Lee Hodges	66	912.5
Patrick Rodgers	69	882.9
Seamus Power	75	806.4
Beau Hossler	76	796.7
Ryo Hisatsune	83	744.2
Nicolai Hojgaard	84	723.4

Launch and apex (May 4, 2025)

May 5, 2025 Thomas Hawley Launch and apex

Andrew Novak is at a career-high no. 41 and in his second week in the Hawley Ratings top 50. Novak, 30, from South Carolina, has three very strong finishes in a row, after winning the Zurich with teammate Ben Griffin a week ago, losing to Justin Thomas in a playoff in the Heritage a week earlier, and finishing third in the Valero Texas the first weekend in April.

Chris Gotterup, a 25-year-old with background in Oklahoma and New Jersey, makes his first appearance in the Hawley Ratings top 200 this week at no. 180 after his 15th-place finish in the CJ Cup Nelson last weekend. Gotterup has been up and down in 2025, his second year on the Tour. He has five top-20s, including the last three in a row, in 15 appearances this season. Also he’s missed six cuts. He’s from New Jersey and attended Rutgers. He transferred to the University of Oklahoma in 2021, where he won the 2022 Haskins Award and Jack Nicklaus Award as the top college golfer.

Tom Hawley’s Player Ratings (May 4, 2025)

May 5, 2025 Thomas Hawley Ratings

Scottie Scheffler has his first victory of 2025 and 103 straight weeks at no. 1.

