12
Jun

U.S. Open

Thomas Hawley 0 comment
Dustin Johnson
Dustin Johnson
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Dustin Johnson -9.3 92
2 Rory McIlroy 10.4 102
3 Jason Day 19.0 144
4 Adam Scott 19.1 79
5 Jordan Spieth 21.0 35
6 Paul Casey 21.7 26
7 Sergio Garcia 24.6 21
8 Jon Rahm 26.7 102
9 Francesco Molinari 27.1 79
10 Matt Kuchar 27.3 16
11 Phil Mickelson 30.4 DNP
12 Justin Rose 30.9 69
13 Kevin Kisner 31.0 58
14 Hideki Matsuyama 31.8 2
15 Rickie Fowler 32.5 5
16 Henrik Stenson 32.9 79
17 Justin Thomas 33.1 9
18 Jason Dufner 34.5 127
19 Pat Perez 36.8 69
20 Louis Oosthuizen 37.7 23
21 Brooks Koepka 41.0 1
22 Rafael Cabrera-Bello 41.6 42
23 Alex Noren 42.3 115
24 Branden Grace 42.5 50
25 Brian Harman 42.6 2
26 Charl Schwartzel 43.1 79
27 Bill Haas 43.3 5
28 Brandt Snedeker 43.4 9
29 Tyrrell Hatton 44.0 92
30 Patrick Reed 44.7 13
31 Marc Leishman 44.8 27
32 Brendan Steele 44.9 13
33 Shane Lowry 44.9 46
34 Webb Simpson 44.9 35
35 Bubba Watson 45.3 92
36 Steve Stricker 45.6 16
37 Byeong Hun An 46.8 79
38 Stewart Cink 46.9 46
39 Billy Horschel 47.2 150
40 Emiliano Grillo 47.3 132
41 Martin Kaymer 47.5 35
42 Bernd Wiesberger 47.6 16
43 Graeme McDowell 48.9 102
44 Lucas Glover 49.2 69
45 Ross Fisher 49.2 69
46 Daniel Berger 49.6 140
47 Thomas Pieters 49.6 79
48 Lee Westwood 49.9 55
49 Charley Hoffman 50.4 8
50 Sean O’Hair 50.7 102
51 David Lingmerth 50.8 21
52 Jimmy Walker 51.4 115
53 Adam Hadwin 52.2 60
54 Russell Henley 52.4 27
55 Kevin Na 52.9 32
56 Kevin Chappell 53.4 23
57 Gary Woodland 53.4 50
58 JB Holmes 54.1 12
59 Bud Cauley 54.1 92
60 Zach Johnson 54.3 27
61 Jamie Lovemark 54.5 27
62 Matthew Fitzpatrick 54.7 35
63 Ryan Palmer 57.4 79
64 Tommy Fleetwood 57.9 4
65 Scott Piercy 57.9 115
66 Si-woo Kim 57.9 13
67 Jhonattan Vegas 58.2 132
68 William McGirt 58.7 55
69 Keegan Bradley 59.2 60
70 Martin Laird 59.3 32
71 Jim Furyk 59.9 23
72 Hideto Tanihara 60.1 92
73 Jason Kokrak 60.4 53
74 Chez Reavie 61.1 16
75 Hao-tong Li 61.2 68
76 Chris Wood 61.6 79
77 Wesley Bryan 61.6 154
78 Russell Knox 61.9 102
79 Daniel Summerhays 62.1 65
80 Yuta Ikeda 62.3 69
81 Harris English 62.6 46
82 George Coetzee 63.6 127
83 Peter Uihlein 64.2 69
84 Whee Kim 65.1 50
85 JT Poston 65.1 115
86 Bradley Dredge 66.4 79
87 Danny Willett 66.5 WD
88 Alexander Levy 66.8 132
89 Brian Stuard 67.7 149
90 Andrew Johnston 68.2 42
91 Paul Dunne 68.8 92
92 Jeunghun Wang 69.4 102
93 Angel Cabrera 69.6 102
94 Roberto Castro 69.8 132
95 Gregory Bourdy 69.9 102
96 Thomas Aiken 70.2 58
97 Xander Schauffele 70.3 5
98 Jonathan Randolph 70.8 42
99 Ernie Els 71.1 55
100 CT Pan 71.2 79
101 Brandon Stone 71.5 35
102 Trey Mullinax 71.5 9
103 Richie Ramsay 72.3 69
104 Troy Merritt 72.3 92
105 Bryson DeChambeau 72.8 115
106 Andres Romero 73.4 115
107 Ryan Brehm 73.6 53
108 Eddie Pepperell 74.2 16
109 Brice Garnett 74.8 115
110 Wade Ormsby 75.1 115
111 Michael Putnam 75.1 35
112 Stephan Jaeger 76.7 60
113 Oliver Bekker 77.1 127
114 Matt Wallace 77.3 127
115 Joel Stalter 78.4 102
116 Stewart Hagestad 78.5 132
117 Davis Love 81.0 DNP
118 Jordan Niebrugge 81.0 35
119 Scottie Scheffler 81.3 27
120 Yusaku Miyazato 82.0 60
121 Aaron Rai 83.2 140
122 Nick Flanagan 83.4 144
123 Satoshi Kodaira 83.6 46
124 Sam Ryder 83.7 102
125 Chan Kim 83.9 115
126 Shugo Imahira 84.2 102
127 Roberto Diaz 84.3 92
128 Daniel Chopra 84.4 150
129 Kyle Thompson 84.5 69
130 Andy Pope 84.5 132
131 Maverick McNealy 84.5 79
132 Alex Smalley 84.6 79
133 Brad Dalke 84.6 115
134 Cameron Champ 84.6 32
135 Christopher Crawford 84.6 115
136 Corey Conners 84.6 132
137 Daniel Miernicki 84.6 79
138 Derek Barron 84.6 140
139 Garrett Osborn 84.6 144
140 Gene Sauers 84.6 140
141 Jack Maguire 84.6 42
142 Joaquin Niemann 84.6 102
143 John Oda 84.6 144
144 Kevin Dougherty 84.6 64
145 Mason Andersen 84.6 69
146 Matthew Campbell 84.6 153
147 Max Greyserman 84.6 102
148 Roman Robledo 84.6 150
149 Sahith Theegala 84.6 132
150 Scott Gregory 84.6 92
151 Scott Harvey 84.6 144
152 Talor Gooch 84.6 66
153 Tyson Alexander 84.6 92
154 Walker Lee 84.6 155
155 Todd Light 84.6 DNP
156 Ben Kohles 84.9 127
157 Ted Potter 85.5 115
Tyler Light late entry 67
Dru Love late entry 73
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The accuracy number for these picks is 0, making this the least predictable event in four years, a span of about 400 U.S./ Euro events. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

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