05
May

A look at the ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classic

Thomas Hawley 0 comment

Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player Rank Rating
Tom Kim 60 950.8
Taylor Moore 63 938.4
Lee Hodges 66 912.5
Patrick Rodgers 69 882.9
Seamus Power 75 806.4
Beau Hossler 76 796.7
Ryo Hisatsune 83 744.2
Nicolai Hojgaard 84 723.4

Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player Rank Rating
Scottie Scheffler 1 3199.9
Rory McIlroy 2 2626.2
Xander Schauffele 3 2389.2
Collin Morikawa 4 2203.0

Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player Upward change
Chad Ramey 1119.0
Chandler Phillips 1110.3
Henrik Norlander 1094.6
Mac Hughes 900.7
Ryo Hisatsune 886.2
Sami Valimaki 835.4
Chris Gotterup 770.5
Taylor Dickson 591.8

Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player Downward change
Beau Hossler -760.9
Tom Kim -729.1
Taylor Moore -715.2
Seamus Power -682.1
Alex Smalley -635.2
Ryan Fox -584.4
Sam Ryder -561.2
Lee Hodges -526.2

Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the Dunes Golf and Beach Club course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. This reflects last year’s inaugural playing of the event. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value Statistic
0.25 Scrambling
0.21 Greens in regulation
0.20 Driving accuracy
0.11 Sand saves

Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit Player
Matteo Manassero 69.07
Brandt Snedeker 69.18
Henrik Norlander 69.26
Alex Smalley 69.31
Mac Meissner 69.34
Patrick Rodgers 69.36
Lee Hodges 69.37
Rikuya Hoshino 69.43

Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit Player
Tim Widing 70.9
Trevor Cone 70.9
Cristobal Del Solar 70.8
Niklas Norgaard 70.7
Nicolai Hojgaard 70.7
Nick Hardy 70.6
Thriston Lawrence 70.6
Antoine Rozner 70.6

Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2025 and Myrtle Beach SC,the event host city.

Player Residence Distance
Tommy Gainey Bishopville, SC 75
Webb Simpson Charlotte, NC 150
Trace Crowe Charlotte, NC 150
Trevor Cone Charlotte, NC 150
Kevin Kisner Aiken, SC 175
Taylor Dickson Gastonia, NC 175
Alex Smalley Greensboro, NC 175
Luke List Augusta, GA 175
Henrik Norlander Augusta, GA 175

Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic Correlation to results
Top of the heap 0.374
I love this place 0.180
Ooh, that’s hot 0.119
Location, location, location 0.011
Share
0 comment
Thomas HawleyCreative art