#	Thru May 4, 2025	Events	Hawley Rating	Previous Week
1	Scottie Scheffler	44	3234	1
2	Rory McIlroy	48	2624	2
3	Xander Schauffele	42	2397	3
4	Collin Morikawa	46	2210	4
5	Russell Henley	44	1992	5
6	Patrick Cantlay	41	1912	6
7	Tommy Fleetwood	51	1881	7
8	Justin Thomas	45	1850	8
9	Ludvig Aberg	48	1772	9
10	Corey Conners	50	1759	10
11	Shane Lowry	52	1690	11
12	Hideki Matsuyama	46	1572	12
13	Sepp Straka	58	1551	13
14	Bryson DeChambeau	37	1501	16
15	Sungjae Im	56	1472	14
16	Jon Rahm	40	1465	17
17	Viktor Hovland	41	1460	15
18	Maverick McNealy	45	1426	18
19	Sam Burns	49	1418	23
20	Denny McCarthy	47	1418	19
21	Jason Day	43	1396	20
22	Keegan Bradley	46	1378	21
23	Alex Noren	39	1357	22
24	Luke Clanton	13	1310	25
25	Wyndham Clark	49	1308	24
26	Tony Finau	47	1303	27
27	Brian Harman	53	1292	26
28	Jordan Spieth	43	1275	38
29	Tom Hoge	61	1252	30
30	Tyrrell Hatton	49	1249	28
31	JT Poston	53	1243	29
32	Si Woo Kim	53	1233	34
33	Adam Scott	46	1215	32
34	Aaron Rai	57	1206	33
35	Min Woo Lee	50	1203	35
36	Daniel Berger	39	1192	36
37	Byeong Hun An	49	1177	31
38	Lucas Glover	53	1174	39
39	Akshay Bhatia	57	1167	40
40	Taylor Pendrith	55	1154	37
41	Andrew Novak	55	1139	42
42	Harris English	47	1135	41
43	Billy Horschel	55	1109	43
44	JJ Spaun	54	1095	44
45	Eric Cole	67	1094	50
46	Bud Cauley	28	1067	46
47	Sahith Theegala	58	1064	48
48	Mac Hughes	54	1053	45
49	Davis Thompson	52	1049	49
50	Stephan Jaeger	53	1030	47
51	Justin Rose	47	1021	54
52	Joaquin Niemann	45	1019	52
53	Michael Kim	55	1019	53
54	Ben Griffin	65	1017	51
55	Robert MacIntyre	65	1017	55
56	Thomas Detry	57	997	56
57	Will Zalatoris	33	971	58
58	Max Greyserman	55	967	59
59	Cam Davis	52	959	57
60	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	57	953	61
61	Jake Knapp	53	939	62
62	Nick Taylor	53	929	64
63	Keith Mitchell	52	924	65
64	Patrick Rodgers	58	923	69
65	Tom Kim	55	919	60
66	Taylor Moore	51	909	63
67	Cameron Young	50	899	67
68	Max Homa	48	886	68
69	Lee Hodges	52	877	66
70	Patrick Reed	47	877	72
71	Matt Fitzpatrick	51	869	70
72	Cameron Smith	40	856	73
73	Kurt Kitayama	45	813	86
74	Dean Burmester	45	813	78
75	Sergio Garcia	36	810	71
76	Brooks Koepka	38	783	80
77	Austin Eckroat	53	783	74
78	Seamus Power	48	780	75
79	Rasmus Hojgaard	54	777	79
80	Jacob Bridgeman	57	776	77
81	Adam Hadwin	49	775	81
82	Chris Kirk	47	771	82
83	Sam Stevens	62	771	91
84	Beau Hossler	55	768	76
85	Andrew Putnam	53	729	94
86	Sebastian Munoz	35	727	85
87	Ryo Hisatsune	64	724	83
88	Richard Bland	34	711	106
89	Lucas Herbert	43	709	92
90	Kevin Yu	54	708	89
91	Erik van Rooyen	57	708	118
92	Alex Smalley	57	706	87
93	Nicolai Hojgaard	58	704	84
94	Michael Thorbjornsen	28	688	96
95	Nick Dunlap	38	687	93
96	Carlos Ortiz	36	683	109
97	Doug Ghim	54	681	98
98	Harry Hall	55	679	99
99	Nico Echavarria	58	678	103
100	Abraham Ancer	35	678	88
101	Marc Leishman	32	673	90
102	Paul Casey	31	671	95
103	Mark Hubbard	63	668	121
104	Cameron Tringale	30	666	105
105	David Puig	49	665	104
106	Victor Perez	53	662	97
107	Adam Schenk	59	655	126
