21
Aug

The Northern Trust

Thomas Hawley 0 comment
Dustin Johnson
Dustin Johnson
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Dustin Johnson -26.2 1
2 Hideki Matsuyama -14.9 71
3 Jordan Spieth -11.4 2
4 Brooks Koepka -9.5 49
5 Rory McIlroy -8.9 34
6 Paul Casey -2.1 5
7 Matt Kuchar -0.3 10
8 Rickie Fowler 1.9 20
9 Henrik Stenson 3.2 17
10 Jason Day 6.8 6
11 Adam Scott 13.1 DNP
12 Patrick Cantlay 14.0 10
13 Marc Leishman 17.2 71
14 Bubba Watson 19.0 10
15 Jon Rahm 21.6 3
16 Charley Hoffman 22.2 17
17 Zach Johnson 23.2 71
18 Patrick Reed 23.3 20
19 Francesco Molinari 24.2 82
20 Daniel Berger 24.3 33
21 Brandt Snedeker 24.9 DNP
22 Louis Oosthuizen 25.5 10
23 Sergio Garcia 25.5 DNP
24 Rafael Cabrera-Bello 26.1 115
25 Justin Thomas 27.6 6
26 Kevin Chappell 28.6 6
27 Branden Grace 29.1 71
28 Webb Simpson 30.2 6
29 Charl Schwartzel 31.0 29
30 Jason Dufner 31.1 20
31 Gary Woodland 31.9 100
32 Justin Rose 32.3 10
33 Tony Finau 32.6 54
34 Ian Poulter 32.7 66
35 Kevin Kisner 32.9 54
36 Phil Mickelson 33.4 54
37 Ryan Moore 33.7 49
38 Steve Stricker 34.2 82
39 Xander Schauffele 35.3 17
40 JB Holmes 37.0 89
41 Charles Howell 37.6 62
42 Graham DeLaet 38.2 WD
43 Jamie Lovemark 39.2 113
44 Brian Harman 39.4 89
45 Kevin Na 40.8 29
46 Brendan Steele 41.3 89
47 Jimmy Walker 42.4 89
48 Russell Knox 42.8 110
49 Bill Haas 43.5 82
50 Jhonattan Vegas 44.0 3
51 Bud Cauley 45.8 71
52 Billy Horschel 46.1 89
53 James Hahn 46.2 108
54 Russell Henley 47.4 25
55 Lucas Glover 47.8 40
56 Sean O’Hair 48.7 69
57 Emiliano Grillo 48.7 29
58 Chez Reavie 48.8 10
59 Kevin Streelman 49.0 118
60 William McGirt 49.0 54
61 Pat Perez 49.5 34
62 Keegan Bradley 50.1 43
63 Jason Kokrak 50.2 25
64 Robert Garrigus 50.5 82
65 Adam Hadwin 50.7 71
66 Byeong Hun An 50.8 113
67 Scott Brown 51.3 25
68 Chad Campbell 52.9 67
69 Scott Piercy 53.0 DNP
70 Si woo Kim 53.4 43
71 Wesley Bryan 53.8 54
72 Kevin Tway 54.2 43
73 Chris Stroud 55.2 89
74 Hudson Swafford 55.3 43
75 Ollie Schniederjans 55.4 108
76 Harold Varner 55.7 20
77 Patton Kizzire 55.8 103
78 Sung Kang 56.3 82
79 Kyle Stanley 56.5 25
80 Chris Kirk 56.5 40
81 David Lingmerth 56.9 29
82 Mackenzie Hughes 56.9 62
83 Danny Lee 57.0 89
84 Martin Flores 57.2 34
85 Martin Laird 57.3 20
86 Grayson Murray 58.0 62
87 Nick Watney 58.1 82
88 Harris English 58.6 89
89 Luke List 60.3 34
90 Richy Werenski 60.3 49
91 Brandon Hagy 60.4 103
92 Robert Streb 60.6 10
93 Jim Herman 60.7 71
94 Bryson DeChambeau 60.8 71
95 Nick Taylor 60.8 117
96 Ben Martin 60.9 103
97 Patrick Rodgers 61.1 100
98 Seung-yul Noh 61.8 71
99 Anirban Lahiri 61.9 110
100 Morgan Hoffmann 62.6 67
101 JJ Spaun 63.0 54
102 Rory Sabbatini 63.1 89
103 Tyrone van Aswegen 63.1 71
104 Blayne Barber 63.2 100
105 Cameron Smith 63.3 89
106 Stewart Cink 63.5 89
107 Camilo Villegas 63.8 34
108 Jonas Blixt 63.9 103
109 Kelly Kraft 64.0 70
110 Luke Donald 65.0 49
111 Vaughn Taylor 65.0 43
112 Geoff Ogilvy 66.0 40
113 Scott Stallings 66.2 43
114 John Huh 66.2 110
115 JJ Henry 66.3 82
116 Ryan Blaum 66.9 62
117 Michael Kim 67.0 103
118 Brian Gay 67.3 71
119 CT Pan 67.5 49
120 Derek Fathauer 67.5 115
121 Dominic Bozzelli 70.2 DNP
122 Whee Kim 70.8 34
123 DA Points 73.9 54
124 Cody Gribble 77.2 118
125 Rod Pampling 77.7 54
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The accuracy number for these picks is 522. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

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