22
May

BMW PGA Championship

Thomas Hawley 0 comment
Francesco Molinari
Francesco Molinari
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Francesco Molinari 18.8 2
2 Justin Rose 31.8 12
3 Martin Kaymer 38.1 91
4 Bernd Wiesberger 40.9 30
5 Tyrrell Hatton 41.8 30
6 Henrik Stenson 42.2 3
7 Branden Grace 42.6 9
8 Shane Lowry 45.9 6
9 Lee Westwood 46.3 14
10 Chris Wood 47.7 49
11 Byeong Hun An 50.8 24
12 Tommy Fleetwood 52.4 91
13 Thomas Pieters 52.4 14
14 Ross Fisher 53.4 9
15 Alex Noren 53.6 1
16 Joost Luiten 56.0 24
17 Luke Donald 56.0 65
18 Andy Sullivan 56.1 30
19 Matthew Fitzpatrick 56.3 12
20 Soren Kjeldsen 56.6 30
21 Russell Knox 57.7 68
22 Ian Poulter 58.5 40
23 Thongchai Jaidee 59.5 54
24 Fabrizio Zanotti 60.1 116
25 Thomas Aiken 61.1 101
26 George Coetzee 61.5 91
27 Danny Willett 61.6 58
28 Peter Uihlein 61.8 30
29 Hideto Tanihara 62.2 3
30 Pablo Larrazabal 62.5 24
31 Alejandro Canizares 62.8 128
32 Jorge Campillo 63.7 40
33 Alexander Levy 63.9 51
34 Gregory Bourdy 64.7 62
35 Marc Warren 65.0 68
36 Peter Hanson 65.0 21
37 David Horsey 66.0 51
38 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 66.1 116
39 Victor Dubuisson 66.3 24
40 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 66.4 14
41 Richard Bland 66.7 101
42 Jaco van Zyl 66.8 14
43 David Lipsky 66.8 68
44 Jamie Donaldson 67.0 82
45 James Morrison 67.0 68
46 Dylan Frittelli 67.8 116
47 Rikard Karlberg 67.8 68
48 Mikko Ilonen 68.0 62
49 Gregory Havret 68.3 101
50 Thorbjorn Olesen 68.4 82
51 Padraig Harrington 68.7 68
52 Paul Dunne 68.9 30
53 Bradley Dredge 68.9 40
54 Matteo Manassero 69.0 30
55 Raphael Jacquelin 69.1 68
56 Richard Sterne 69.2 68
57 Thomas Bjorn 69.2 57
58 Nicolas Colsaerts 69.4 3
59 Hao-tong Li 69.5 30
60 Romain Wattel 69.5 66
61 Nacho Elvira 69.7 91
62 Benjamin Hebert 69.7 58
63 Joakim Lagergren 69.9 131
64 Andrew Johnston 70.0 21
65 Richie Ramsay 70.1 30
66 Julien Quesne 70.1 DNP
67 Jeunghun Wang 70.2 91
68 Dean Burmester 70.5 9
69 Graeme Storm 70.6 6
70 Scott Jamieson 70.6 14
71 Ricardo Gouveia 70.9 116
72 Alexander Bjork 70.9 14
73 Romain Langasque 70.9 91
74 Scott Hend 71.1 24
75 Brandon Stone 71.2 101
76 Stephen Gallacher 71.2 21
77 David Drysdale 71.2 49
78 Mikko Korhonen 71.4 101
79 Chris Hanson 71.4 91
80 Anthony Wall 71.5 40
81 Renato Paratore 71.5 136
82 Marcel Siem 71.6 131
83 Darren Fichardt 71.7 68
84 Marcus Fraser 72.1 68
85 Robert Rock 72.2 82
86 Ernie Els 72.2 51
87 Chris Paisley 72.2 136
88 Johan Carlsson 72.3 58
89 Oliver Fisher 72.3 40
90 Florian Fritsch 72.3 30
91 Paul Waring 72.3 82
92 Matthew Southgate 72.3 116
93 Phachara Khongwatmai 72.4 101
94 Felipe Aguilar 72.5 67
95 Brett Rumford 72.6 DNP
96 Lucas Bjerregaard 72.6 139
97 Lasse Jensen 72.7 68
98 Jason Scrivener 72.7 82
99 Eduardo de la Riva 72.8 82
100 Edoardo Molinari 72.9 116
101 Alvaro Quiros 73.0 68
102 Carlos Pigem 73.0 82
103 Maximilian Kieffer 73.3 24
104 Justin Walters 73.3 101
105 Daniel Im 73.4 139
106 SSP Chawrasia 73.4 58
107 Robert Karlsson 73.4 101
108 Zander Lombard 73.7 128
109 Magnus A Carlsson 73.7 101
110 Sam Brazel 73.8 139
111 Paul Lawrie 73.8 68
112 Pep Angles 73.8 101
113 Wade Ormsby 74.1 82
114 David Howell 74.2 48
115 Lee Slattery 74.2 116
116 Thomas Detry 74.2 DNP
117 Callum Shinkwin 74.3 DNP
118 Soo-min Lee 74.4 101
119 Kristoffer Broberg 74.6 116
120 Joel Stalter 74.6 DNP
121 Haydn Porteous 74.6 116
122 Bernd Ritthammer 74.6 40
123 Ryan Fox 74.7 101
124 Andrew Dodt 74.7 6
125 Matthieu Pavon 74.9 101
126 Paul Peterson 74.9 40
127 Nathan Kimsey 75.0 DNP
128 Pelle Edberg 75.0 91
129 Marcus Armitage 75.1 DNP
130 Darren Clarke 75.1 101
131 Daniel Brooks 75.2 54
132 Gary Stal 75.3 91
133 Adrian Otaegui 75.4 91
134 Alexander Knappe 75.5 101
135 Hennie Otto 75.6 DNP
136 Nino Bertasio 75.6 14
137 Niclas Fasth 75.8 54
138 Duncan Stewart 75.8 DNP
139 Sam Walker 75.8 DNP
140 Jose-Filipe Lima 76.0 DNP
141 Sebastien Gros 76.1 64
142 Simon Dyson 76.5 131
143 Nathan Holman 76.6 DNP
144 Damien Perrier 77.3 DNP
145 Paul McGinley 77.4 DNP
146 Trevor Immelman 77.6 82
147 Jordan Smith 77.8 40
148 Damien McGrane 79.7 68
149 Matt Wallace 80.1 131
150 Robert Coles 80.6 DNP
151 Greig Hutcheon 83.6 116
152 Phillip Archer 84.6 139
153 Chris Gane 84.6 116
154 Matthew Cort 84.6 131
155 Neil O’Briain 84.6 DNP
156 Graham Fox 84.6 136
157 Paul Streeter 84.6 116
158 Paul Hendriksen 84.6 128
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The accuracy number for these picks is 298. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

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