108	Louis Oosthuizen	38	654	112
109	Matt Kuchar	49	650	100
110	Sam Ryder	57	645	102
111	Gary Woodland	44	642	107
112	Emiliano Grillo	51	639	101
113	Rickie Fowler	48	628	108
114	Henrik Norlander	56	619	110
115	Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen	25	618	114
116	Talor Gooch	34	616	136
117	Joe Highsmith	52	611	116
118	Chandler Phillips	55	609	130
119	Brendon Todd	47	609	117
120	Thorbjorn Olesen	57	606	120
121	Patrick Fishburn	57	604	113
122	Ryan Fox	56	603	111
123	Ryan Gerard	55	595	115
124	Charles Howell	24	595	151
125	Jhonattan Vegas	36	590	139
126	Justin Lower	60	587	119
127	Matthieu Pavon	59	586	124
128	Tom McKibbin	55	579	122
129	Charl Schwartzel	40	578	123
130	Vince Whaley	29	568	146
131	Charley Hoffman	50	566	125
132	Sami Valimaki	55	561	129
133	Chan Kim	58	560	127
134	Dustin Johnson	37	556	128
135	Rico Hoey	60	538	135
136	Matti Schmid	66	538	131
137	Joel Dahmen	58	531	133
138	Zach Johnson	39	531	132
139	Hayden Springer	41	526	134
140	Bubba Watson	31	525	145
141	Thomas Pieters	39	516	161
142	Matt Wallace	62	515	137
143	Chad Ramey	57	512	138
144	Kevin Na	29	507	140
145	Mac Meissner	53	497	141
146	Adam Svensson	62	493	143
147	Greyson Sigg	55	487	144
148	Harold Varner	34	479	142
149	Alejandro Tosti	58	473	147
150	Anirban Lahiri	40	469	148
151	Adrian Meronk	51	465	149
152	Nate Lashley	53	464	154
153	KH Lee	56	462	155
154	Davis Riley	53	462	153
155	Dylan Wu	52	461	150
156	Matthew Jordan	52	457	157
157	Jesper Svensson	40	453	152
158	Antoine Rozner	55	449	178
159	Matt McCarty	59	449	176
160	Laurie Canter	41	447	160
161	Karl Vilips	21	447	156
162	Sam Horsfield	25	445	162
163	Niklas Norgaard	55	437	171
164	Brice Garnett	44	437	159
165	Jordan Smith	54	436	164
166	Caleb Surratt	29	436	168
167	Danny Walker	50	435	175
168	Max McGreevy	60	433	182
169	CT Pan	41	431	167
170	Phil Mickelson	35	430	158
171	Matteo Manassero	43	429	169
172	Isaiah Salinda	52	429	165
173	Kelly Kraft	30	426	170
174	Matthew Wolff	29	426	206
175	Carson Young	55	426	163
176	Jason Kokrak	33	424	172
177	Luke List	55	421	166
178	Garrick Higgo	51	409	174
179	Brendan Steele	32	403	173
180	Chris Gotterup	59	396	208
181	Peter Uihlein	43	388	179
182	Trey Mullinax	30	384	204
183	Wesley Bryan	31	381	181
184	Ben Silverman	49	378	177
185	Scott Stallings	22	377	190
186	Vincent Whaley	27	375	183
187	Romain Langasque	58	374	184
188	Eugenio Chacarra	40	374	188
189	Ewen Ferguson	53	374	187
190	David Lipsky	57	373	180
191	Shaun Norris	24	370	193
192	Alexander Bjork	38	370	189
193	Stewart Cink	27	367	191
194	Webb Simpson	28	367	185
195	Will Gordon	44	367	266
196	Graeme McDowell	33	366	205
197	Martin Couvra	13	363	195
198	Keita Nakajima	39	362	197
199	Kramer Hickok	16	362	198
200	Taylor Montgomery	45	362	186
201	Ricky Castillo	51	360	256
202	Kevin Roy	55	356	232
203	Trace Crowe	54	355	194
204	Zac Blair	48	354	192
205	Neal Shipley	21	353	196
206	Sebastian Soderberg	45	352	199
207	Thriston Lawrence	60	351	200
208	Jorge Campillo	64	345	202
