Italian Open

10
Oct

Thomas Hawley 0 comment

Francesco Molinari

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Francesco Molinari	0.8	6
2	Sergio Garcia	23.5	30
3	Tyrrell Hatton	33.0	1
4	Bernd Wiesberger	37.4	45
5	Martin Kaymer	37.8	85
6	Matthew Fitzpatrick	38.1	15
7	Danny Willett	41.2	117
8	Romain Wattel	42.6	67
9	Tommy Fleetwood	43.5	6
10	Shane Lowry	44.7	85
11	Alex Noren	44.8	38
12	Andy Sullivan	47.4	85
13	David Horsey	47.6	6
14	David Lingmerth	48.6	117
15	Nicolas Colsaerts	51.2	15
16	Rikard Karlberg	53.1	DNP
17	Lucas Bjerregaard	53.2	97
18	Darren Fichardt	55.8	32
19	Joost Luiten	55.8	32
20	Ross Fisher	56.0	2
21	Joakim Lagergren	56.8	40
22	Fabrizio Zanotti	57.9	105
23	Jorge Campillo	59.1	40
24	Graeme McDowell	59.3	65
25	Hideto Tanihara	59.5	112
26	Richie Ramsay	60.0	40
27	Andrew Johnston	60.2	67
28	Marc Warren	60.3	10
29	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	60.5	2
30	Alexander Levy	60.8	26
31	Jaco van Zyl	61.5	127
32	Mikko Korhonen	62.3	105
33	George Coetzee	62.5	6
34	Alejandro Canizares	62.6	15
35	Robert Rock	63.3	67
36	Victor Dubuisson	63.4	WD
37	Lee Slattery	63.8	67
38	David Drysdale	63.9	26
39	Richard Sterne	64.0	32
40	Felipe Aguilar	64.0	32
41	Thorbjorn Olesen	64.1	32
42	Padraig Harrington	65.7	105
43	Gregory Bourdy	66.2	30
44	Mikko Ilonen	66.2	105
45	Graeme Storm	66.6	123
46	Alexander Bjork	66.9	40
47	Benjamin Hebert	67.0	15
48	Stephen Gallacher	67.2	85
49	Scott Jamieson	67.3	117
50	Nacho Elvira	67.4	40
51	Michael Lorenzo-Vera	67.8	10
52	David Howell	68.3	58
53	Jason Scrivener	68.4	67
54	Oliver Fisher	68.9	85
55	Pablo Larrazabal	69.6	97
56	Miguel Angel Jimenez	69.7	10
57	Bradley Dredge	70.7	97
58	Matthew Southgate	71.0	67
59	James Morrison	71.7	117
60	Peter Hanson	71.7	85
61	Jamie Donaldson	71.9	26
62	Robert Karlsson	71.9	32
63	Jeunghun Wang	72.3	21
64	Brandon Stone	72.3	67
65	Julian Suri	72.7	85
66	Chris Hanson	73.0	50
67	Callum Shinkwin	73.0	97
68	Ricardo Gouveia	73.2	56
69	Nino Bertasio	73.2	10
70	Ashun Wu	73.3	67
71	Matteo Manassero	73.3	105
72	Maximilian Kieffer	73.4	15
73	Dean Burmester	73.6	58
74	Thomas Aiken	73.6	67
75	Alvaro Quiros	73.8	123
76	Florian Fritsch	73.9	38
77	Marcel Siem	74.0	67
78	Marcus Fraser	74.2	5
79	Magnus A Carlsson	74.4	97
80	Anthony Wall	74.4	DNP
81	Dylan Frittelli	74.9	97
82	Andres Romero	75.0	67
83	Andrew Dodt	75.0	123
84	Jordan Smith	75.1	21
85	Gregory Havret	75.8	21
86	Renato Paratore	75.8	85
87	Daniel Im	75.9	67
88	Haydn Porteous	76.1	67
89	Chris Paisley	76.3	58
90	Justin Walters	76.4	105
91	Johan Carlsson	76.6	56
92	Thomas Detry	76.7	67
93	Paul Waring	77.7	112
94	Eduardo de la Riva	77.8	85
95	Raphael Jacquelin	77.9	112
96	Lasse Jensen	78.2	85
97	Romain Langasque	78.2	DNP
98	Matt Wallace	78.4	4
99	Phachara Khongwatmai	79.4	DNP
100	Niclas Fasth	80.4	112
101	Paul Peterson	80.5	97
102	Edoardo Molinari	80.6	85
103	Gary Stal	80.7	117
104	Brett Rumford	80.8	45
105	Daniel Brooks	80.8	45
106	Panuphol Pittayarat	80.9	105
107	Sam Brazel	81.1	66
108	Simon Dyson	81.4	DNP
109	Luca Cianchetti	81.7	97
110	Soo-min Lee	82.0	50
111	Sebastien Gros	82.3	127
112	Sam Walker	82.7	DNP
113	Nathan Holman	83.5	67
114	Paul McGinley	85.2	DNP
115	Stefano Mazzoli	85.5	67
116	Federico Maccario	85.5	127
117	Jose Maria Olazabal	85.7	130
118	Andrea Pavan	85.7	50
119	Matteo Delpodio	85.7	DNP
	Eddie Pepperell	late entry	13
	Jon Rahm	late entry	20
	Byeong Hun An	late entry	21
	Austin Connelly	late entry	22
	Paul Dunne	late entry	28
	Enrico di Nitto	late entry	46
	Adrian Otaegui	late entry	47
	Richard Bland	late entry	50
	Luke Donald	late entry	51
	Julien Quesne	late entry	55
	Lee Westwood	late entry	61
	Lorenzo Scalise	late entry	62
	Wade Ormsby	late entry	63
	Matthieu Pavon	late entry	64
	Thomas Bjorn	late entry	68
	Anders Hansen	late entry	70
	Carlos Pigem	late entry	94
	Ryan Fox	late entry	113
	Alessandro Tadini	late entry	121
	Thongchai Jaidee	late entry	124
	Nicolo Ravano	late entry	131
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The accuracy number for these picks is 212. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.