PGA Championship Power Ratings

12
May

PGA Championship Power Ratings

Thomas Hawley 0 comment

Dates: May 15-18, 2025. Venue: Quail Hollow Club, Charlotte NC.
Purse: $18.8 million (2024)

Scottie Scheffler

Pick	Player	Power Number	Observed Odds	Course fit
1	Scottie Scheffler	-20.0	13-1	72.1
2	Rory McIlroy	6.7	25-1	71.8
3	Xander Schauffele	9.5	25-1	73.3
4	Russell Henley	16.1	35-1	72.8
5	Justin Thomas	17.5	35-1	72.9
6	Patrick Cantlay	18.4	35-1	72.4
7	Collin Morikawa	18.5	35-1	72.2
8	Corey Conners	21.4	40-1	72.3
9	Tommy Fleetwood	22.1	40-1	72.5
10	Sepp Straka	27.0	50-1	72.5
11	Shane Lowry	27.1	50-1	72.5
12	Jon Rahm	28.7	55-1
13	Maverick McNealy	30.5	60-1	72.6
14	Bryson DeChambeau	30.6	60-1
15	Sungjae Im	30.8	60-1	72.3
16	Jason Day	31.1	60-1	72.8
17	Alex Noren	32.5	65-1
18	Andrew Novak	33.1	65-1	72.5
19	Daniel Berger	34.7	70-1	72.4
20	Jordan Spieth	34.7	70-1	72.6
21	Viktor Hovland	35.0	70-1	72.7
22	Sam Burns	35.3	75-1	72.7
23	Denny McCarthy	36.0	75-1	73
24	Hideki Matsuyama	36.2	75-1	72.7
25	Tom Hoge	36.3	75-1	73.4
26	Brian Harman	36.9	80-1	72.8
27	Bud Cauley	37.8	85-1	72.5
28	Ludvig Aberg	37.8	85-1	72.2
29	Keegan Bradley	38.3	85-1	72.4
30	Mackenzie Hughes	39.0	90-1	73
31	Si Woo Kim	39.7	90-1	72.4
32	Wyndham Clark	40.4	95-1	72.7
33	Lucas Glover	40.8	100-1	72.5
34	Tyrrell Hatton	41.4	100-1
35	JT Poston	42.4	100-1	72.7
36	Keith Mitchell	42.4	100-1	72
37	Harris English	43.1	100-1	72.7
38	Eric Cole	43.3	100-1	73.2
39	Ben Griffin	43.4	100-1	72.7
40	Davis Thompson	43.4	100-1	72.2
41	Tony Finau	43.9	100-1	72.5
42	Min Woo Lee	44.0	100-1	72.6
43	Aaron Rai	44.1	100-1	72.3
44	JJ Spaun	44.1	100-1	72.6
45	Stephan Jaeger	44.1	100-1	73.1
46	Byeong Hun An	45.1	100-1	72.2
47	Cameron Smith	45.6	100-1
48	Taylor Pendrith	45.6	100-1	72
49	Michael Kim	46.0	100-1	72.6
50	Akshay Bhatia	46.5	100-1	72.8
51	Jake Knapp	48.1	150-1	73
52	Joaquin Niemann	49.2	150-1
53	Dean Burmester	49.5	150-1
54	Nick Taylor	50.0	150-1	72.8
55	Sergio Garcia	50.2	150-1
56	Adam Scott	50.5	150-1	72.8
57	Richard Bland	50.5	150-1
58	Jacob Bridgeman	51.2	150-1	72.7
59	Thomas Detry	51.5	150-1	72.5
60	Max Greyserman	51.7	200-1	73.1
61	Robert MacIntyre	51.8	200-1	72.1
62	Sahith Theegala	52.0	200-1	72.9
63	Lee Hodges	52.2	200-1	72.7
64	Taylor Moore	52.6	200-1	72.2
65	David Puig	52.8	200-1
66	Ryo Hisatsune	52.9	200-1	72.6
67	Brooks Koepka	53.1	200-1
68	Ryan Gerard	53.3	200-1	72.7
69	Harry Hall	53.3	200-1	73
70	Patrick Rodgers	53.7	200-1	72.8
71	Cam Davis	54.1	200-1	73.5
72	Michael Thorbjornsen	54.2	200-1	72.6
73	Christiaan Bezuidenhout	54.2	200-1	73.5
74	Rasmus Hojgaard	55.0	250-1	72.9
75	Justin Rose	55.0	250-1	72.8
76	Cameron Young	55.3	250-1	72.6
77	Alex Smalley	55.4	250-1	72.2
78	Sam Stevens	55.7	250-1	72.5
79	Nicolai Hojgaard	55.7	250-1	72.9
80	Kurt Kitayama	56.0	250-1	72.2
