29
Apr

Wells Fargo Championship

Thomas Hawley 0 comment

Phil Mickelson
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Phil Mickelson 13.8 5
2 Paul Casey 14.0 5
3 Rory McIlroy 14.5 16
4 Justin Thomas 17.0 21
5 Rickie Fowler 20.1 21
6 Patrick Reed 25.6 8
7 Tony Finau 28.8 21
8 Webb Simpson 29.7 21
9 Louis Oosthuizen 31.2 88
10 Brooks Koepka 31.5 42
11 Tommy Fleetwood 32.2 116
12 Jason Day 32.3 1
13 Ryan Moore 35.1 88
14 Brian Harman 36.8 74
15 Tiger Woods 36.8 55
16 Chesson Hadley 38.6 16
17 Alex Noren 38.8 127
18 Kevin Kisner 39.1 103
19 Hideki Matsuyama 39.8 76
20 Charles Howell 40.7 21
21 Francesco Molinari 41.0 16
22 Adam Hadwin 42.2 16
23 Kevin Streelman 43.1 134
24 Kyle Stanley 44.8 13
25 Luke List 45.6 9
26 Tyrrell Hatton 46.1 42
27 Bryson DeChambeau 46.7 4
28 Russell Henley 47.5 103
29 Xander Schauffele 48.4 72
30 Emiliano Grillo 48.9 9
31 Daniel Berger 48.9 55
32 Adam Scott 50.0 76
33 Bud Cauley 50.0 67
34 Jamie Lovemark 50.4 88
35 Gary Woodland 51.5 103
36 Byeong Hun An 51.5 63
37 Lucas Glover 51.6 116
38 James Hahn 53.4 103
39 Grayson Murray 54.2 59
40 Sam Burns 54.6 55
41 Jason Dufner 55.2 42
42 Martin Kaymer 55.8 42
43 Charl Schwartzel 56.4 9
44 Bill Haas 56.6 88
45 Beau Hossler 57.0 34
46 Keegan Bradley 57.0 76
47 Stewart Cink 57.6 72
48 Jason Kokrak 57.9 88
49 Sean O’Hair 58.8 63
50 Trey Mullinax 59.1 116
51 Vaughn Taylor 59.4 42
52 Ollie Schniederjans 59.6 34
53 Shane Lowry 60.0 34
54 JB Holmes 60.8 42
55 Patrick Rodgers 61.0 34
56 Dylan Frittelli 61.6 103
57 Andrew Landry 61.7 WD
58 Andrew Putnam 61.9 82
59 Michael Thompson 62.1 42
60 Ross Fisher 62.2 63
61 Patton Kizzire 62.6 116
62 Nick Watney 62.8 2
63 Jhonattan Vegas 62.8 42
64 Austin Cook 63.3 34
65 Anirban Lahiri 63.5 134
66 Brandon Harkins 63.9 63
67 Brice Garnett 64.0 75
68 Tyrone van Aswegen 64.1 82
69 Keith Mitchell 64.7 34
70 Abraham Ancer 64.9 134
71 Rory Sabbatini 64.9 27
72 Ben Martin 65.2 103
73 Tom Hoge 65.2 76
74 Aaron Wise 65.6 2
75 Scott Stallings 65.6 142
76 Danny Lee 65.6 116
77 Scott Brown 65.7 116
78 JJ Henry 65.8 84
79 Retief Goosen 66.0 88
80 Graeme McDowell 66.0 27
81 Aaron Baddeley 66.3 116
82 Seamus Power 66.3 27
83 Kevin Tway 66.6 88
84 Peter Uihlein 66.7 5
85 Troy Merritt 67.1 42
86 Hudson Swafford 67.2 88
87 Ted Potter 67.4 27
88 CT Pan 67.6 76
89 Rob Oppenheim 67.9 139
90 Sung Kang 68.0 116
91 Kelly Kraft 68.1 127
92 Dominic Bozzelli 68.2 103
93 Nick Taylor 68.2 103
94 Geoff Ogilvy 68.2 127
95 Nate Lashley 68.4 116
96 Robert Streb 68.7 42
97 Tyler Duncan 68.9 84
98 Jonas Blixt 69.0 27
99 Adam Schenk 69.1 142
100 JT Poston 69.1 103
101 Martin Flores 69.1 59
102 Brian Stuard 69.2 127
103 Ryan Blaum 69.2 84
104 Nicholas Lindheim 69.2 134
105 Shawn Stefani 69.2 42
106 Johnson Wagner 69.3 13
107 Sam Saunders 69.3 9
108 Denny McCarthy 69.5 127
109 Corey Conners 69.6 42
110 Blayne Barber 69.6 67
111 Whee Kim 69.8 127
112 Richy Werenski 69.8 103
113 Matt Jones 70.2 DNP
114 Jonathan Byrd 70.5 103
115 Alex Cejka 70.6 27
116 Sam Ryder 70.8 88
117 Derek Fathauer 70.8 152
118 Chris Stroud 71.2 67
119 Talor Gooch 71.3 13
120 Mackenzie Hughes 71.5 59
121 Tom Lovelady 71.6 34
122 Harold Varner 71.7 55
123 Martin Pillar 71.8 149
124 Xin-jun Zhang 72.1 70
125 Jonathan Randolph 72.2 70
126 Bronson Burgoon 72.3 88
127 Camilo Villegas 72.5 DNP
128 Matt Every 72.5 139
129 Joel Dahmen 72.6 16
130 Greg Chalmers 72.6 21
131 Vijay Singh 72.7 127
132 Billy Hurley 72.7 81
133 Smylie Kaufman 73.3 150
134 Rod Pampling 73.3 103
135 John Peterson 73.5 42
136 Cameron Tringale 73.5 27
137 Benjamin Silverman 73.5 88
138 Lanto Griffin 73.7 88
139 Steve Wheatcroft 74.1 DNP
140 Davis Love 74.1 WD
141 Fabian Gomez 74.2 84
142 Roberto Diaz 74.4 145
143 Stephan Jaeger 74.5 116
144 Sangmoon Bae 74.7 DNP
145 Ernie Els 74.7 88
146 DA Points 74.8 103
147 Peter Malnati 75.0 34
148 Brett Stegmaier 75.0 DNP
149 Matt Atkins 76.5 DNP
150 Ethan Tracy 76.7 DNP
151 Conrad Shindler 77.0 DNP
152 John Senden 77.3 DNP
153 Andrew Yun 77.4 DNP
154 Ze-cheng Dou 77.6 DNP
155 Kyle Thompson 78.1 142
156 Joaquin Niemann 78.8 88
157 Derek Ernst 80.9 88
158 Ryan Ruffels 81.2 134
159 Steve Marino 81.5 WD
160 Bob Estes 83.1 WD
161 Dru Love 83.4 145
162 Charles Frost 85.6 150
TJ Vogel late entry 61
Chris Paisley late entry 119
Carter Jenkins late entry 141
JT Griffin late entry 147
Mito Pereira late entry 148
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The accuracy number for these picks is 164. The average is 209. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

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