23
Jan

Farmers Insurance Open

Thomas Hawley 0 comment

Jason Day
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Jason Day 1.3 100
2 Dustin Johnson 16.7 91
3 Hideki Matsuyama 27.7 33
4 Phil Mickelson 33.9 14
5 Francesco Molinari 34.1 14
6 Justin Rose 35.4 4
7 Brooks Koepka 35.4 80
8 Brandt Snedeker 35.5 9
9 Gary Woodland 36.5 20
10 Rickie Fowler 36.7 100
11 Charles Howell 36.8 2
12 Paul Casey 36.9 28
13 Jimmy Walker 41.6 100
14 Brendan Steele 41.9 20
15 Emiliano Grillo 44.1 33
16 JB Holmes 45.0 33
17 Louis Oosthuizen 45.4 41
18 Martin Laird 45.7 74
19 Billy Horschel 47.1 64
20 Marc Leishman 47.1 20
21 Daniel Berger 47.8 110
22 Keegan Bradley 49.1 4
23 Adam Hadwin 49.4 49
24 Pat Perez 50.3 4
25 Tony Finau 50.6 4
26 Shane Lowry 50.6 33
27 Jamie Lovemark 50.8 80
28 Soren Kjeldsen 51.1 125
29 Brian Harman 51.4 9
30 Luke List 51.6 91
31 Hudson Swafford 53.2 110
32 Tiger Woods 53.5 110
33 Byeong-Hun An 53.5 49
34 Chad Campbell 53.7 138
35 Jon Rahm 53.7 1
36 Lucas Glover 53.9 33
37 Kevin Chappell 54.0 91
38 Jason Kokrak 54.3 91
39 Scott Stallings 55.3 80
40 KJ Choi 56.2 110
41 Robert Garrigus 56.7 129
42 James Hahn 56.8 91
43 Si-woo Kim 57.1 WD
44 Charley Hoffman 57.3 54
45 Harris English 58.2 14
46 Jhonattan Vegas 58.2 28
47 Robert Streb 58.5 9
48 Roberto Castro 59.2 28
49 Kevin Streelman 59.3 67
50 Stewart Cink 59.5 20
51 Kyle Stanley 60.1 14
52 Michael Kim 60.3 54
53 Graham DeLaet 60.7 54
54 Mackenzie Hughes 61.1 54
55 Billy Hurley 61.2 77
56 Nick Watney 61.4 91
57 Grayson Murray 61.6 100
58 Bud Cauley 61.8 80
59 John Huh 62.0 76
60 Danny Lee 62.0 129
61 Geoff Ogilvy 62.5 125
62 Colt Knost 62.5 DNP
63 Alex Cejka 62.5 151
64 Aaron Baddeley 62.8 80
65 Cameron Tringale 63.5 73
66 Henrik Norlander 63.7 80
67 Patrick Rodgers 63.9 4
68 John Senden 63.9 64
69 Bryce Molder 64.0 41
70 Ryan Blaum 64.4 64
71 Aaron Wise 64.8 71
72 Cameron Smith 64.9 33
73 Blayne Barber 65.5 80
74 Patton Kizzire 65.6 110
75 Greg Owen 65.6 DNP
76 Andrew Johnston 65.7 100
77 Michael Thompson 65.7 14
78 Johnson Wagner 65.8 54
79 Ollie Schniederjans 65.9 9
80 Retief Goosen 65.9 100
81 Smylie Kaufman 65.9 DNP
82 Tim Wilkinson 66.2 41
83 Camilo Villegas 66.2 54
84 Harold Varner 66.4 138
85 Scott Brown 66.4 41
86 Padraig Harrington 66.5 110
87 Will Wilcox 66.8 DNP
88 Ryo Ishikawa 67.1 20
89 Brett Stegmaier 67.3 138
90 Kyle Reifers 67.3 39
91 Ben Crane 67.3 110
92 Seamus Power 67.4 91
93 Derek Fathauer 67.5 67
94 Jonas Blixt 68.0 20
95 Nick Taylor 68.1 54
96 Jon Curran 68.2 74
97 Andrew Loupe 68.7 110
98 Andres Gonzales 68.7 149
99 Richy Werenski 68.9 20
100 Cameron Percy 69.1 71
101 Dominic Bozzelli 69.2 151
102 Brian Stuard 69.2 77
103 Spencer Levin 69.3 110
104 Kelly Kraft 69.4 28
105 Boo Weekley 69.6 144
106 Troy Merritt 69.7 100
107 Tyrone van Aswegen 69.7 20
108 John Peterson 69.8 129
109 Martin Flores 69.9 28
110 Seung-yul Noh 70.1 125
111 Zac Blair 70.2 41
112 Rod Pampling 70.4 110
113 Hiroshi Iwata 70.7 DNP
114 Rory Sabbatini 71.0 14
115 Morgan Hoffmann 71.0 77
116 Steve Marino 71.2 129
117 Ken Duke 71.4 DNP
118 Steven Alker 71.6 154
119 Chad Collins 71.6 144
120 Bryson DeChambeau 71.7 144
121 Hunter Mahan 72.0 67
122 Wesley Bryan 72.1 91
123 Steven Bowditch 72.3 138
124 Peter Malnati 72.5 100
125 Stuart Appleby 72.6 110
126 Brad Fritsch 72.6 67
127 JT Poston 72.8 129
128 Brian Campbell 72.9 41
129 Xander Schauffele 72.9 110
130 Brandon Stone 73.0 129
131 Will MacKenzie 73.1 80
132 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 73.2 110
133 Brandon Hagy 73.2 100
134 Ryan Brehm 73.3 41
135 DA Points 73.4 80
136 Trey Mullinax 73.5 49
137 Nicholas Lindheim 73.7 129
138 Bobby Wyatt 73.8 125
139 JJ Spaun 73.9 9
140 Brett Drewitt 74.0 80
141 Tag Ridings 74.0 151
142 Greg Chalmers 74.1 80
143 JJ Henry 74.2 138
144 Miguel Angel Carballo 74.4 110
145 Ryan Armour 74.9 39
146 Zack Sucher 75.5 100
147 Mark Anderson 75.6 49
148 Kevin Tway 75.8 41
149 Matt Every 76.2 DNP
150 Jonathan Randolph 76.6 54
151 Rick Lamb 76.9 129
152 Meen-whee Kim 77.0 129
153 Julian Etulain 77.0 63
154 Sung-hoon Kang 77.1 91
155 Sebastian Munoz 77.2 54
156 Max Homa 77.2 110
157 Cheng-tsung Pan 77.5 2
158 Joel Dahmen 78.2 DNP
159 Beau Hossler 83.3 49
160 Chris Gilley 84.1 155
Max Rottluff late entry 138
Tyler Aldridge late entry 144
Steve Wheatcroft late entry 144
Todd Baek late entry 149
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The accuracy number for these picks is 68. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.

 

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