13
May

PGA Championship

Thomas Hawley 0 comment
Rory McIlroy
Rory McIlroy
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Rory McIlroy -1.7 8
2 Tiger Woods 6.8 83
3 Dustin Johnson 11.5 2
4 Justin Rose 11.9 29
5 Jon Rahm 12.4 83
6 Jason Day 16.1 23
7 Rickie Fowler 17.9 36
8 Matt Kuchar 21.4 8
9 Patrick Cantlay 22.2 3
10 Brooks Koepka 22.8 1
11 Paul Casey 24.6 29
12 Webb Simpson 24.9 29
13 Francesco Molinari 25.8 48
14 Ian Poulter 28.3 103
15 Tommy Fleetwood 28.8 48
16 Sergio Garcia 28.9 83
17 Hideki Matsuyama 33.3 16
18 Xander Schauffele 34.7 16
19 Kevin Kisner 35.2 141
20 Louis Oosthuizen 35.4 60
21 Adam Scott 37.0 8
22 Jason Kokrak 38.0 23
23 Tony Finau 39.1 64
24 Rafa Cabrera Bello 39.2 71
25 Gary Woodland 39.8 8
26 Bryson DeChambeau 41.5 103
27 Scott Piercy 42.6 41
28 Henrik Stenson 43.1 48
29 Bubba Watson 44.1 83
30 Tyrrell Hatton 45.1 48
31 Marc Leishman 45.4 117
32 Lucas Glover 45.6 16
33 Kevin Na 47.8 83
34 Jim Furyk 48.0 83
35 Phil Mickelson 48.0 71
36 Jordan Spieth 48.2 3
37 Charles Howell 49.0 41
38 Patrick Reed 49.4 103
39 Alex Noren 49.5 54
40 Chez Reavie 49.6 14
41 Joel Dahmen 49.8 71
42 Ryan Palmer 49.9 137
43 Si Woo Kim 51.0 103
44 Emiliano Grillo 51.6 23
45 Zach Johnson 51.6 54
46 Billy Horschel 51.7 23
47 Charley Hoffman 52.2 54
48 Haotong Li 52.9 36
49 Matthew Fitzpatrick 52.9 41
50 Adam Hadwin 53.3 29
51 Aaron Wise 53.4 41
52 Byeong Hun An 53.5 117
53 Lucas Bjerregaard 53.7 16
54 Shane Lowry 53.9 8
55 Thomas Pieters 54.6 23
56 Matt Wallace 55.1 3
57 Jhonattan Vegas 55.2 141
58 Keegan Bradley 55.2 29
59 Cameron Smith 55.5 64
60 Ryan Moore 55.8 129
61 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 55.9 41
62 Kyle Stanley 56.1 83
63 Brandt Snedeker 56.2 16
64 Eddie Pepperell 56.2 133
65 Joost Luiten 56.3 64
66 Pat Perez 56.4 78
67 Sungjae Im 56.5 83
68 Thorbjorn Olesen 56.5 64
69 Luke List 57.2 6
70 Branden Grace 57.3 103
71 Keith Mitchell 58.0 83
72 Michael Thompson 58.0 124
73 Daniel Berger 58.1 71
74 Graeme McDowell 58.4 29
75 Russell Knox 58.4 83
76 Abraham Ancer 58.5 16
77 Julian Suri 59.2 83
78 CT Pan 59.3 124
79 Lee Westwood 59.5 110
80 Justin Harding 59.5 54
81 Sung Kang 59.7 7
82 Andrew Putnam 59.8 78
83 Brian Gay 61.4 156
84 Tom Lewis 62.0 110
85 JB Holmes 62.0 117
86 Erik Van Rooyen 62.2 8
87 Alexander Bjork 62.2 147
88 Jimmy Walker 63.1 23
89 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 63.2 16
90 Danny Lee 63.4 36
91 Max Homa 63.6 64
92 Harold Varner 63.7 36
93 Jorge Campillo 63.7 129
94 Steve Stricker 63.8 83
95 David Lipsky 64.0 71
96 Patton Kizzire 64.0 83
97 Kevin Tway 64.0 77
98 Chesson Hadley 64.1 124
99 Jason Dufner 64.1 117
100 Dylan Frittelli 64.1 83
101 Troy Merritt 64.1 110
102 JJ Spaun 64.2 54
103 Brian Harman 64.2 144
104 Ryan Armour 64.5 83
105 Beau Hossler 64.9 36
106 Ryan Fox 65.3 117
107 Richard Sterne 65.4 117
108 Corey Conners 65.7 64
109 Ross Fisher 65.7 60
110 Martin Kaymer 65.9 83
111 Sam Burns 66.0 29
112 Sam Ryder 66.6 DNP
113 Mikko Korhonen 67.1 117
114 Danny Willett 67.6 41
115 Lucas Herbert 68.2 71
116 Adrian Otaegui 68.4 83
117 Bronson Burgoon 69.2 48
118 Cameron Champ 69.8 54
119 Kelly Kraft 70.1 48
120 Satoshi Kodaira 70.9 124
121 Adam Long 71.0 41
122 Jazz Janewattananond 71.2 14
123 Padraig Harrington 71.7 137
124 Kurt Kitayama 72.5 64
125 Brandon Stone 72.5 137
126 Vijay Singh 72.7 DNP
127 Martin Trainer 74.9 83
128 Shaun Norris 75.3 110
129 Michael Kim 75.4 83
130 Shugo Imahira 75.6 110
131 YE Yang 76.3 133
132 Brendan Jones 77.5 147
133 John Daly 81.4 133
134 Shaun Micheel 82.1 144
135 Rich Beem 82.2 80
136 Daniel Balin 82.2 147
137 Alex Beach 82.2 137
138 Rich Berberian 82.2 133
139 Justin Bertsch 82.2 129
140 Craig Bowden 82.2 141
141 Jason Caron 82.2 124
142 Ben Cook 82.2 110
143 Stuart Deane 82.2 151
144 Andrew Filbert 82.2 155
145 Tyler Hall 82.2 83
146 Craig Hocknull 82.2 152
147 Marty Jertson 82.2 82
148 Rob Labritz 82.2 60
149 Brian Mackey 82.2 110
150 John O’Leary 82.2 150
151 Rod Perry 82.2 144
152 Casey Russell 82.2 129
153 Jeff Schmid 82.2 152
154 Cory Schneider 82.2 152
155 Ryan Vermeer 82.2 80
JT Poston late entry 62
Joaquin Niemann late entry 103
Richy Werenski late entry 105
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The accuracy number for these picks is 135. The average is 137. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order starting with the top pick to win the event. The Finish Estimate reflects each player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, and recent performance in the event. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public.
 

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