I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .605 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .270 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	History
Si Woo Kim	0.760
Xander Schauffele	0.719
Jordan Spieth	0.637
Patrick Cantlay	0.620
Scottie Scheffler	0.620
Hideki Matsuyama	0.484
Viktor Hovland	0.473
Max Homa	0.470

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Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Scottie Scheffler	1	3403.0
Xander Schauffele	3	2432.8
Collin Morikawa	4	2170.4
Tommy Fleetwood	5	1995.6
Patrick Cantlay	6	1921.9
Justin Thomas	7	1911.4
Russell Henley	8	1856.7
Corey Conners	9	1855.9

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Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player	Rank	Rating
Rory McIlroy	2	2571.4
Bryson DeChambeau	11	1739.3
Jon Rahm	13	1617.2
Jason Day	26	1352.7

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Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Tommy Fleetwood	1625.0
Andrew Novak	1380.8
Sam Burns	1332.1
Ben Griffin	1287.2
Harry Hall	1203.5
Si Woo Kim	1109.5
Daniel Berger	1105.4
Corey Conners	1037.0

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Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Collin Morikawa	-1635.6
Tom Hoge	-1164.2
Russell Henley	-1152.0
Ludvig Aberg	-1040.0
Min Woo Lee	-959.3
Wyndham Clark	-895.6
Akshay Bhatia	-768.5
Mackenzie Hughes	-766.7

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Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on the Muirfield Village course within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.14	Driving distance
0.14	Shots gained in approach
0.08	Shots gained around the green
0.07	Scrambling

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Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Min Woo Lee	76.49
Keith Mitchell	76.51
Cameron Young	76.62
Wyndham Clark	76.67
Ludvig Aberg	76.73
Erik van Rooyen	76.74
Harry Higgs	76.74
Jake Knapp	76.75

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Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Brian Campbell	78.0
Brandt Snedeker	77.6
Matt Kuchar	77.6
Aaron Rai	77.6
Russell Henley	77.6
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	77.5
Lucas Glover	77.4
Nick Taylor	77.4

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Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2025 and Dublin OH, the event host city.

Player	Residence	Distance
Corey Conners	Listowel, Ontario	250
Alex Smalley	Greensboro, NC	350
Brandt Snedeker	Nashville, TN	375
Jacob Bridgeman	Greenville, SC	400
Stephan Jaeger	Chattanooga, TN	400
Akshay Bhatia	Wake Forest, NC	400
Chris Kirk	Athens, GA	450
Sepp Straka	Birmingham, AL	525

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Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.369
I love this place	0.177
Ooh, that’s hot	0.115
Location, location, location	0.011