05
May

A look at the Truist Championship

Thomas Hawley 0 comment

I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event (formerly the Wells Fargo). The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .590 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .270 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player History
Rory McIlroy 0.856
Max Homa 0.730
Xander Schauffele 0.626
Corey Conners 0.614
Rickie Fowler 0.603
Keegan Bradley 0.574
Jason Day 0.559
Denny McCarthy 0.542

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player Rank Rating
Rory McIlroy 2 2626.2
Xander Schauffele 3 2389.2
Collin Morikawa 4 2203.0
Russell Henley 5 1991.4
Patrick Cantlay 6 1913.6
Tommy Fleetwood 7 1882.3
Justin Thomas 8 1844.5
Ludvig Aberg 9 1763.7

Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player Rank Rating
Scottie Scheffler 1 3199.9
Bryson DeChambeau 16 1459.7
Jon Rahm 17 1455.7
Luke Clanton 25 1308.8

Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player Upward change
Andrew Novak 2535.9
Rory McIlroy 1893.5
Jordan Spieth 1525.1
Daniel Berger 1510.6
Tom Hoge 1189.0
Brian Harman 1133.2
Bud Cauley 1116.4
Maverick McNealy 1094.7

Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player Downward change
Ludvig Aberg -1177.5
Adam Scott -1131.3
Robert MacIntyre -910.8
Christiaan Bezuidenhout -881.8
Akshay Bhatia -879.0
Tony Finau -846.6
Thomas Detry -729.7
Nick Dunlap -687.3

Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2025 and Philadelphia, the event host city.

Player Residence Distance
Michael Thorbjornsen Wellesley, MA 225
Keegan Bradley Woodstock, VT 250
Corey Conners Listowel, Ontario 375
Akshay Bhatia Wake Forest, NC 375
Jacob Bridgeman Greenville, SC 550
Chris Kirk Athens, GA 650
Brian Campbell Hilton Head Island, SC 650
Stephan Jaeger Chattanooga, TN 675

Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic Correlation to results
Top of the heap 0.374
I love this place 0.180
Ooh, that’s hot 0.119
Location, location, location 0.011
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