02
Apr

Masters Tournament

Thomas Hawley 0 comment
Dustin Johnson
Dustin Johnson
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Dustin Johnson -5.2 DNP
2 Jordan Spieth 9.1 11
3 Rory McIlroy 11.6 7
4 Jon Rahm 18.0 27
5 Jason Day 19.2 22
6 Rickie Fowler 19.4 11
7 Justin Rose 19.6 2
8 Adam Scott 22.9 9
9 Paul Casey 24.2 6
10 Phil Mickelson 27.3 22
11 Tyrrell Hatton 28.3 90
12 Sergio Garcia 30.2 1
13 Francesco Molinari 33.0 33
14 Bill Haas 33.9 36
15 Hideto Tanihara 34.0 84
16 Hideki Matsuyama 35.0 11
17 Henrik Stenson 35.7 62
18 Louis Oosthuizen 37.2 41
19 Matt Kuchar 38.4 4
20 Kevin Kisner 38.7 43
21 Brandt Snedeker 39.5 27
22 Marc Leishman 40.3 43
23 Charl Schwartzel 40.5 3
24 Martin Kaymer 41.3 16
25 Gary Woodland 41.3 81
26 Jason Dufner 41.4 33
27 Adam Hadwin 41.7 36
28 Ryan Moore 42.9 9
29 Russell Henley 43.9 11
30 Charley Hoffman 43.9 22
31 Bubba Watson 44.1 62
32 Daniel Berger 44.5 27
33 Brendan Steele 44.6 27
34 Justin Thomas 45.1 22
35 Jhonattan Vegas 45.2 78
36 Pat Perez 47.6 18
37 Lee Westwood 48.1 18
38 Brooks Koepka 48.2 11
39 Bernd Wiesberger 48.4 43
40 Alex Noren 48.8 62
41 Matthew Fitzpatrick 48.8 32
42 Tommy Fleetwood 48.8 62
43 Kevin Na 49.1 54
44 Emiliano Grillo 49.2 51
45 Jim Furyk 50.0 54
46 Hudson Swafford 50.3 71
47 Patrick Reed 50.4 71
48 JB Holmes 50.4 50
49 Zach Johnson 50.6 54
50 Soren Kjeldsen 50.7 36
51 Rafael Cabrera-Bello 50.8 62
52 Ross Fisher 51.3 41
53 Branden Grace 52.2 27
54 Jimmy Walker 52.7 18
55 Steve Stricker 52.8 16
56 Shane Lowry 54.1 54
57 William McGirt 54.3 22
58 Thomas Pieters 55.0 4
59 Russell Knox 56.4 62
60 Webb Simpson 56.9 62
61 Andy Sullivan 57.1 48
62 Danny Willett 58.7 54
63 Kevin Chappell 59.1 7
64 Scott Piercy 59.4 62
65 Byeong Hun An 60.0 33
66 Sean O’Hair 61.8 71
67 James Hahn 61.9 48
68 Chris Wood 62.1 54
69 Daniel Summerhays 62.8 46
70 Mackenzie Hughes 62.9 91
71 Roberto Castro 64.5 88
72 Si-woo Kim 64.9 84
73 Billy Hurley 66.6 54
74 Brian Stuard 67.0 36
75 Jeunghun Wang 68.2 84
76 Yuta Ikeda 68.2 54
77 Angel Cabrera 70.0 78
78 Vijay Singh 71.2 71
79 Rod Pampling 72.5 62
80 Ernie Els 72.8 53
81 Curtis Luck 77.1 46
82 Trevor Immelman 77.3 81
83 Bernhard Langer 77.8 71
84 Mark O’Meara 82.1 84
85 Larry Mize 82.6 52
86 Fred Couples 82.8 18
87 Mike Weir 83.7 81
88 Sandy Lyle 83.9 92
89 Ian Woosnam 84.1 78
90 Jose Maria Olazabal 84.1 71
91 Brad Dalke 84.3 71
92 Toto Gana 84.3 93
93 Scott Gregory 84.3 88
94 Stewart Hagestad 84.3 36
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The accuracy number for these picks is 131. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

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