29
May

Porsche European Open Power Ratings

Thomas Hawley 0 comment

With Victor Perez, the question is whether to believe that last week’s 104th place finish in the KLM Open means something, or to forget it, possibly attributing it to fatigue due to his fourth trans-oceanic flight since February. Going with the bigger picture, he looms as the favorite this week in the Porsche European Open in Hamburg, Germany. The Frenchman, playing a mixture of PGA Tour and DP World Tour events, was 12th in the PGA Championship, ninth two weeks earlier in the Italian Open, mid-pack in two March events in the U.S., and in the top 20 three times, including one win (Abu Dhabi) in four winter DP World Tour events. Alexander Bjork also looks like a good choice, with back-to-back fourth-place finishes in Belgium and Italy earlier this month before last week’s 29th-place finish in the Netherlands. Rasmus Hojgaard was third last week in the Netherlands.


Victor Perez
Pick Player Power Number Actual Finish
1 Victor Perez 55.9 DNP
2 Alexander Bjork 59.8 6
3 Rasmus Hojgaard 62.1 59
4 Jordan Smith 62.8 6
5 Robert MacIntyre 64.1 14
6 Edoardo Molinari 66.0 39
7 Pablo Larrazabal 66.1 DNP
8 Thorbjorn Olesen 66.3 44
9 Jorge Campillo 66.6 52
10 Scott Jamieson 66.7 29
11 Marcel Schneider 66.8 33
12 Romain Langasque 67.0 10
13 Grant Forrest 67.3 129
14 Antoine Rozner 67.5 52
15 Yannik Paul 67.5 66
16 Adri Arnaus 67.6 70
17 Maximilian Kieffer 68.1 2
18 Julien Brun 68.3 29
19 Matthieu Pavon 68.5 20
20 Matthew Southgate 68.9 59
21 Clement Sordet 69.1 39
22 Ewen Ferguson 69.1 14
23 Connor Syme 69.5 10
24 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 69.6 52
25 Jason Scrivener 70.0 WD
26 Guido Migliozzi 70.0 127
27 Joost Luiten 70.0 22
28 Marcus Armitage 70.1 22
29 Johannes Veerman 70.2 52
30 Jamie Donaldson 70.2 107
31 Ryo Hisatsune 70.2 85
32 Richard Mansell 70.3 29
33 Eddie Pepperell 70.6 77
34 Marcus Helligkilde 70.7 52
35 Rafa Cabrera Bello 70.7 44
36 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 71.0 94
37 Sami Valimaki 71.2 122
38 Kalle Samooja 71.2 22
39 Joakim Lagergren 71.3 WD
40 Matthew Jordan 71.3 22
41 Dale Whitnell 71.3 85
42 Marcel Siem 71.4 2
43 Tapio Pulkkanen 71.4 33
44 Matthias Schmid 71.5 136
45 Pierre Pineau 71.5 129
46 Justin Walters 71.5 39
47 Zander Lombard 71.6 71
48 Jeunghun Wang 71.6 143
49 Oliver Bekker 71.7 80
50 Dan Bradbury 71.7 WD
51 Alex Fitzpatrick 71.8 59
52 Masahiro Kawamura 71.8 143
53 Gavin Green 71.9 117
54 Julien Guerrier 71.9 2
55 Hurly Long 71.9 33
56 Jazz Janewattananond 72.1 107
57 Niklas Norgaard Moller 72.1 44
58 Deon Germishuys 72.1 66
59 Ockie Strydom 72.2 94
60 Daniel Brown 72.2 107
61 Calum Hill 72.5 78
62 Jeong Weon Ko 72.6 44
63 Rowin Caron 72.6 94
64 Haotong Li 72.6 143
65 Kristian Krogh Johannessen 72.7 22
66 Matthew Baldwin 72.7 52
67 Alejandro Del Rey 72.8 39
68 Andy Sullivan 72.8 39
69 Simon Forsstrom 72.8 33
70 David Horsey 73.0 85
