03
Sep
Sep
BMW Championship
Dustin Johnson
| Pick | Player | Finish Estimate | Actual Finish |
| 1 | Dustin Johnson | -11.5 | 24 |
| 2 | Justin Rose | -1.3 | 2 |
| 3 | Justin Thomas | 2.5 | 12 |
| 4 | Brooks Koepka | 3.9 | 19 |
| 5 | Rickie Fowler | 5.3 | 8 |
| 6 | Jason Day | 9.5 | 24 |
| 7 | Rory McIlroy | 10.6 | 5 |
| 8 | Tony Finau | 13.5 | 8 |
| 9 | Patrick Cantlay | 14.1 | 55 |
| 10 | Jordan Spieth | 20.5 | 55 |
| 11 | Francesco Molinari | 21.4 | 8 |
| 12 | Phil Mickelson | 24.3 | 58 |
| 13 | Paul Casey | 25.1 | WD |
| 14 | Tommy Fleetwood | 25.9 | 8 |
| 15 | Webb Simpson | 25.9 | 6 |
| 16 | Tiger Woods | 26.0 | 6 |
| 17 | Bryson DeChambeau | 29.5 | 19 |
| 18 | Louis Oosthuizen | 30.8 | 58 |
| 19 | Jon Rahm | 32.2 | 24 |
| 20 | Hideki Matsuyama | 32.3 | 15 |
| 21 | Adam Scott | 33.3 | 51 |
| 22 | Kyle Stanley | 34.2 | 45 |
| 23 | Tyrrell Hatton | 34.3 | 29 |
| 24 | Patrick Reed | 36.5 | 19 |
| 25 | Rafa Cabrera Bello | 37.1 | 41 |
| 26 | Henrik Stenson | 37.3 | 29 |
| 27 | Zach Johnson | 37.6 | 33 |
| 28 | Cameron Smith | 40.0 | 65 |
| 29 | Bubba Watson | 40.6 | 16 |
| 30 | Billy Horschel | 41.5 | 3 |
| 31 | Marc Leishman | 41.6 | 41 |
| 32 | Daniel Berger | 41.8 | DNP |
| 33 | Ian Poulter | 42.4 | 51 |
| 34 | Emiliano Grillo | 43.8 | 61 |
| 35 | Alex Noren | 43.9 | 24 |
| 36 | Gary Woodland | 45.6 | 12 |
| 37 | Brandt Snedeker | 46.0 | 67 |
| 38 | Kevin Na | 46.7 | 12 |
| 39 | Kevin Kisner | 48.1 | 58 |
| 40 | Adam Hadwin | 49.5 | 19 |
| 41 | Charles Howell | 50.1 | 24 |
| 42 | Keegan Bradley | 51.0 | 1 |
| 43 | Brian Harman | 51.1 | 68 |
| 44 | CT Pan | 51.5 | 38 |
| 45 | Ryan Palmer | 51.8 | 65 |
| 46 | Chris Kirk | 51.8 | 41 |
| 47 | Xander Schauffele | 52.0 | 3 |
| 48 | Chez Reavie | 52.7 | 38 |
| 49 | Aaron Wise | 53.3 | 16 |
| 50 | Abraham Ancer | 54.4 | 51 |
| 51 | Jason Kokrak | 55.0 | 19 |
| 52 | Pat Perez | 55.6 | 55 |
| 53 | Luke List | 55.7 | 45 |
| 54 | Chesson Hadley | 55.9 | 61 |
| 55 | Byeong Hun An | 56.3 | 29 |
| 56 | Peter Uihlein | 59.7 | 38 |
| 57 | Beau Hossler | 59.7 | 33 |
| 58 | Brian Gay | 60.4 | 45 |
| 59 | Brendan Steele | 61.1 | 64 |
| 60 | Andrew Putnam | 61.2 | 16 |
| 61 | JJ Spaun | 62.7 | 45 |
| 62 | Scott Piercy | 63.1 | 45 |
| 63 | Keith Mitchell | 63.3 | 45 |
| 64 | Brice Garnett | 63.4 | 35 |
| 65 | Austin Cook | 63.9 | 29 |
| 66 | Ryan Armour | 64.4 | 51 |
| 67 | Si Woo Kim | 65.6 | 41 |
| 68 | Andrew Landry | 68.7 | 35 |
| 69 | Ted Potter | 68.7 | 35 |
| 70 | Patton Kizzire | 69.7 | 61 |
| More | Less |
The accuracy number for these picks is 298. The average is 207. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)
Players are listed in order starting with the top pick to win the event. The Finish Estimate reflects each player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, and recent performance in the event. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public.
