I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .715 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .335 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	History
Hideki Matsuyama	0.807
Jon Rahm	0.785
Jordan Spieth	0.763
Justin Thomas	0.734
Webb Simpson	0.730
Justin Rose	0.689
Patrick Reed	0.672
Rory McIlroy	0.650

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Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Jon Rahm	1	1521.0
Justin Thomas	2	1346.3
Scottie Scheffler	3	1250.1
Dustin Johnson	4	1249.6
Cameron Smith	5	1245.6
Patrick Cantlay	6	1243.7
Viktor Hovland	7	1215.5
Xander Schauffele	8	1201.4

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Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player	Rank	Rating
Alex Noren	29	841.9
Keith Mitchell	39	737.4
Cameron Tringale	41	723.3
Harris English	44	706.9

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Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Scottie Scheffler	1697.3
Tyrrell Hatton	1628.2
Max Homa	1554.2
Viktor Hovland	1378.8
Shane Lowry	1337.1
Sepp Straka	1267.5
Kevin Kisner	1248.1
Corey Conners	1177.8

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Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Bryson DeChambeau	-822.5
Webb Simpson	-699.4
Matthew Wolff	-581.3
Ryan Palmer	-547.0
Justin Rose	-531.4
Bubba Watson	-473.6
Louis Oosthuizen	-407.5
Luke List	-351.1

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Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.15	Putts per GIR
0.14	Scrambling
0.08	Greens in regulation
0.07	Shots gained off the tee

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Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Jon Rahm	72.31
Thomas Pieters	72.40
Patrick Cantlay	72.40
Padraig Harrington	72.49
Cameron Young	72.53
Sungjae Im	72.63
Sergio Garcia	72.63
Viktor Hovland	72.64

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Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Guido Migliozzi	74.3
Charl Schwartzel	73.6
Takumi Kanaya	73.6
Garrick Higgo	73.5
Min Woo Lee	73.5
Matthew Wolff	73.5
Gary Woodland	73.5
Danny Willett	73.5

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Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2022 and the event venue.

Player	Residence	Distance
Luke List	Augusta GA	2
Kevin Kisner	Aiken SC	16
Stewart Cink	Atlanta GA	75
Sepp Straka	Athens GA	75
Russell Henley	Kiawah Island SC	125
Webb Simpson	Charlotte NC	125
Mac Hughes	Charlotte NC	125
Harold Varner	Charlotte NC	150

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Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.214
Ooh, that’s hot	0.158
I love this place	0.125
Location, location, location	0.120