I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .600 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .270 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	History
Max Homa	0.574
Sahith Theegala	0.559
Brendon Todd	0.487
Beau Hossler	0.462
Troy Merritt	0.448
Matt Kuchar	0.438
Tom Hoge	0.401
Chez Reavie	0.392

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Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this event’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Wyndham Clark	10	1634.6
Corey Conners	16	1477.7
Sahith Theegala	20	1357.0
Max Homa	21	1347.3
Min Woo Lee	31	1144.9
Harris English	41	1026.5
Eric Cole	45	988.9
Tom Hoge	53	917.4

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Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player	Rank	Rating
Scottie Scheffler	1	3203.4
Xander Schauffele	2	2725.3
Rory McIlroy	3	2386.0
Patrick Cantlay	4	2043.8

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Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Patrick Fishburn	958.3
Matt Kuchar	955.8
Rico Hoey	910.7
JJ Spaun	812.5
Mac Meissner	782.2
Maverick McNealy	666.0
Eric Cole	659.0
Brendon Todd	604.0

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Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Max Homa	-1115.4
Sahith Theegala	-875.4
Harris English	-771.2
Adam Schenk	-765.2
Lee Hodges	-662.0
Nick Taylor	-657.0
Lucas Glover	-599.1
Taylor Montgomery	-571.9

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Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the Silverado Resort course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this course within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.22	Scrambling
0.15	Shots gained in approach
0.07	Driving accuracy
0.06	Sand saves

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Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Doug Ghim	70.66
Chan Kim	70.73
Ben Silverman	70.79
Aaron Baddeley	71.04
Andrew Putnam	71.06
Greyson Sigg	71.06
Nate Lashley	71.08
Ryan Moore	71.09

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Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Alejandro Tosti	73.6
Ben Taylor	73.4
Adrien Dumont de Chassart	72.9
Cameron Champ	72.9
Justin Suh	72.9
Gary Woodland	72.9
Brandt Snedeker	72.8
Ryan Brehm	72.8

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Mathematically speaking

The following table shows the correlations between player ranking in the above tables and their actual finish positions. In other words, to what extent does the ordering of players in the table correspond to the order of finish.

Statistic	Correlation to results
Top of the heap	0.387
I love this place	0.183
Ooh, that’s hot	0.129
Location, location, location	0.011