I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the Travelers Championship. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .715 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .335 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	History
Patrick Cantlay	0.635
Brian Harman	0.610
Jason Day	0.556
Marc Leishman	0.546
Kevin Streelman	0.517
Zach Johnson	0.493
Russell Henley	0.482
Brendan Steele	0.482

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Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Rory McIlroy	2	1521.9
Patrick Cantlay	3	1499.2
Justin Thomas	4	1478.0
Scottie Scheffler	5	1463.7
Xander Schauffele	6	1417.6
Sam Burns	10	1195.0
Jordan Spieth	13	1125.6
Joaquin Niemann	20	1024.1

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Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player	Rank	Rating
Jon Rahm	1	1609.6
Will Zalatoris	7	1359.2
Cameron Smith	8	1301.2
Matthew Fitzpatrick	9	1237.8

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Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Brendan Steele	1782.5
Davis Riley	1611.4
Rory McIlroy	1543.5
Denny McCarthy	1517.9
Mito Pereira	1490.7
Patrick Cantlay	1315.1
Xander Schauffele	1265.3
Seamus Power	1212.5

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Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Keegan Bradley	-895.4
Russell Henley	-771.2
Kevin Kisner	-625.5
Erik van Rooyen	-580.5
Harris English	-554.4
Maverick McNealy	-548.2
Sepp Straka	-501.0
Kevin Streelman	-476.2

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Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on the TPC River Highlands course within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.29	Shots gained off the tee
0.14	Shots gained in approach
0.06	Shots gained around the green
0.04	Putts per GIR

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Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Rory McIlroy	68.02
Justin Thomas	68.15
Joaquin Niemann	68.28
Luke List	68.35
Xander Schauffele	68.39
Mito Pereira	68.42
Sungjae Im	68.50
Jordan Spieth	68.51

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Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Martin Trainer	70.9
Chesson Hadley	70.9
Richy Werenski	70.7
Joshua Creel	70.7
Kelly Kraft	70.6
Austin Cook	70.5
Ben Kohles	70.5
Brett Drewitt	70.5

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Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2022 and Cromwell CT, the event venue.

Player	Residence	Distance
Brandon Wu	Scarsdale NY	75
Keegan Bradley	Woodstock VT	150
Marc Leishman	Virginia Beach VA	375
Michael Gligic	Kitchener ON	425
Ryan Armour	Silver Lake OH	450
Justin Lower	Uniontown OH	450
Jason Kokrak	Cleveland Oh	475
Cameron Percy	Raleigh NC	525
Chesson Hadley	Raleigh NC	525

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Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.328
I love this place	0.177
Ooh, that’s hot	0.151
Location, location, location	0.032