20
Feb

LIV Golf Mayakoba Power Ratings

Thomas Hawley 0 comment

LIV Golf opens its second season in Mayakoba, Mexico on Friday with (shudder) a stronger lineup than what the PGA Tour is offering concurrently in Florida. Using numbers based on the Hawley Ratings, the LIV field has two top-10 players vs. none in the PGA event, three top-20 players vs. one in the PGA event, and 25 top-100 players vs. 23 in the PGA event.

Dustin Johnson is the top-rated player, however he has not played a competitive round since the LIV Championship in late October. Many will consider Abraham Ancer to be the favorite based on dual American and Mexican citizenship. And perhaps more significantly, he has a couple of events under his belt in 2023, a January missed cut in Dubai followed by the win in the PIF Saudi International earlier this month. Cameron Smith won a November event in his home country of Australia but missed the cut in the Saudi event. Joaquin Niemann has two top-10s in Middle Eastern events this month. Talor Gooch and Paul Casey also finished well in the Saudi event.


Dustin Johnson
Pick Player Power Number Actual Finish
1 Dustin Johnson 4.1 33
2 Cameron Smith 19.4 5
3 Joaquin Niemann 26.6 13
4 Talor Gooch 24.5 7
5 Paul Casey 28.4 4
6 Abraham Ancer 35.5 15
7 Mito Pereira 39.5 15
8 Patrick Reed 36.3 38
9 Harold Varner 43.1 28
10 Sergio Garcia 43.5 24
11 Brooks Koepka 44.3 28
12 Kevin Na 47.9 19
13 Louis Oosthuizen 47.8 41
14 Bryson DeChambeau 45.6 19
15 Matthew Wolff 45.2 7
16 Marc Leishman 46.8 15
17 Cameron Tringale 49.4 19
18 Jason Kokrak 48.1 19
19 Brendan Steele 48.9 7
20 Pat Perez 48.6 7
21 Charles Howell 48.0 1
22 Bubba Watson 49.3 40
23 Sebastian Munoz 53.4 7
24 Anirban Lahiri 51.2 32
25 Thomas Pieters 54.1 33
26 Ian Poulter 55.0 13
27 Lee Westwood 56.6 41
28 Richard Bland 53.9 24
29 Matt Jones 55.9 24
30 Branden Grace 55.3 3
31 Charl Schwartzel 59.0 37
32 Chase Koepka 57.6 47
33 Peter Uihlein 56.3 2
34 Dean Burmester 60.2 19
35 Eugenio Chacarra 58.9 28
36 Bernd Wiesberger 58.4 44
37 Carlos Ortiz 60.0 5
38 Sam Horsfield 64.1 44
39 Danny Lee 64.6 33
40 Phil Mickelson 63.0 28
41 Henrik Stenson 63.0 24
42 James Piot 63.7 33
43 Graeme McDowell 64.9 7
44 Martin Kaymer 66.7 DNP
45 Scott Vincent 69.9 15
46 Sihwan Kim 71.4 48
47 Jed Morgan 71.9 43
48 David Puig 74.4 38
Laurie Canter late entry 46
More | Less
The accuracy number for these picks is 146. The average is 164. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

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