AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

05
Feb

Thomas Hawley 0 comment

Paul Casey

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Paul Casey	-0.5	8
2	Dustin Johnson	2.6	2
3	Jordan Spieth	16.0	20
4	Jason Day	16.7	2
5	Jon Rahm	21.9	26
6	Rory McIlroy	28.7	85
7	Adam Scott	29.1	111
8	Phil Mickelson	32.0	2
9	Patrick Cantlay	33.1	35
10	Pat Perez	36.5	35
11	Gary Woodland	36.8	85
12	Patrick Reed	37.2	76
13	Matt Kuchar	37.2	62
14	Brandt Snedeker	39.2	20
15	Chez Reavie	39.8	2
16	Steve Stricker	40.5	26
17	Rafa Cabrera Bello	45.2	26
18	Charley Hoffman	46.4	WD
19	Kevin Chappell	46.7	8
20	James Hahn	49.0	26
21	Branden Grace	50.1	20
22	Kevin Streelman	50.8	6
23	Jerry Kelly	51.0	119
24	Jason Kokrak	52.5	35
25	Kevin Kisner	52.6	103
26	Chesson Hadley	52.9	35
27	Stewart Cink	53.7	119
28	JB Holmes	54.1	76
29	Shane Lowry	54.1	43
30	Chris Kirk	54.3	76
31	Brandon Harkins	55.3	15
32	Brian Gay	56.3	8
33	Vaughn Taylor	56.5	55
34	Russell Henley	57.7	15
35	Scott Piercy	57.8	20
36	Austin Cook	58.0	136
37	Russell Knox	58.3	15
38	William McGirt	58.4	26
39	Bryson DeChambeau	58.5	55
40	Tom Hoge	58.7	93
41	Jimmy Walker	59.0	8
42	Bubba Watson	61.4	35
43	Sean O’Hair	61.9	73
44	Robert Garrigus	62.0	85
45	Ben Martin	62.2	26
46	Nick Taylor	62.7	103
47	Beau Hossler	63.2	43
48	Paul Dunne	63.3	129
49	Rory Sabbatini	63.3	72
50	Nick Watney	63.3	47
51	Scott Brown	63.6	93
52	Sam Saunders	63.6	26
53	Billy Horschel	63.6	93
54	Aaron Wise	64.2	15
55	Brian Stuard	64.3	129
56	Grayson Murray	65.5	8
57	Julian Suri	65.5	68
58	Alex Cejka	65.7	75
59	Graeme McDowell	65.8	146
60	Padraig Harrington	65.9	139
61	Cameron Davis	66.4	111
62	Aaron Baddeley	66.7	55
63	Seamus Power	67.1	139
64	Tyrone van Aswegen	67.6	26
65	Jim Herman	67.8	123
66	Robert Streb	67.9	85
67	David Hearn	67.9	136
68	Mackenzie Hughes	68.1	123
69	Ryan Blaum	68.2	73
70	Kelly Kraft	68.3	147
71	Luke Donald	68.3	103
72	Matt Jones	68.4	129
73	Scott Stallings	68.6	7
74	Johnson Wagner	68.8	55
75	Patrick Rodgers	69.0	8
76	Ryan Armour	69.0	20
77	Whee Kim	69.1	DNP
78	Ricky Barnes	69.1	62
79	Daniel Summerhays	69.4	55
80	Chris Stroud	69.4	35
81	Brice Garnett	69.6	35
82	JT Poston	69.6	68
83	JJ Henry	69.8	93
84	Richy Werenski	69.8	93
85	Corey Conners	69.8	119
86	Trey Mullinax	69.9	47
87	Rob Oppenheim	70.0	47
88	Derek Fathauer	70.2	62
89	Nicholas Lindheim	70.3	85
90	Cameron Percy	70.5	76
91	Talor Gooch	70.7	93
92	Abraham Ancer	70.8	DNP
93	Billy Hurley	70.9	123
94	Xin-jun Zhang	71.0	43
95	Ben Crane	71.0	103
96	Dominic Bozzelli	71.4	111
97	Andrew Putnam	71.4	103
98	Lanto Griffin	71.4	103
99	Shawn Stefani	71.4	129
100	Jonathan Byrd	71.6	62
101	Jonas Blixt	71.6	76
102	Ted Potter	71.6	1
103	Keith Mitchell	71.7	47
104	Cameron Tringale	71.9	47
105	Hunter Mahan	72.0	93
106	Tyler Duncan	72.1	136
107	Colt Knost	72.4	123
108	Benjamin Silverman	72.5	123
109	Jonathan Randolph	72.6	66
110	Martin Pillar	72.8	111
111	Tom Lovelady	72.8	76
112	Fabian Gomez	72.8	85
113	Stephan Jaeger	72.9	43
114	Cody Gribble	72.9	148
115	Bronson Burgoon	73.0	47
116	Zac Blair	73.1	93
117	Vijay Singh	73.2	129
118	Nate Lashley	73.3	76
119	Troy Merritt	73.3	8
120	Rick Lamb	73.4	123
121	Peter Malnati	73.4	35
122	DA Points	73.4	93
123	Joel Dahmen	73.6	55
124	KJ Choi	73.6	26
125	Adam Schenk	73.7	111
126	Steve Wheatcroft	73.9	111
127	Rod Pampling	74.0	47
128	Maverick McNealy	74.0	85
129	Andres Romero	74.0	DNP
130	Brett Stegmaier	74.5	119
131	Dicky Pride	74.7	DNP
132	Stuart Appleby	74.9	111
133	Tim Herron	75.0	129
134	Greg Chalmers	75.0	103
135	Matt Every	75.1	111
136	Ken Duke	75.2	129
137	Jason Gore	75.7	DNP
138	Roberto Diaz	75.7	144
139	Ernie Els	75.8	103
140	Derek Ernst	75.8	139
141	Ethan Tracy	76.0	148
142	Brendon de Jonge	76.2	93
143	Denny McCarthy	76.3	66
144	Sangmoon Bae	76.4	15
145	Eric Axley	76.4	47
146	Conrad Shindler	76.4	139
147	Sam Ryder	76.6	68
148	Jason Bohn	76.7	150
149	Carl Pettersson	76.7	DNP
150	George McNeill	76.7	85
151	Matt Atkins	76.8	76
152	Angel Cabrera	76.9	WD
153	John Rollins	77.2	DNP
154	Kyle Thompson	77.7	144
155	Andrew Yun	77.7	150
156	Omar Uresti	77.8	DNP
157	Ze-cheng Dou	77.9	55
158	John Merrick	79.2	DNP
159	Bill Lunde	79.7	DNP
160	Mike Weir	83.6	76
161	Shane Bertsch	85.0	DNP
162	Charlie Beljan	85.3	139
163	Peter Jacobsen	85.3	152
164	David Solomon	85.3	153
165	Will Zalatoris	85.3	68
166	David Duval	85.6	154
	Kevin Na	late entry	25
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The accuracy number for these picks is 356. The average is 211. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.