I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .715 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .335 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	History
Brandt Snedeker	0.850
Danny Lee	0.818
Mackenzie Hughes	0.758
Shane Lowry	0.686
Jhonattan Vegas	0.626
Harold Varner	0.609
Ricky Barnes	0.566
Charley Hoffman	0.513

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Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this week’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Justin Thomas	2	1472.6
Cameron Smith	4	1383.3
Rory McIlroy	5	1379.2
Scottie Scheffler	7	1369.9
Sam Burns	11	1140.0
Shane Lowry	14	1119.1
Matthew Fitzpatrick	16	1094.8
Corey Conners	17	1064.4

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Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this week.

Player	Rank	Rating
Jon Rahm	1	1557.1
Patrick Cantlay	3	1447.0
Xander Schauffele	6	1372.9
Will Zalatoris	8	1248.0

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Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Rory McIlroy	1567.7
Sam Burns	1307.6
Harold Varner	1024.9
Tony Finau	792.2
Stephan Jaeger	658.8
Chris Kirk	543.2
Christopher Gotterup	528.6
Matthew Fitzpatrick	520.5

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Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Adam Hadwin	-459.9
Charley Hoffman	-415.3
Doug Ghim	-355.9
Harry Higgs	-320.8
JJ Spaun	-303.0
Robert Streb	-291.9
Carlos Ortiz	-276.3
Matthias Schwab	-262.8

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Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the St. George’s Golf and Country Club course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. (The only prior Canadian Open on the course was in 2010.) In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.17	Scrambling
0.15	Putts per GIR
0.11	Driving distance
0.09	Greens in regulation

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Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Justin Thomas	72.29
Rory McIlroy	72.36
Taylor Pendrith	72.42
Rasmus Hojgaard	72.43
Sam Burns	72.44
Scottie Scheffler	72.45
Luke List	72.47
Trey Mullinax	72.51

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Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Wesley Bryan	73.8
Joshua Creel	73.7
Ted Potter	73.6
David Hearn	73.6
Max McGreevy	73.6
Kelly Kraft	73.6
Fabian Gomez	73.6
Dawie van der Walt	73.5

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Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2022 and Toronto, home of the event venue.

Player	Residence	Distance
Michael Gligic	Kitchener ON	50
Corey Conners	Listowel ON	75
Ryan Armour	Silver Lake OH	200
Justin Lower	Uniontown OH	225
Bo Hoag	Columbus Oh	325
Brandon Wu	Scarsdale NY	350
Nick Hardy	Northbrook IL	450
Alex Smalley	Greensboro NC	525