10
Jun

U.S. Open

Thomas Hawley 0 comment
Dustin Johnson
Dustin Johnson
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Dustin Johnson -0.3 35
2 Rory McIlroy 2.2 9
3 Patrick Cantlay 7.0 21
4 Tiger Woods 7.6 21
5 Brooks Koepka 14.0 2
6 Justin Rose 19.6 3
7 Matt Kuchar 20.1 16
8 Adam Scott 20.9 7
9 Justin Thomas 22.5 88
10 Jon Rahm 22.8 3
11 Webb Simpson 23.9 16
12 Rickie Fowler 25.2 43
13 Hideki Matsuyama 25.5 21
14 Tommy Fleetwood 26.4 65
15 Xander Schauffele 30.0 3
16 Jordan Spieth 33.3 65
17 Jason Day 33.3 21
18 Paul Casey 35.9 21
19 Ian Poulter 37.3 88
20 Sergio Garcia 37.3 52
21 Shane Lowry 38.4 28
22 Billy Horschel 39.3 32
23 Francesco Molinari 39.3 16
24 Gary Woodland 39.6 1
25 Marc Leishman 40.7 35
26 Tony Finau 41.1 88
27 Emiliano Grillo 42.8 58
28 Brandt Snedeker 43.3 77
29 Rory Sabbatini 43.9 43
30 Lucas Glover 44.0 80
31 Rafa Cabrera Bello 44.9 65
32 Louis Oosthuizen 45.4 7
33 Bryson DeChambeau 46.1 35
34 Henrik Stenson 46.5 9
35 Jim Furyk 46.7 28
36 Kevin Na 47.0 118
37 Tyrrell Hatton 47.0 21
38 Scott Piercy 47.4 52
39 Kevin Kisner 47.6 49
40 Chez Reavie 48.2 3
41 Matt Wallace 48.5 12
42 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 51.7 118
43 Charles Howell 52.1 52
44 Patrick Reed 52.7 32
45 Andrew Putnam 53.5 43
46 Thomas Pieters 53.6 141
47 Luke List 53.6 88
48 Bubba Watson 53.7 129
49 Haotong Li 53.8 52
50 Phil Mickelson 54.7 52
51 Byeong Hun An 55.3 16
52 Alex Noren 55.8 102
53 Zach Johnson 56.0 58
54 Graeme McDowell 56.1 16
55 Erik Van Rooyen 56.4 43
56 Matthew Fitzpatrick 56.7 12
57 Jason Dufner 57.0 35
58 Jhonattan Vegas 57.1 118
59 Cameron Smith 57.3 72
60 Lucas Bjerregaard 57.5 149
61 Keegan Bradley 58.0 118
62 Abraham Ancer 58.1 49
63 Joel Dahmen 58.8 102
64 CT Pan 59.1 145
65 Keith Mitchell 59.4 88
66 Aaron Wise 59.6 35
67 Danny Willett 60.1 12
68 Jimmy Walker 60.3 88
69 Daniel Berger 60.3 49
70 Si Woo Kim 60.4 129
71 Matt Jones 60.6 80
72 Martin Kaymer 61.0 35
73 Thorbjorn Olesen 61.1 112
74 Branden Grace 61.3 88
75 Kyle Stanley 62.1 65
76 Aaron Baddeley 62.1 102
77 Justin Harding 63.3 88
78 Brian Stuard 63.5 65
79 Nick Taylor 63.6 43
80 Chesson Hadley 65.4 9
81 JB Holmes 65.4 118
82 KH Lee 66.7 129
83 Bernd Wiesberger 67.5 76
84 Harris English 67.8 58
85 Patton Kizzire 67.8 102
86 Roberto Castro 68.2 149
87 Ryan Fox 68.7 102
88 Nate Lashley 68.9 28
89 Carlos Ortiz 69.4 52
90 Sam Horsfield 69.4 118
91 Marcus Kinhult 70.1 32
92 Anirban Lahiri 70.4 137
93 Ollie Schniederjans 70.5 80
94 Renato Paratore 71.1 118
95 Dean Burmester 71.4 102
96 Alex Prugh 71.8 21
97 Sam Saunders 71.9 102
98 Ernie Els 72.2 112
99 Sepp Straka 72.4 28
100 Tom Hoge 72.5 43
101 Julian Etulain 72.6 88
102 Clement Sordet 73.3 72
103 Brendon Todd 74.2 88
104 Luke Donald 74.2 72
105 Matthieu Pavon 74.4 102
106 Justin Walters 74.6 65
107 Cody Gribble 74.6 112
108 Adri Arnaus 74.8 58
109 Lee Slattery 74.8 80
110 Marcus Fraser 74.9 141
111 Brett Drewitt 75.7 145
112 Shugo Imahira 75.8 129
113 Billy Hurley 76.1 72
114 Zac Blair 77.0 149
115 Rob Oppenheim 77.0 80
116 Chan Kim 77.7 141
117 Mikumu Horikawa 78.4 112
118 Collin Morikawa 79.1 35
119 Viktor Hovland 79.7 12
120 Scottie Scheffler 79.8 88
121 Kodai Ichihara 80.2 148
122 Luis Gagne 80.3 118
123 Stewart Hagestad 80.9 118
124 David Toms 81.0 88
125 Jovan Rebula 81.0 88
126 Connor Arendell 81.1 129
127 Matt Parziale 81.3 137
128 Chip McDaniel 81.3 78
129 Mike Weir 81.4 112
130 Devon Bling 81.4 156
131 Callum Tarren 81.6 112
132 Brian Davis 81.6 137
133 Joseph Bramlett 81.7 80
134 Charlie Danielson 81.9 58
135 Nick Hardy 82.0 80
136 Luke Guthrie 82.0 129
137 Andy Pope 82.1 58
138 Rhys Enoch 82.1 71
139 Merrick Bremner 82.1 154
140 Richard Lee 82.2 129
141 Daniel Hillier 82.2 118
142 Cameron Young 82.2 137
143 Austin Eckroat 82.2 102
144 Michael Thorbjornsen 82.2 79
145 Eric Dietrich 82.2 154
146 Hayden Shieh 82.2 88
147 Kevin O’Connell 82.2 129
148 Noah Norton 82.2 149
149 Ryan Sullivan 82.2 141
150 Chandler Eaton 82.2 58
151 Mito Pereira 82.2 118
152 Spencer Tibbits 82.2 80
153 An Yu Chun 82.2 102
154 Brandon Wu 82.2 35
155 Andreas Halvorsen 82.2 153
156 Matthew Naumec 82.2 145
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The accuracy number for these picks is 81. The average is 135. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.
 

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