I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .715 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .335 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	History
Kevin Kisner	0.878
Jon Rahm	0.693
Jordan Spieth	0.634
Matt Kuchar	0.633
Tommy Fleetwood	0.624
Billy Horschel	0.588
Matthew Fitzpatrick	0.577
Alex Noren	0.576

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Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Patrick Cantlay	1	2123.2
Scottie Scheffler	2	2081.0
Jon Rahm	3	1961.2
Rory McIlroy	4	1890.1
Xander Schauffele	5	1740.2
Max Homa	6	1604.1
Viktor Hovland	8	1515.9
Sungjae Im	9	1482.5

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Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player	Rank	Rating
Justin Thomas	7	1552.6
Dustin Johnson	10	1481.9
Cameron Smith	12	1427.3
Daniel Berger	21	1187.1

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Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Scottie Scheffler	2676.1
Tyrrell Hatton	2598.7
Jason Day	2265.4
Max Homa	1979.9
Rickie Fowler	1785.0
Adam Svensson	1778.3
Viktor Hovland	1351.8
Justin Suh	1285.2

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Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Taylor Montgomery	-835.0
Matthew Fitzpatrick	-831.0
Aaron Wise	-825.7
Brian Harman	-823.1
Billy Horschel	-771.8
Alex Noren	-770.5
Maverick McNealy	-765.6
Will Zalatoris	-756.9

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Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on the Austin Country Club course within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.03	Shots gained in approach
0.03	Sand saves
0.01	Driving distance
	Driving accuracy

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Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2023 and Austin TX, the event venue.

Player	Residence	Distance
Jordan Spieth	Dallas TX	175
Scottie Scheffler	Dallas TX	175
Si Woo Kim	Dallas TX	175
Will Zalatoris	Dallas TX	175
Sam Burns	Shreveport LA	275
Viktor Hovland	Stillwater OK	400
Davis Riley	Hattiesburg MS	500
Harris English	Sea Island GA	850

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Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.364
I love this place	0.167
Ooh, that’s hot	0.132
Location, location, location	0.031