I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .595 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .270 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	History
Alex Smalley	0.567
Ben Martin	0.531
Rafael Campos	0.509
Greyson Sigg	0.432
Sean O’Hair	0.412
Jonathan Byrd	0.393
Kevin Tway	0.385
Charley Hoffman	0.378

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Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Taylor Moore	55	970.2
Ben Griffin	62	940.4
Andrew Novak	67	895.5
Keith Mitchell	68	894.1
Patrick Rodgers	69	886.7
Seamus Power	74	806.8
Alex Smalley	81	764.9
Andrew Putnam	83	718.4

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Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player	Rank	Rating
Scottie Scheffler	1	3171.8
Rory McIlroy	2	2670.9
Xander Schauffele	3	2383.0
Collin Morikawa	4	2362.4

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Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Alejandro Tosti	935.0
Sam Ryder	884.7
Ryan Fox	730.6
Steven Fisk	684.6
Henrik Norlander	619.8
Danny Walker	414.2
William Mouw	413.7
Rico Hoey	391.9

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Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Mark Hubbard	-561.1
Charley Hoffman	-537.1
Greyson Sigg	-535.7
Patrick Rodgers	-509.2
Ben Griffin	-491.9
Adam Svensson	-485.9
Vince Whaley	-475.4
Sam Stevens	-456.2

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Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the Corales course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last seven years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.22	Greens in regulation
0.12	Scrambling
0.12	Driving distance
0.08	Shots gained around the green

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Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Rico Hoey	72.32
Keith Mitchell	72.39
Andrew Putnam	72.40
Steven Fisk	72.48
Chris Gotterup	72.48
Michael Thorbjornsen	72.50
Ben Griffin	72.52
Ricky Castillo	72.53

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Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Philip Knowles	73.7
Rafael Campos	73.7
Frankie Capan	73.7
Mason Andersen	73.7
Braden Thornberry	73.6
Will Chandler	73.6
Aaron Baddeley	73.5
Taylor Dickson	73.5

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Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2025 and Punta Cana, Dominican Republic, the event host city.

Player	Residence	Distance
Rafael Campos	Guaynabo, PR	150
Kevin Tway	Jupiter, FL	950
Patrick Rodgers	Palm Beach Gardens, FL	950
Adam Svensson	Palm Beach Gardens, FL	950
Hayden Buckley	Naples FL	1000
Ben Kohles	Ponte Vedra Beach, FL	1150
Lanto Griffin	Ponte Vedra Beach, FL	1150
Sam Ryder	Atlantic Beach, FL	1150

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Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.373
I love this place	0.178
Ooh, that’s hot	0.120
Location, location, location	0.013