08
May

The Players Championship

Thomas Hawley 0 comment

Patrick Cantlay
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Patrick Cantlay -14.6 22
2 Dustin Johnson -1.0 12
3 Rory McIlroy 1.3 35
4 Sergio Garcia 9.3 30
5 Jon Rahm 19.3 72
6 Rickie Fowler 21.1 60
7 Jordan Spieth 22.4 97
8 Jason Day 22.6 60
9 Paul Casey 22.9 22
10 Justin Rose 24.0 65
11 Adam Scott 26.5 6
12 Phil Mickelson 30.9 41
13 Brooks Koepka 31.3 16
14 Matt Kuchar 31.8 82
15 Francesco Molinari 32.3 6
16 Hideki Matsuyama 33.4 22
17 Charl Schwartzel 34.6 114
18 Jason Dufner 35.1 60
19 Justin Thomas 37.2 75
20 Martin Kaymer 37.7 69
21 Ryan Palmer 37.9 97
22 Pat Perez 37.9 22
23 Kevin Kisner 38.5 56
24 Ryan Moore 38.7 53
25 Henrik Stenson 39.0 16
26 Brian Harman 40.2 53
27 Russell Henley 40.4 35
28 Marc Leishman 40.5 97
29 Branden Grace 42.1 48
30 Tyrrell Hatton 43.6 41
31 Bill Haas 43.8 104
32 Louis Oosthuizen 45.2 2
33 Lee Westwood 45.2 65
34 Kevin Chappell 45.4 35
35 Bubba Watson 46.1 123
36 Adam Hadwin 46.1 30
37 Charles Howell 46.3 DNP
38 Jimmy Walker 46.4 56
39 Daniel Berger 47.1 65
40 Zach Johnson 47.2 48
41 Steve Stricker 47.3 41
42 Tony Finau 47.6 83
43 Kevin Tway 47.8 145
44 Brendan Steele 48.7 6
45 JB Holmes 48.7 41
46 Bernd Wiesberger 48.8 12
47 Charley Hoffman 49.4 30
48 Bud Cauley 49.4 145
49 Kevin Na 50.0 WD
50 Patrick Reed 50.0 22
51 Gary Woodland 50.1 145
52 Graeme McDowell 50.4 69
53 Sung Kang 50.7 30
54 Cameron Smith 51.1 97
55 Emiliano Grillo 51.1 11
56 Matthew Fitzpatrick 51.3 104
57 William McGirt 51.4 22
58 Ross Fisher 51.7 104
59 Russell Knox 51.9 97
60 Kyle Stanley 53.4 4
61 Tommy Fleetwood 53.4 41
62 Martin Laird 53.6 83
63 Jhonattan Vegas 53.8 83
64 Ollie Schniederjans 54.7 145
65 Jim Furyk 54.8 83
66 Rafael Cabrera-Bello 55.2 4
67 Alex Noren 55.4 10
68 Keegan Bradley 55.5 60
69 Billy Horschel 55.5 123
70 Lucas Glover 56.1 6
71 Graham DeLaet 56.4 97
72 Webb Simpson 56.8 16
73 Wesley Bryan 57.3 97
74 Shane Lowry 57.4 114
75 Hudson Swafford 58.5 83
76 Luke List 58.8 83
77 Aaron Baddeley 58.9 41
78 Billy Hurley 59.0 41
79 David Lingmerth 59.4 72
80 JJ Spaun 59.7 145
81 Brian Gay 59.8 114
82 Luke Donald 59.8 83
83 Jamie Lovemark 59.9 75
84 Chris Kirk 61.2 12
85 Danny Lee 61.5 139
86 Scott Brown 61.5 83
87 Scott Piercy 61.6 143
88 Sean O’Hair 61.6 130
89 Jim Herman 61.7 35
90 Daniel Summerhays 62.0 53
91 Jerry Kelly 62.1 123
92 Anirban Lahiri 62.2 114
93 John Huh 62.3 83
94 Chad Campbell 62.4 104
95 Jonas Blixt 63.2 104
96 Kevin Streelman 63.2 72
97 Chez Reavie 63.4 56
98 Vaughn Taylor 63.4 130
99 Michael Kim 63.7 60
100 Patton Kizzire 63.7 138
101 Danny Willett 64.0 WD
102 Ian Poulter 64.1 2
103 Robert Garrigus 64.1 139
104 James Hahn 64.4 83
105 Jason Kokrak 64.4 83
106 Morgan Hoffmann 64.5 145
107 Robert Streb 64.6 114
108 Smylie Kaufman 64.7 12
109 David Hearn 64.8 69
110 Camilo Villegas 65.1 145
111 Brian Stuard 65.2 75
112 Harris English 65.3 142
113 Zac Blair 65.5 141
114 Alex Cejka 65.6 79
115 Seung-yul Noh 65.8 22
116 Mackenzie Hughes 65.9 16
117 DA Points 66.0 130
118 Si-woo Kim 66.0 1
119 Kelly Kraft 66.1 145
120 Patrick Rodgers 66.6 104
121 Michael Thompson 66.6 145
122 KJ Choi 66.7 83
123 David Toms 66.8 DNP
124 Freddie Jacobson 66.8 104
125 Johnson Wagner 67.0 130
126 Bryce Molder 67.1 123
127 Tyrone van Aswegen 67.9 137
128 Ben Martin 68.3 30
129 Roberto Castro 68.3 56
130 Grayson Murray 68.5 79
131 Blayne Barber 68.5 16
132 Cameron Tringale 68.9 35
133 Kyle Reifers 68.9 104
134 Andrew Loupe 69.0 83
135 Harold Varner 69.3 35
136 Derek Fathauer 69.3 130
137 Fabian Gomez 70.0 123
138 CT Pan 70.0 145
139 Rod Pampling 70.1 48
140 Dominic Bozzelli 70.2 145
141 Ben Crane 70.6 79
142 Spencer Levin 70.7 83
143 Troy Merritt 70.9 114
144 Shawn Stefani 71.3 104
145 Yuta Ikeda 71.4 22
146 Boo Weekley 71.7 48
147 Ricky Barnes 71.7 65
148 Vijay Singh 72.0 16
149 Brett Stegmaier 72.3 130
150 Jason Bohn 72.3 123
151 Cody Gribble 72.5 48
152 Ernie Els 73.4 114
153 Peter Malnati 74.3 114
154 Greg Chalmers 74.6 114
155 Mark Hubbard 74.6 123
156 Matt Every 77.4 130
157 Bernhard Langer 79.9 104
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The accuracy number for these picks is 6. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

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