209	Matt Jones	37	340	201
210	Daniel Hillier	52	337	209
211	Ben Kohles	57	337	207
212	Ryan Moore	42	336	210
213	Henrik Stenson	31	334	223
214	Robby Shelton	51	333	203
215	Branden Grace	39	332	212
216	Haotong Li	46	332	213
217	Julien Guerrier	50	328	214
218	Ben Campbell	28	326	215
219	Luis Masaveu	15	326	241
220	Adrien Saddier	50	319	217
221	Sam Bairstow	44	316	219
222	Johannes Veerman	51	315	220
223	Guido Migliozzi	52	313	221
224	Kevin Streelman	41	313	218
225	Brandon Robinson Thompson	21	311	224
226	Joost Luiten	52	309	225
227	Alex Fitzpatrick	50	306	226
228	Chesson Hadley	45	306	216
229	Johnny Keefer	12	306	211
230	Richard Mansell	53	303	228
231	Pierceson Coody	54	302	254
232	SH Kim	58	301	229
233	Lanto Griffin	52	300	222
234	Ben Martin	40	298	247
235	Frankie Capan	55	298	227
236	Jinichiro Kozuma	31	297	304
237	Ugo Coussaud	42	295	233
238	Takumi Kanaya	38	294	360
239	Patton Kizzire	53	290	234
240	Martin Kaymer	34	290	230
241	Ian Poulter	30	289	279
242	David Skinns	52	287	236
243	Yannik Paul	55	287	235
244	Joseph Bramlett	45	286	244
245	Matthew NeSmith	45	285	237
246	Danny Lee	36	285	231
247	Connor Syme	54	284	239
248	Brandon Stone	41	281	243
249	Nathan Kimsey	23	281	240
250	Andy Ogletree	32	275	272
251	David Micheluzzi	39	271	249
252	Jayden Schaper	46	270	248
253	Joe Dean	21	270	250
254	Martin Laird	46	269	242
255	Kevin Tway	47	269	245
256	Will Chandler	24	268	238
257	Danny Willett	33	267	253
258	Francesco Laporta	38	267	251
259	Carl Yuan	51	266	246
260	Alejandro Del Rey	52	260	258
261	Brian Campbell	53	259	252
262	Niklas Lemke	16	257	262
263	Jacob Skov Olesen	12	254	261
264	Hennie du Plessis	22	254	259
265	Justin Suh	53	253	255
266	Max Schmitt	8	252	267
267	Frederic LaCroix	38	251	264
268	Paul Waring	52	251	257
269	Cameron Champ	51	250	336
270	Quade Cummins	57	249	260
271	Daniel Brown	52	249	265
272	Mito Pereira	34	244	273
273	Andy Sullivan	59	244	269
274	Rikuya Hoshino	55	243	281
275	Aldrich Potgieter	45	240	263
276	Kensei Hirata	33	239	274
277	Tyler Duncan	51	238	277
278	Peter Malnati	59	237	270
279	Steven Fisk	52	237	275
280	Troy Merritt	54	236	276
281	Tapio Pulkkanen	30	233	284
282	Jacques Kruyswijk	31	233	280
283	Aaron Baddeley	47	233	268
284	Jimmy Stanger	32	233	287
285	Bernd Wiesberger	41	232	283
286	Elvis Smylie	14	231	282
287	John Parry	32	231	286
288	Fabrizio Zanotti	45	231	285
289	Lee Westwood	28	230	271
290	Hayden Buckley	51	228	278
291	Estanislao Goya	16	228	289
292	John Catlin	48	227	291
293	Taylor Dickson	54	226	322
294	Jeff Winther	50	224	290
295	Sean Crocker	52	224	292
296	Yuta Sugiura	16	224	293
297	Adrien Dumont de Chassart	51	223	294
298	Brandon Wu	54	221	297
299	Shubhankar Sharma	52	221	298
300	Marcus Armitage	51	220	299
301	Kris Ventura	53	220	288
302	Adrian Otaegui	59	219	300
303	Zander Lombard	40	215	302
304	Jeremy Paul	56	215	296
305	Jason Scrivener	51	215	301
306	Nick Hardy	61	213	295
307	Pablo Larrazabal	46	211	306
308	Chieh-po Lee	28	210	319
309	Andrea Pavan	44	210	307
310	Richie Ramsay	49	209	305
