14
Jan

The American Express

Thomas Hawley 0 comment
Billy Horschel
Billy Horschel
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Billy Horschel 37.9 136
2 Byeong Hun An 38.4 118
3 Sungjae Im 40.0 10
4 Rickie Fowler 40.7 10
5 Paul Casey 42.1 21
6 Jason Kokrak 43.8 118
7 Charles Howell 46.8 95
8 Vaughn Taylor 47.2 43
9 Rory Sabbatini 48.0 48
10 Francesco Molinari 50.0 139
11 Kevin Kisner 50.3 108
12 Tony Finau 50.5 14
13 Lucas Glover 50.5 76
14 Ryan Moore 51.5 6
15 Abraham Ancer 52.0 2
16 Kevin Na 53.1 17
17 Andrew Putnam 53.2 10
18 Denny McCarthy 54.6 48
19 JT Poston 54.8 37
20 Alex Noren 55.8 14
21 Brian Harman 56.3 21
22 Russell Knox 56.6 37
23 Phil Mickelson 57.1 129
24 Joel Dahmen 57.1 DNP
25 Bud Cauley 57.1 4
26 Harold Varner 57.8 83
27 Daniel Berger 58.0 29
28 Scottie Scheffler 58.2 3
29 Scott Piercy 58.2 61
30 Danny Lee 58.4 108
31 Cameron Tringale 58.7 43
32 Carlos Ortiz 59.1 48
33 Harris English 59.1 48
34 Nick Taylor 59.6 83
35 Brian Stuard 59.8 72
36 Brendon Todd 60.1 37
37 Chez Reavie 60.2 76
38 Zach Johnson 61.3 118
39 Sebastian Munoz 61.4 21
40 Nick Watney 61.7 29
41 Adam Long 62.3 95
42 Kevin Streelman 62.3 76
43 Brian Gay 62.6 118
44 Henrik Norlander 62.8 68
45 Aaron Wise 63.1 95
46 Kyle Stanley 63.2 83
47 Nate Lashley 63.7 WD
48 Matthew Wolff 63.8 61
49 Wyndham Clark 63.8 83
50 Bronson Burgoon 64.2 43
51 Aaron Baddeley 64.2 132
52 Peter Malnati 64.3 108
53 Brendan Steele 64.5 43
54 Brice Garnett 64.6 118
55 Ryan Armour 64.7 132
56 Troy Merritt 64.7 68
57 Talor Gooch 64.7 17
58 Jhonattan Vegas 65.1 55
59 Chesson Hadley 65.4 29
60 Si Woo Kim 65.4 WD
61 DJ Trahan 65.4 68
62 Luke List 65.4 95
63 Michael Thompson 65.7 95
64 Richy Werenski 65.7 118
65 Beau Hossler 65.8 132
66 Matt Every 65.8 74
67 Cameron Champ 65.9 21
68 Stewart Cink 66.2 118
69 Doc Redman 66.4 29
70 Charley Hoffman 66.7 61
71 Steve Stricker 66.9 95
72 Kevin Chappell 67.0 108
73 Jason Dufner 67.1 55
74 Lucas Bjerregaard 67.1 108
75 Adam Schenk 67.3 14
76 Bill Haas 67.4 108
77 Scott Stallings 67.5 55
78 Martin Laird 67.6 95
79 Max Homa 67.6 48
80 Bo Hoag 67.7 WD
81 Mark Hubbard 68.0 43
82 Fabian Gomez 68.1 55
83 Sam Burns 68.1 6
84 Sam Ryder 68.3 29
85 Roger Sloan 68.3 83
86 Austin Cook 68.4 129
87 David Hearn 68.4 37
88 Tyler Duncan 68.4 64
89 Jimmy Walker 68.5 76
90 Xinjun Zhang 68.5 95
91 Dominic Bozzelli 68.7 149
92 Scott Brown 68.8 149
93 KH Lee 68.8 21
94 Hank Lebioda 68.9 17
95 Chris Stroud 69.0 95
96 Tom Hoge 69.0 6
97 Robby Shelton 69.3 142
98 Matthew NeSmith 69.3 17
99 Ted Potter 69.3 37
100 Shawn Stefani 69.4 DNP
101 Wes Roach 69.4 64
102 Andrew Landry 69.5 1
103 Cameron Davis 69.5 29
104 Russell Henley 69.6 83
105 Robert Streb 69.7 142
106 Roberto Castro 69.8 DNP
107 Hudson Swafford 69.8 95
108 Harry Higgs 69.9 83
109 Mackenzie Hughes 70.0 95
110 Sepp Straka 70.1 4
111 Cameron Percy 70.1 76
112 Scott Harrington 70.1 108
113 Zack Sucher 70.3 83
114 Zac Blair 70.4 55
115 Kramer Hickok 70.5 132
116 Seamus Power 70.5 DNP
117 Johnson Wagner 70.8 DNP
118 JJ Spaun 70.9 118
119 Peter Uihlein 71.0 DNP
120 Maverick McNealy 71.0 37
121 Patrick Rodgers 71.0 64
122 Josh Teater 71.2 68
123 Ben Martin 71.4 29
124 Rob Oppenheim 71.6 95
125 Patton Kizzire 71.8 95
126 Chase Seiffert 71.8 21
127 Doug Ghim 72.0 118
128 Mark Anderson 72.0 DNP
129 Anirban Lahiri 72.1 73
130 Greg Chalmers 72.1 118
131 James Hahn 72.1 129
132 Ricky Barnes 72.2 140
133 Grayson Murray 72.4 10
134 Ben Crane 72.5 WD
135 John Huh 72.6 48
136 Chad Campbell 72.8 DNP
137 Joseph Bramlett 73.5 136
138 George McNeill 73.6 DNP
139 Hunter Mahan 74.2 152
140 Chris Baker 74.4 83
141 Ryan Brehm 74.9 55
142 Rhein Gibson 74.9 148
143 Tim Wilkinson 74.9 21
144 Kristoffer Ventura 75.0 83
145 Rafael Campos 75.1 146
146 Tyler McCumber 75.2 64
147 Brandon Hagy 75.4 48
148 Ben Taylor 75.5 76
149 Michael Gellerman 75.9 76
150 Martin Trainer 76.4 153
151 Michael Gligic 76.5 21
152 Vincent Whaley 76.6 29
153 John Senden 76.7 142
154 Bo Van Pelt 76.8 83
155 Isaiah Salinda 76.8 83
156 Sebastian Cappelen 76.9 6
157 Nelson Ledesma 76.9 108
158 Vince Covello 77.2 118
159 Kevin Stadler 77.4 136
160 Akshay Bhatia 77.6 108
161 Mark Wilson 80.6 140
162 Seung-yul Noh 81.7 108
163 Brian Smock 82.2 151
Charles Reiter late entry 142
Sam Saunders late entry 147
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The accuracy number for these picks is 10. The average is 139. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

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