21
May

BMW PGA Championship

Thomas Hawley 0 comment
Paul Casey
Paul Casey
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Paul Casey 13.5 20
2 Tommy Fleetwood 27.2 20
3 Francesco Molinari 30.6 1
4 Rory McIlroy 34.5 2
5 Alex Noren 36.1 3
6 Branden Grace 39.4 5
7 Ian Poulter 39.9 20
8 Shane Lowry 43.8 15
9 Tyrrell Hatton 46.5 95
10 Rafa Cabrera Bello 47.5 8
11 Lee Westwood 50.5 27
12 Matthew Fitzpatrick 52.1 8
13 Byeong Hun An 52.6 15
14 Joost Luiten 56.1 68
15 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 56.5 5
16 Alexander Levy 57.8 52
17 Chris Wood 57.9 27
18 Martin Kaymer 58.8 68
19 Jorge Campillo 60.4 95
20 Paul Dunne 60.5 95
21 Andrew Johnston 60.6 123
22 Thomas Pieters 60.6 108
23 Andy Sullivan 60.9 35
24 Dylan Frittelli 61.7 68
25 Ross Fisher 63.6 8
26 Graeme McDowell 64.2 12
27 Adrian Otaegui 64.2 108
28 Alexander Bjork 64.3 DNP
29 Chris Paisley 65.0 82
30 Haotong Li 65.3 43
31 Harold Varner 65.6 68
32 Jeunghun Wang 65.8 52
33 Richie Ramsay 65.9 35
34 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 66.1 43
35 Julian Suri 66.4 43
36 Hideto Tanihara 66.4 35
37 David Horsey 66.5 95
38 Fabrizio Zanotti 66.6 15
39 Soren Kjeldsen 66.6 82
40 Richard Sterne 66.8 68
41 George Coetzee 66.8 82
42 Nacho Elvira 67.0 82
43 Thomas Aiken 67.1 68
44 Stephen Gallacher 67.1 51
45 Peter Hanson 67.3 142
46 Thorbjorn Olesen 67.4 60
47 Mikko Ilonen 67.6 82
48 Benjamin Hebert 67.7 35
49 Nicolas Colsaerts 67.8 108
50 Ryan Fox 68.2 43
51 Pablo Larrazabal 68.5 95
52 Andrea Pavan 68.5 52
53 Marc Warren 68.9 60
54 Eddie Pepperell 69.0 43
55 Robert Rock 69.3 20
56 Ashun Wu 69.3 64
57 Romain Wattel 69.5 137
58 Matt Wallace 69.7 20
59 Callum Shinkwin 70.0 108
60 Scott Jamieson 70.0 129
61 Maximilian Kieffer 70.2 35
62 Aaron Rai 70.4 123
63 Paul Waring 70.4 52
64 Matthew Southgate 70.7 27
65 Julien Guerrier 70.7 120
66 David Lipsky 70.7 27
67 Scott Hend 70.7 95
68 Yusaku Miyazato 70.8 149
69 Dean Burmester 70.8 12
70 Matteo Manassero 70.8 27
71 Joakim Lagergren 70.8 68
72 Thongchai Jaidee 70.9 8
73 Jamie Donaldson 71.1 120
74 Andrew Dodt 71.1 43
75 Thomas Bjorn 71.1 144
76 Thomas Detry 71.3 42
77 Nino Bertasio 71.3 58
78 David Drysdale 71.4 82
79 Matthieu Pavon 71.6 64
80 Erik Van Rooyen 71.7 20
81 Bradley Dredge 71.7 68
82 Padraig Harrington 71.9 120
83 Lucas Bjerregaard 72.1 3
84 Jordan Smith 72.2 108
85 Gregory Havret 72.2 108
86 Wade Ormsby 72.2 129
87 Chris Hanson 72.5 68
88 Marcel Siem 72.5 95
89 Mikko Korhonen 72.6 15
90 Jason Scrivener 72.6 108
91 Gregory Bourdy 72.7 68
92 Austin Connelly 72.7 145
93 Haydn Porteous 72.8 43
94 Renato Paratore 72.9 129
95 Oliver Fisher 73.0 68
96 Danny Willett 73.0 95
97 Marcus Fraser 73.1 95
98 Darren Fichardt 73.1 7
99 Felipe Aguilar 73.1 DNP
100 Soomin Lee 73.4 95
101 Tapio Pulkkanen 73.4 123
102 Ashley Chesters 73.7 108
103 Lee Slattery 73.8 145
104 Ricardo Gouveia 73.8 140
105 James Morrison 73.9 108
106 Robert Karlsson 73.9 95
107 Sam Horsfield 73.9 15
108 Richard Bland 74.0 27
109 Chase Koepka 74.0 137
110 Alvaro Quiros 74.0 82
111 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 74.0 DNP
112 Brandon Stone 74.3 60
113 Sam Brazel 74.3 129
114 Ryan Evans 74.3 82
115 Adam Bland 74.4 95
116 Jin Choi 74.5 82
117 Jacques Kruyswijk 74.6 20
118 Brett Rumford 74.6 82
119 Marcus Kinhult 74.6 12
120 Pedro Oriol 74.7 108
121 Ernie Els 74.7 108
122 Edoardo Molinari 74.7 123
123 Matthew Baldwin 74.7 DNP
124 Jeff Winther 75.0 68
125 Gavin Green 75.0 52
126 Sebastien Gros 75.0 27
127 Daniel Brooks 75.0 64
128 Sebastian Heisele 75.1 DNP
129 Lasse Jensen 75.2 27
130 Phachara Khongwatmai 75.3 123
131 Steven Brown 75.4 147
132 Daniel Im 75.5 129
133 SSP Chawrasia 75.5 129
134 Raphael Jacquelin 75.5 68
135 Matthias Schwab 75.7 DNP
136 Jens Dantorp 75.7 35
137 Clement Sordet 75.8 142
138 Rak hyun Cho 76.2 60
139 Adrien Saddier 76.2 35
140 Mark Foster 76.3 DNP
141 Charlie Ford 76.3 82
142 David Howell 76.3 82
143 Carlos Pigem 76.5 137
144 Jason Norris 76.7 129
145 Scott Fernandez 76.8 43
146 James Heath 76.8 67
147 Zander Lombard 76.8 129
148 Nicolas Geyger 77.0 DNP
149 Oliver Farr 77.2 68
150 Trevor Immelman 77.2 52
151 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 77.4 82
152 Darren Clarke 77.8 DNP
153 Bradley Neil 78.1 58
154 Andres Romero 78.5 95
155 Paul O’Hara 85.6 108
156 Richard Wallis 85.6 140
157 Gavin Hay 85.6 148
158 Robert Coles 85.8 123
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The accuracy number for these picks is 380. The average is 209. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

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