81	Adam Hadwin	56.9	300-1	73
82	Will Zalatoris	56.9	300-1	72.7
83	Kevin Yu	57.4	300-1	72.2
84	Sami Valimaki	57.5	300-1	73.1
85	Chris Kirk	57.8	300-1	72.6
86	Seamus Power	57.8	300-1	72.8
87	Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen	57.9	300-1	72.1
88	Matt Fitzpatrick	57.9	300-1	72.5
89	Erik van Rooyen	58.1	300-1	72.7
90	Tom Kim	58.3	350-1	72.9
91	Gary Woodland	58.4	350-1	72.5
92	Matt Kuchar	58.4	350-1	73
93	Nico Echavarria	58.6	350-1	73.2
94	Thorbjorn Olesen	59.3	350-1	72.3
95	Vince Whaley	59.5	400-1	72.8
96	Dustin Johnson	59.7	400-1
97	Victor Perez	59.7	400-1	72.5
98	Patrick Fishburn	59.8	400-1	72.7
99	Doug Ghim	59.9	400-1	72.6
100	Max Homa	60.0	400-1	73
101	Beau Hossler	60.4	400-1	73.5
102	Rico Hoey	60.5	400-1	72
103	Justin Lower	60.6	400-1	73
104	Austin Eckroat	61.6	500-1	72.5
105	Patrick Reed	62.1	500-1	72.9
106	Matt McCarty	62.1	500-1	72.8
107	Rickie Fowler	62.5	500-1	72.7
108	Nick Dunlap	62.9	500-1	74.8
109	Karl Vilips	63.1	500-1	73.4
110	Matt Wallace	63.8	600-1	73
111	Phil Mickelson	64.0	600-1
112	Tom McKibbin	64.5	600-1	72
113	Joe Highsmith	64.7	600-1	72.7
114	Jhonattan Vegas	64.9	600-1	72.7
115	Eugenio Chacarra	65.1	600-1	72.5
116	Niklas Norgaard	65.3	800-1	72.1
117	Davis Riley	65.3	800-1	73.7
118	Garrick Higgo	65.8	800-1
119	Johnny Keefer	65.9	800-1
120	Max McGreevy	65.9	800-1	72.4
121	Martin Kaymer	66.4	800-1
122	Takumi Kanaya	67.8	1000-1	72.4
123	Carson Young	68.0	1000-1	72.3
124	John Catlin	68.5	1000-1
125	Matthieu Pavon	68.6	1000-1	72.8
126	David Lipsky	68.7	1000-1	73.3
127	Laurie Canter	69.1	1000-1	71.6
128	Brian Campbell	69.4	1000-1	73.7
129	Keita Nakajima	69.5	1000-1	72.1
130	Daniel van Tonder	71.8	2000-1
131	John Parry	72.4	2000-1	72.7
132	Padraig Harrington	72.4	2000-1
133	Marco Penge	72.5	2000-1	72.3
134	Patton Kizzire	72.5	2000-1	73.1
135	Elvis Smylie	72.7	2000-1	72.9
136	Luke Donald	73.4	2000-1
137	Jimmy Walker	73.8	2000-1
138	Tom Johnson	75.3	2000-1
139	Jason Dufner	76.1	2000-1
140	Michael Block	76.1	2000-1
141	Vijay Singh	76.2	2000-1
142	Greg Koch	76.2	2000-1
143	Thriston Lawrence	76.6	2000-1	72.9
144	Brian Bergstol	77.5	2000-1
145	Brandon Bingaman	77.5	2000-1
146	Andre Chi	77.5	2000-1
147	Tyler Collet	77.5	2000-1
148	Jesse Droemer	77.5	2000-1
149	Bobby Gates	77.5	2000-1
150	Larkin Gross	77.5	2000-1
151	Justin Hicks	77.5	2000-1
152	Nic Ishee	77.5	2000-1
153	Michael Kartrude	77.5	2000-1
154	Ryan Lenahan	77.5	2000-1
155	Shaun Micheel	77.5	2000-1
156	Dylan Newman	77.5	2000-1
157	John Somers	77.5	2000-1
158	Bob Sowards	77.5	2000-1
159	Eric Steger	77.5	2000-1
160	Rupe Taylor	77.5	2000-1
161	Timothy Wiseman	77.5	2000-1
162	Rafael Campos	78.4	2000-1	73.8
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Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.