AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

08
Feb

Thomas Hawley 0 comment

Patrick Cantlay

Pick	Player	Finish Estimate	Actual Finish
1	Patrick Cantlay	33.1	3
2	Daniel Berger	45.4	1
3	Paul Casey	50.1	5
4	Jason Day	52.4	7
5	Cameron Tringale	55.5	7
6	Francesco Molinari	56.6	59
7	Phil Mickelson	57.1	151
8	Kevin Streelman	57.6	13
9	Sam Burns	57.6	39
10	Brian Harman	58.4	39
11	Jordan Spieth	59.2	3
12	Alex Noren	59.2	139
13	Max Homa	59.6	7
14	Brendan Steele	60.2	34
15	Rory Sabbatini	61.0	86
16	Henrik Norlander	61.1	26
17	Si Woo Kim	61.2	68
18	Will Zalatoris	61.3	55
19	Matt Kuchar	61.9	DNP
20	Joel Dahmen	62.1	60
21	Cameron Davis	62.2	14
22	Matt Jones	62.8	34
23	Adam Long	62.9	68
24	James Hahn	63.6	132
25	Sebastian Munoz	63.6	DNP
26	Peter Malnati	63.7	86
27	Rickie Fowler	64.1	113
28	Brandt Snedeker	64.2	139
29	Harold Varner	64.6	68
30	Scott Piercy	65.1	50
31	Nick Taylor	65.2	39
32	Ryan Moore	65.4	26
33	Scott Stallings	65.9	30
34	Wyndham Clark	65.9	DNP
35	Rafa Cabrera Bello	66.2	123
36	Chez Reavie	66.3	16
37	Charley Hoffman	66.4	7
38	Chris Kirk	66.6	16
39	Michael Thompson	66.7	34
40	Luke List	66.9	DNP
41	Andrew Putnam	66.9	55
42	Mark Hubbard	67.2	55
43	Patton Kizzire	67.2	39
44	Bo Hoag	67.3	68
45	Doug Ghim	67.5	21
46	Russell Knox	67.5	7
47	Kyle Stanley	67.7	39
48	Stewart Cink	67.9	123
49	Matthew Nesmith	68.0	DNP
50	Maverick Mcnealy	68.0	DNP
51	Vaughn Taylor	68.2	21
52	Tom Lewis	68.5	14
53	Jim Furyk	69.0	21
54	Harry Higgs	69.0	86
55	Chesson Hadley	69.6	102
56	Aaron Wise	69.6	DNP
57	Denny Mccarthy	69.6	DNP
58	Branden Grace	69.7	34
59	Tom Hoge	69.8	12
60	Andrew Landry	69.8	123
61	Nate Lashley	69.9	5
62	Ryan Armour	70.0	47
63	Pat Perez	70.1	26
64	Kramer Hickok	70.2	147
65	Patrick Rodgers	70.2	68
66	Jhonattan Vegas	70.3	50
67	Brian Gay	70.3	34
68	Troy Merritt	70.4	16
69	Adam Schenk	70.4	139
70	Brian Stuard	70.6	16
71	Keith Mitchell	70.7	132
72	Brice Garnett	70.8	102
73	Sam Ryder	71.1	144
74	Sung Kang	71.1	63
75	Tyler Duncan	71.1	102
76	Chase Seiffert	71.2	132
77	Austin Cook	71.2	68
78	Padraig Harrington	71.3	DNP
79	Nick Watney	71.4	139
80	Xinjun Zhang	71.5	86
81	Will Gordon	72.0	21
82	Joseph Bramlett	72.0	63
83	Jim Herman	72.1	132
84	Bronson Burgoon	72.3	47
85	Roger Sloan	72.3	86
86	Seamus Power	72.4	68
87	Kristoffer Ventura	72.5	132
88	Beau Hossler	72.5	47
89	Cameron Percy	72.5	21
90	Jimmy Walker	72.6	68
91	Rob Oppenheim	72.8	39
92	Ct Pan	72.9	DNP
93	Hank Lebioda	73.0	39
94	Kevin Chappell	73.0	86
95	Ben Martin	73.1	113
96	Brandon Hagy	73.2	86
97	Jb Holmes	73.3	DNP
98	Josh Teater	73.3	50
99	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	73.5	86
100	Scott Brown	73.5	30
101	Michael Gligic	73.6	132
102	Peter Uihlein	73.7	60
103	Vincent Whaley	73.7	50
104	Kevin Tway	73.8	DNP
105	Jonathan Byrd	74.0	123
106	Ricky Barnes	74.0	123
107	David Hearn	74.1	113
108	Fabian Gomez	74.1	68
109	Kelly Kraft	74.2	86
110	Aaron Baddeley	74.2	68
111	Jason Dufner	74.2	26
112	Chris Baker	74.2	86
113	Luke Donald	74.4	86
114	Tim Wilkinson	74.5	30
115	Shawn Stefani	74.5	113
116	Grayson Murray	74.7	123
117	Matt Every	74.7	WD
118	Johnson Wagner	74.8	113
119	Sebastian Cappelen	74.8	55
120	Akshay Bhatia	74.9	30
121	Bill Haas	74.9	102
122	Mark Anderson	74.9	68
123	Scott Harrington	75.0	66
124	Ryan Brehm	75.0	86
125	Dominic Bozzelli	75.1	123
126	Roberto Castro	75.1	68
127	Wes Roach	75.4	67
128	Ryan Blaum	75.4	86
129	Rhein Gibson	75.5	113
130	Tyler Mccumber	75.6	DNP
131	Andy Ogletree	75.7	123
132	Zack Sucher	75.7	60
133	Satoshi Kodaira	76.0	68
134	Sangmoon Bae	76.1	102
135	Ben Taylor	76.3	50
136	Dj Trahan	76.4	DNP
137	Rafael Campos	76.4	102
138	Nelson Ledesma	76.5	68
139	Bo Van Pelt	76.8	148
140	Michael Gellerman	76.8	113
141	George Mcneill	76.8	DNP
142	Jim Knous	77.0	139
143	Jj Spaun	77.2	DNP
144	Hunter Mahan	77.3	68
145	Martin Trainer	77.3	86
146	Michael Kim	77.4	86
147	Kevin Stadler	77.4	102
148	Seung-yul Noh	77.5	113
149	John Senden	77.6	39
150	Sean O’hair	77.8	DNP
151	Kj Choi	78.3	DNP
152	Min Woo Lee	79.3	132
153	Davis Riley	79.7	86
154	Greg Chalmers	80.6	152
155	Da Points	81.9	DNP
156	Kenny Pigman	82.1	152
157	Tom Lehman	82.1	102
158	David Duval	82.2	144
159	Matt Gogel	82.2	148
160	Kevin Hall	82.2	148
161	Kamaiu Johnson	82.2	155
162	Kyoung-hoon Lee	82.2	DNP
163	William Mcgirt	82.2	DNP
164	Jr Ted Potter	82.2	DNP
165	John Daly	82.2	154
	Maverick McNealy	late entry	2
	Matthew NeSmith	late entry	19
	CT Pan	late entry	65
	Ted Potter	late entry	69
	Denny McCarthy	late entry	76
	DJ Trahan	late entry	83
	DA Points	late entry	104
	Tyler McCumber	late entry	106
	Sean O’Hair	late entry	110
	JB Holmes	late entry	117
	KJ Choi	late entry	118
	Rod Pampling	late entry	131
	JJ Spaun	late entry	145
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The accuracy number for these picks is 294. The average is 143. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.