11
Sep
Sep
BMW Championship
Dustin Johnson
| Pick | Player | Finish Estimate | Actual Finish |
| 1 | Dustin Johnson | -7.9 | 33 |
| 2 | Patrick Cantlay | -4.3 | 9 |
| 3 | Jordan Spieth | -2.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Paul Casey | 0.9 | 33 |
| 5 | Rickie Fowler | 3.1 | 2 |
| 6 | Jason Day | 11.4 | 4 |
| 7 | Matt Kuchar | 15.3 | 5 |
| 8 | Rory McIlroy | 16.9 | 58 |
| 9 | Hideki Matsuyama | 16.9 | 47 |
| 10 | Justin Thomas | 18.4 | 47 |
| 11 | Jon Rahm | 20.3 | 5 |
| 12 | Brooks Koepka | 23.0 | 12 |
| 13 | Henrik Stenson | 24.0 | 51 |
| 14 | Patrick Reed | 25.0 | 65 |
| 15 | Louis Oosthuizen | 26.3 | 63 |
| 16 | Justin Rose | 28.7 | 2 |
| 17 | Marc Leishman | 29.5 | 1 |
| 18 | Charl Schwartzel | 33.9 | 27 |
| 19 | Sergio Garcia | 34.1 | 12 |
| 20 | Phil Mickelson | 36.7 | 20 |
| 21 | Webb Simpson | 37.2 | 9 |
| 22 | Charley Hoffman | 37.7 | 27 |
| 23 | Kevin Chappell | 37.7 | 12 |
| 24 | Francesco Molinari | 38.1 | 12 |
| 25 | Pat Perez | 40.8 | 12 |
| 26 | Daniel Berger | 41.0 | 33 |
| 27 | Jason Dufner | 41.3 | 58 |
| 28 | Kevin Na | 41.7 | 53 |
| 29 | Bill Haas | 44.3 | 53 |
| 30 | Zach Johnson | 45.6 | 20 |
| 31 | Ryan Moore | 46.3 | 20 |
| 32 | Ian Poulter | 46.7 | 40 |
| 33 | Brian Harman | 47.3 | 40 |
| 34 | Kevin Kisner | 47.4 | 67 |
| 35 | Gary Woodland | 47.9 | 27 |
| 36 | Tony Finau | 50.0 | 7 |
| 37 | Xander Schauffele | 50.0 | 20 |
| 38 | Billy Horschel | 51.0 | 62 |
| 39 | Adam Hadwin | 51.5 | 40 |
| 40 | Rafael Cabrera-Bello | 51.9 | 33 |
| 41 | Jamie Lovemark | 52.1 | 33 |
| 42 | Chez Reavie | 52.7 | 12 |
| 43 | Russell Henley | 52.7 | 47 |
| 44 | Lucas Glover | 53.1 | 12 |
| 45 | Brendan Steele | 53.2 | 44 |
| 46 | Jhonattan Vegas | 53.2 | 63 |
| 47 | Kyle Stanley | 53.2 | 47 |
| 48 | Charles Howell | 53.3 | 67 |
| 49 | Emiliano Grillo | 53.9 | 58 |
| 50 | Keegan Bradley | 54.6 | 27 |
| 51 | Hudson Swafford | 56.2 | 40 |
| 52 | Stewart Cink | 56.4 | 27 |
| 53 | Bud Cauley | 56.5 | 27 |
| 54 | James Hahn | 58.2 | 33 |
| 55 | Scott Brown | 58.3 | 20 |
| 56 | Sean O’Hair | 58.5 | 20 |
| 57 | Kevin Tway | 58.5 | 53 |
| 58 | Robert Streb | 58.7 | 53 |
| 59 | Martin Laird | 59.5 | 44 |
| 60 | Si woo Kim | 60.7 | 58 |
| 61 | Grayson Murray | 60.9 | 51 |
| 62 | Mackenzie Hughes | 61.0 | 44 |
| 63 | Sung Kang | 61.2 | 53 |
| 64 | Danny Lee | 62.0 | WD |
| 65 | Ollie Schniederjans | 63.6 | 66 |
| 66 | Cameron Smith | 64.1 | 12 |
| 67 | Luke List | 64.4 | 20 |
| 68 | Wesley Bryan | 65.2 | 69 |
| 69 | Anirban Lahiri | 65.6 | 9 |
| 70 | Bryson DeChambeau | 66.2 | 33 |
| More | Less |
The accuracy number for these picks is 210. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)
Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