71 Ross Fisher 73.1 107
72 John Catlin 73.1 143
73 Wil Besseling 73.1 DNP
74 Angel Hidalgo 73.2 33
75 Tom McKibbin 73.2 1
76 Paul Waring 73.4 10
77 Louis de Jager 73.4 107
78 David Law 73.4 6
79 David Ravetto 73.6 85
80 Lukas Nemecz 73.6 WD
81 JC Ritchie 73.6 107
82 Soren Kjeldsen 73.6 74
83 Renato Paratore 73.6 44
84 Jack Senior 73.7 85
85 Sean Crocker 73.7 79
86 Jens Dantorp 73.8 148
87 Francesco Laporta 73.8 14
88 Rikuya Hoshino 73.9 33
89 Andrew Wilson 73.9 52
90 Ricardo Gouveia 74.0 10
91 Wilco Nienaber 74.1 44
92 Alexander Knappe 74.1 94
93 Todd Clements 74.2 107
94 Daan Huizing 74.2 59
95 Nick Bachem 74.5 122
96 Oliver Wilson 74.5 85
97 Santiago Tarrio Ben 74.6 20
98 Daniel Hillier 74.6 129
99 Adrien Saddier 74.7 22
100 Ross McGowan 74.8 DNP
101 Frederic LaCroix 74.8 5
102 Yeongsu Kim 74.9 127
103 Thomas Aiken 74.9 107
104 Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 74.9 85
105 Lucas Bjerregaard 75.1 74
106 Nacho Elvira 75.2 80
107 Darren Fichardt 75.2 DNP
108 Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 75.3 44
109 Nicolai von Dellingshausen 75.3 59
110 Darius van Driel 75.6 85
111 Alexander Levy 75.8 122
112 Chase Hanna 75.8 80
113 Christoffer Bring 76.0 136
114 Max Schmitt 76.0 59
115 Martin Simonsen 76.0 94
116 Bryce Easton 76.1 14
117 Mikael Lundberg 76.1 107
118 Niklas Lemke 76.1 80
119 John Murphy 76.2 94
120 Marc Warren 76.3 136
121 John Axelsen 76.3 6
122 Ricardo Santos 76.3 85
123 Oliver Hundebol Jorgensen 76.4 122
124 Richard McEvoy 76.4 74
125 Aguri Iwasaki 76.5 107
126 Joshua Lee 76.6 72
127 Rhys Enoch 76.6 143
128 Garrick Porteous 76.7 117
129 Velten Meyer 76.7 94
130 Gunner Wiebe 76.8 117
131 Borja Virto Astudillo 76.8 DNP
132 John Parry 76.9 29
133 Emilio Cuartero Blanco 77.2 94
134 Jannik De Bruyn 77.3 72
135 Oscar Lengden 77.4 66
136 Pedro Figueiredo 77.4 14
137 Jeremy Freiburghaus 77.5 129
138 Manu Gandas 77.6 136
139 Christopher Mivis 77.6 94
140 David Howell 77.6 94
141 Max Rottluff 77.6 129
142 Joel Stalter 77.7 129
143 Sam Hutsby 77.7 117
144 Marc Hammer 77.8 69
145 Ugo Coussaud 77.8 65
146 Mateusz Gradecki 77.8 44
147 Jordan Gumberg 77.9 122
148 Kristoffer Reitan 77.9 94
149 Javier Sainz 77.9 DNP
150 Alfie Plant 77.9 DNP
151 Mutahi Kibugu 77.9 151
152 Tim Tillmanns 77.9 136
153 Tiger Christensen 77.9 136
154 Yannick Schutz 77.9 129
155 Anton Albers 77.9 80
156 Chengyao Ma 77.9 149
157 Tobias Eden 77.9 150
158 Tristen Strydom 78.1 136
159 Freddy Schott 78.1 14
160 Gary Stal 78.5 94
161 Blake Windred 78.5 94
162 Gumundur Kristjansson 78.5 117
Jayden Schaper late entry 28
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June 5, 2023. The accuracy number for these picks is 86. The average is 162. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Power Number reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Power Number and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

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