311	Rafael Campos	60	208	303
312	Marcel Siem	47	205	309
313	Yuto Katsuragawa	40	203	314
314	Yu-bin Jang	12	203	313
315	Camilo Villegas	57	203	308
316	Calum Hill	52	203	311
317	Kevin Chappell	40	203	315
318	Scott Vincent	36	202	312
319	Vincent Norrman	46	199	310
320	Scott Jamieson	50	199	316
321	Andrew Johnston	15	198	318
322	Todd Clements	52	197	320
323	Marcel Schneider	54	196	317
324	Taiga Semikawa	25	195	326
325	Nacho Elvira	54	195	324
326	Ben Schmidt	9	194	323
327	Kristoffer Reitan	15	194	328
328	Grant Forrest	49	193	321
329	Padraig Harrington	28	192	327
330	Kieran Vincent	38	190	329
331	Ivan Cantero Gutierrez	42	190	332
332	Ding Wenyi	12	190	331
333	Austin Smotherman	54	189	330
334	Shimizu Taisei	14	189	333
335	William Mouw	48	187	325
336	Martin Trainer	43	186	338
337	Dan Bradbury	54	184	337
338	Jackson Suber	52	181	334
339	Kazuma Kobori	24	178	340
340	Peter Kuest	47	176	335
341	Ricardo Gouveia	44	175	344
342	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	51	175	346
343	Chez Reavie	49	174	339
344	Richard T Lee	16	174	347
345	Callum Tarren	55	173	342
346	Marcus Helligkilde	25	171	349
347	Andrew Wilson	39	171	350
348	Paul Peterson	59	171	343
349	Tom Vaillant	36	170	348
350	Casey Jarvis	49	169	352
351	Gavin Green	57	167	353
352	Marco Penge	39	166	356
353	Benjamin Hebert	11	166	357
354	Pat Perez	26	165	354
355	Angel Ayora	21	164	358
356	David Lingmerth	16	164	351
357	Mk Kim	9	163	359
358	Darius van Driel	53	163	361
359	Tyson Alexander	56	162	355
360	Brandt Snedeker	46	161	362
361	Callum Shinkwin	41	160	364
362	Mike Lorenzo-Vera	32	160	363
363	Dylan Naidoo	14	160	365
364	Aaron Cockerill	53	157	369
365	Ryosuke Kinoshita	19	157	368
366	Marcus Kinhult	48	157	366
367	Ratchanon Chantananuwat	9	157	367
368	Blades Brown	9	156	341
369	Matt NeSmith	10	156	345
370	Travis Smyth	25	156	371
371	Robin Williams	27	155	370
372	Alistair Docherty	51	153	374
373	Chase Koepka	12	151	379
374	Brett White	8	150	372
375	Ren Yonezawa	12	150	376
376	Seung-taek Lee	22	150	405
377	Nick Bachem	42	150	377
378	Nicholas Lindheim	25	150	373
379	Kalle Samooja	39	150	378
380	Edoardo Molinari	48	148	385
381	Jens Dantorp	55	148	382
382	Ryan McCormick	55	147	394
383	Lukas Nemecz	44	147	389
384	Scott Piercy	45	147	380
385	Maximilian Kieffer	51	146	388
386	David Law	46	146	386
387	Kevin Velo	53	146	381
388	Ryutaro Nagano	14	146	375
389	Austin Cook	49	145	384
390	Angel Hidalgo	55	145	390
391	Max Rottluff	33	143	391
392	Harry Higgs	52	143	387
393	Dylan Frittelli	56	140	396
394	Matthew Southgate	56	139	393
395	Ryo Ishikawa	21	139	395
396	Ryan Palmer	43	139	383
397	Tom Whitney	52	138	392
398	Hamish Brown	10	138	397
399	Oliver Lindell	12	136	399
400	Shugo Imahira	16	136	401
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Ratings are based on a player’s performance over the past two years in a minimum of eight events. The Hawley Rating reflects an average of the strength of field that a player beats, with greater weight for recent results.

