23
Aug

BMW Championship

Thomas Hawley 0 comment

Jon Rahm
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Jon Rahm 6.6 1
2 Rory McIlroy 14.8 12
3 Webb Simpson 17.1 DNP
4 Dustin Johnson 18.6 2
5 Justin Thomas 20.2 25
6 Xander Schauffele 20.3 25
7 Adam Scott 28.7 25
8 Patrick Cantlay 30.1 12
9 Hideki Matsuyama 30.3 3
10 Jason Day 30.6 64
11 Daniel Berger 31.3 25
12 Tony Finau 33.1 5
13 Bryson DeChambeau 34.9 50
14 Ryan Palmer 36.6 40
15 Patrick Reed 37.5 40
16 Matt Kuchar 37.6 59
17 Billy Horschel 38.8 33
18 Scottie Scheffler 39.3 20
19 Kevin Kisner 39.6 25
20 Collin Morikawa 39.8 20
21 Tiger Woods 41.2 51
22 Louis Oosthuizen 41.6 25
23 Tyrrell Hatton 41.7 16
24 Paul Casey 42.2 16
25 Matthew Fitzpatrick 42.9 6
26 Jason Kokrak 44.6 6
27 Gary Woodland 46.7 33
28 Abraham Ancer 47.1 33
29 Harris English 47.5 40
30 Joel Dahmen 49.9 20
31 Byeong Hun An 49.9 12
32 Viktor Hovland 50.0 40
33 Kevin Na 50.5 51
34 Marc Leishman 50.6 69
35 Sungjae Im 50.7 56
36 Alex Noren 51.3 40
37 Bubba Watson 53.3 16
38 Matthew Wolff 54.7 16
39 Charles Howell 56.7 48
40 Talor Gooch 57.1 65
41 Mackenzie Hughes 57.4 10
42 Russell Henley 57.9 25
43 Brian Harman 58.0 12
44 Brendon Todd 58.8 8
45 Adam Hadwin 59.3 40
46 JT Poston 59.5 59
47 Brendan Steele 59.5 33
48 Mark Hubbard 60.1 51
49 Corey Conners 60.1 33
50 Lanto Griffin 60.4 10
51 Kevin Streelman 60.8 51
52 Dylan Frittelli 61.4 33
53 Cameron Champ 61.4 65
54 Cameron Smith 61.6 20
55 Max Homa 61.9 59
56 Adam Long 63.3 56
57 Robby Shelton 63.3 59
58 Joaquin Niemann 64.1 3
59 Michael Thompson 64.6 59
60 Maverick McNealy 65.1 40
61 Danny Lee 65.3 33
62 Sebastian Munoz 65.5 8
63 Nick Taylor 66.5 51
64 Harry Higgs 67.2 56
65 Richy Werenski 67.5 20
66 Carlos Ortiz 68.2 25
67 Tom Hoge 69.6 65
68 Tyler Duncan 70.4 48
69 Andrew Landry 70.9 68
70 Jim Herman 75.4 40
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The accuracy number for these picks is 430. The average is 137. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

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