I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .715 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .335 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	History
Jordan Spieth	0.826
Kevin Streelman	0.662
Nick Taylor	0.628
Troy Merritt	0.609
Russell Knox	0.517
Maverick McNealy	0.503
Tom Hoge	0.484
Joel Dahmen	0.425

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Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Matthew Fitzpatrick	15	1266.0
Viktor Hovland	16	1246.5
Jordan Spieth	23	1097.1
Seamus Power	32	964.5
Maverick McNealy	33	945.9
Keith Mitchell	44	860.7
Tom Hoge	47	851.4
Ben Griffin	51	838.6

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Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player	Rank	Rating
Patrick Cantlay	1	1880.0
Jon Rahm	2	1834.0
Rory McIlroy	3	1822.2
Xander Schauffele	4	1657.8

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Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Joel Dahmen	1503.9
Robby Shelton	668.1
Erik Barnes	653.1
Callum Tarren	623.6
Justin Rose	608.2
Harry Higgs	447.2
Alex Smalley	413.9
Andrew Putnam	310.2

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Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Jordan Spieth	-856.8
Matthew NeSmith	-565.0
Keith Mitchell	-520.9
Webb Simpson	-514.8
Davis Riley	-492.4
Taylor Pendrith	-471.3
Scott Stallings	-458.9
Taylor Moore	-456.5

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Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.06	Putts per GIR
0.03	Driving distance
0.02	Shots gained in approach
0.01	Scrambling

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Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Brandon Matthews	71.27
Marcel Siem	71.27
Joseph Bramlett	71.29
Dean Burmester	71.29
Trey Mullinax	71.29
Thomas Detry	71.29
Taylor Pendrith	71.29
Matthias Schmid	71.29

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Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Brian Gay	71.5
David Lingmerth	71.4
Scott Brown	71.4
Brian Stuard	71.4
Andrew Landry	71.4
Zac Blair	71.4
Paul Haley	71.4
Aaron Baddeley	71.4

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Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2022 and the event venue.

Player	Residence	Distance
Martin Trainer	Palo Alto CA	50
Justin Suh	Los Angeles Ca	275
Doug Ghim	Las Vegas NV	375
David Lipsky	Las Vegas NV	375
Harry Hall	Las Vegas NV	375
Maverick McNealy	Las Vegas NV	375
Charley Hoffman	Las Vegas NV	375
Seamus Power	Las Vegas NV	375
Joseph Bramlett	Las Vegas NV	375
Scott Piercy	Las Vegas NV	375
Nick Watney	Las Vegas NV	375

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Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.370
I love this place	0.174
Ooh, that’s hot	0.133
Location, location, location	0.032