Zurich Classic of New Orleans Power Ratings

April 22, 2025 Thomas Hawley Picks, U.S. Events

Dates: Apr. 24-27, 2025. Venue: TPC Louisiana; Avondale LA.
Purse: $9.2 million

Rory McIlroy

Pick	Team	Power Number	Observed Odds	Course fit
1	Shane Lowry & Rory McIlroy	16.5	5-1	68.3
2	Wyndham Clark & Taylor Moore	20.6	6-1	68.8
3	Kurt Kitayama & Collin Morikawa	36.6	12-1	68.6
4	Tom Hoge & Billy Horschel	42.0	16-1	68.6
5	Keith Mitchell & JT Poston	47.6	24-1	68.4
6	Sahith Theegala & Aaron Rai	48.2	25-1	68.6
7	Thomas Detry & Robert MacIntyre	49.1	25-1	68.5
8	Sepp Straka & Brice Garnett	50.3	25-1	68.2
9	Kevin Tway & Bud Cauley	53.4	35-1	67.8
10	Ben Griffin & Andrew Novak	54.2	40-1	68.2
11	Lee Hodges & Gary Woodland	55.4	40-1	68.9
12	Carson Young & Akshay Bhatia	57.6	50-1	68.4
13	Nico Echavarria & Max Greyserman	58.1	55-1	68.4
14	Nick Taylor & Adam Hadwin	59.6	65-1	68.4
15	Sam Ryder & Rico Hoey	60.2	70-1	69
16	Erik van Rooyen & Christiaan Bezuidenhout	60.2	70-1	68.8
17	Joe Highsmith & Alejandro Tosti	60.3	70-1	68.6
18	Jacob Bridgeman & Chandler Phillips	60.9	75-1	68.7
19	Si Woo Kim & Sangmoon Bae	61.3	80-1	34
20	Doug Ghim & Chan Kim	62.1	85-1	68.6
21	Sam Saunders & Eric Cole	62.2	90-1	34.2
22	Beau Hossler & Andrew Putnam	62.8	95-1	68.6
23	Cam Davis & Adam Svensson	62.9	95-1	68.6
24	Zac Blair & Patrick Fishburn	63.3	100-1	34.3
25	Ryan Fox & Garrick Higgo	63.5	100-1	34.4
26	Victor Perez & Matthieu Pavon	63.9	100-1	68.8
27	Nicolai Hojgaard & Rasmus Hojgaard	64.0	100-1	68.7
28	Kevin Yu & Jhonattan Vegas	64.3	100-1	68.9
29	Joseph Bramlett & Alex Smalley	64.5	100-1	34.1
30	Ryan Gerard & Danny Walker	64.8	100-1	68.7
31	Takumi Kanaya & Ryo Hisatsune	65.1	100-1	68.4
32	Matt Wallace & Thorbjorn Olesen	65.6	100-1	68.8
33	Nate Lashley & Hayden Springer	65.8	100-1	69.1
34	Sami Valimaki & Ben Silverman	67.5	150-1	68.6
35	Sam Stevens & Max McGreevy	68.1	200-1	68.4
36	Justin Lower & Chad Ramey	68.2	200-1	68.5
37	Niklas Norgaard & Jesper Svensson	68.6	200-1	68.4
38	Jake Knapp & Frankie Capan	68.6	200-1	68.6
39	Tyler Duncan & Adam Schenk	69.1	200-1	34.3
40	Luke List & Henrik Norlander	69.4	250-1	68.3
41	Trey Mullinax & Robby Shelton	69.7	250-1	34.5
42	Laurie Canter & Jordan Smith	69.8	250-1	68.4
43	Matt Fitzpatrick & Alex Fitzpatrick	70.2	250-1	68.3
44	Nick Watney & Charley Hoffman	70.4	300-1	34.4
45	Michael Thorbjornsen & Karl Vilips	71.4	350-1	68.9
46	Joel Dahmen & Harry Higgs	71.4	350-1	68.7
47	Matt McCarty & Mason Andersen	71.6	350-1	68.8
48	Nick Hardy & Davis Riley	71.7	350-1	68.7
49	Ryan Brehm & Mark Hubbard	71.7	350-1	34.4
50	Martin Laird & Bill Haas	72.2	400-1	0
51	Vince Whaley & Anders Albertson	72.3	400-1	34.1
52	Dylan Wu & David Lipsky	72.3	400-1	34.3
53	Jonathan Byrd & Chesson Hadley	72.4	400-1	0
54	Kevin Kisner & Greyson Sigg	72.9	400-1	34.5
55	Lanto Griffin & Cameron Champ	73.4	400-1	34.6
56	Zach Johnson & Ryan Palmer	73.5	500-1	68.4
57	Pierceson Coody & Jackson Suber	73.6	500-1	34.5
58	Quade Cummins & Chris Gotterup	73.8	500-1	68.3
59	Will Chandler & Matt NeSmith	73.9	500-1	34.3
60	Patton Kizzire & Ben Kohles	74.1	500-1	68.7
61	Chez Reavie & Brandt Snedeker	74.2	500-1	34.1
62	Noah Goodwin & Mac Meissner	74.2	500-1	68.5
63	Kris Ventura & Antoine Rozner	74.5	500-1	69.1
64	David Skinns & Ben Taylor	75.2	600-1	34.3
65	Luke Donald & Camilo Villegas	75.3	600-1	34.3
66	William Mouw & Ricky Castillo	75.6	600-1	68.8
67	Yannik Paul & Jeremy Paul	76.1	600-1	68.1
68	Angel Ayora & Alejandro Del Rey	76.1	600-1	69
69	Taylor Montgomery & John Pak	76.2	600-1	68.7
70	Kevin Velo & Isaiah Salinda	76.7	600-1	69
71	Trace Crowe & Taylor Dickson	77.2	600-1	34.3
72	Russell Knox & Peter Malnati	77.3	600-1	34.3
73	Trevor Cone & Kevin Roy	77.3	600-1	68.9
74	Tim Widing & Steven Fisk	78.1	600-1	68.8
75	Thomas Rosenmueller & Paul Peterson	78.1	600-1	68.9
76	Rikuya Hoshino & Kaito Onishi	78.3	600-1	68.8
77	Troy Merritt & Robert Streb	78.7	600-1	34.4
78	Matteo Manassero & Cristobal Del Solar	78.8	600-1	68.5
79	Will Gordon & Matthew Riedel	79.9	600-1	68.6
80	Hayden Buckley & Braden Thornberry	82.9	600-1	69.1
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LIV Golf Mexico City Power Ratings

April 22, 2025 Thomas Hawley Uncategorized

Dates: Apr. 25-27, 2025. Venue: Club de Golf Chapultepec; Mexico City, Mexico.
Purse: $20 million (individuals), $5 million (teams).

Jon Rahm

Pick	Player	Power Number	Observed Odds
1	Jon Rahm	26.7	8-1
2	Bryson DeChambeau	27.1	9-1
3	Tyrrell Hatton	37.5	14-1
4	Joaquin Niemann	45.5	22-1
5	Sergio Garcia	47.7	25-1
6	Dean Burmester	48.9	25-1
7	Brooks Koepka	49.4	30-1
8	Cameron Smith	49.8	30-1
9	Cameron Tringale	50.8	30-1
10	Marc Leishman	51.2	35-1
11	Sebastian Munoz	51.6	35-1
12	Abraham Ancer	51.9	35-1
13	Paul Casey	52.4	35-1
14	David Puig	53.2	40-1
15	Louis Oosthuizen	54.2	40-1
16	Richard Bland	54.7	45-1
17	Carlos Ortiz	55.4	45-1
18	Charl Schwartzel	55.9	50-1
19	Patrick Reed	56.2	50-1
20	Kevin Na	56.3	50-1
21	Harold Varner	56.8	55-1
22	Lucas Herbert	57.1	55-1
23	Phil Mickelson	58.5	65-1
24	Dustin Johnson	58.5	65-1
25	Talor Gooch	59.9	75-1
26	Adrian Meronk	60.0	75-1
27	Anirban Lahiri	60.1	75-1
28	Charles Howell	60.2	75-1
29	Sam Horsfield	60.4	80-1
30	Bubba Watson	60.5	80-1
31	Jason Kokrak	61.3	85-1
32	Thomas Pieters	61.4	90-1
33	Peter Uihlein	61.5	90-1
34	Brendan Steele	62.4	100-1
35	Caleb Surratt	62.9	100-1
36	Ben Campbell	64.2	100-1
37	Branden Grace	64.3	100-1
38	Danny Lee	64.5	100-1
39	Matthew Wolff	64.7	100-1
40	Matt Jones	65.0	100-1
41	Martin Kaymer	65.1	100-1
42	Henrik Stenson	65.3	100-1
43	Graeme McDowell	65.8	150-1
44	Luis Masaveu	66.4	150-1
45	Mito Pereira	67.5	200-1
46	Andy Ogletree	67.6	200-1
47	Ian Poulter	67.6	200-1
48	Lee Westwood	67.9	200-1
49	Chieh-po Lee	68.5	200-1
50	Tom McKibbin	68.5	200-1
51	Yu-bin Jang	69.4	250-1
52	Young-han Song	71.0	350-1
53	Frederik Kjettrup	73.0	500-1
54	Anthony Kim	73.8	500-1
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Apr. 7, 2025. The accuracy number for these picks is 150. The average is 179. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Launch and Apex (Apr. 20, 2025)

April 22, 2025 Thomas Hawley Launch and apex

Tom Hoge hit a career-high of 28th in the Hawley Ratings after the Heritage Classic. He’s on a run of four straight top-20 finishes, including a third at the Players. Hoge, 35, resides in Fargo ND and is in his 11th year on the Tour. He has one career victory, the 2022 Pebble Beach.

Korean Seung-taek Lee made his first appearance in the Hawley Ratings top 400 at no. 392 after losing to Neal Shipley in a five-hole playoff at the Korn Ferry Tour LECOM Suncoast Classic on Sunday. Lee, 29, one of six in the rankings sharing that surname, has made six of six cuts with two top-10s on the Korn Ferry Tour this season.

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