29
Jan

Waste Management Phoenix Open

Thomas Hawley 0 comment

Hideki Matsuyama
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Hideki Matsuyama 16.0 WD
2 Rickie Fowler 17.2 11
3 Jordan Spieth 20.4 73
4 Jon Rahm 23.9 11
5 Justin Thomas 31.3 17
6 Marc Leishman 35.4 31
7 Phil Mickelson 36.4 5
8 Webb Simpson 39.0 84
9 Tony Finau 39.4 73
10 Zach Johnson 39.7 57
11 Steve Stricker 40.1 31
12 Matt Kuchar 41.3 5
13 Patrick Reed 41.7 17
14 Ryan Moore 44.3 84
15 Gary Woodland 44.5 1
16 Francesco Molinari 45.2 40
17 Chez Reavie 45.3 2
18 Charles Howell 46.8 DNP
19 Brandt Snedeker 46.8 23
20 Brendan Steele 47.1 3
21 Daniel Berger 47.1 11
22 Alex Noren 47.6 21
23 Charley Hoffman 48.2 26
24 Keegan Bradley 50.0 43
25 Ian Poulter 50.6 52
26 Si Woo Kim 50.8 62
27 Kevin Chappell 50.8 31
28 Kevin Streelman 51.1 40
29 Shane Lowry 51.3 65
30 Ryan Palmer 51.5 84
31 Emiliano Grillo 52.3 57
32 Lucas Glover 52.4 43
33 Bud Cauley 52.7 84
34 Xander Schauffele 52.8 17
35 Brandon Harkins 53.7 73
36 Cameron Smith 53.8 48
37 Kyle Stanley 54.0 99
38 Anirban Lahiri 54.4 84
39 James Hahn 55.3 11
40 JB Holmes 55.8 99
41 Jason Kokrak 55.9 31
42 Russell Henley 55.9 73
43 Scott Piercy 56.0 84
44 Bubba Watson 56.0 40
45 William McGirt 56.2 84
46 Adam Hadwin 56.4 43
47 Chris Kirk 56.5 11
48 Tom Hoge 56.8 84
49 Kevin Na 56.8 48
50 Russell Knox 57.2 73
51 Andrew Landry 57.8 84
52 JJ Spaun 58.1 WD
53 Bill Haas 58.4 26
54 Peter Uihlein 58.5 52
55 Harris English 58.6 73
56 Brian Stuard 58.7 65
57 Patton Kizzire 59.0 31
58 Ollie Schniederjans 59.3 3
59 Jamie Lovemark 60.2 52
60 Austin Cook 60.5 31
61 Luke List 60.6 26
62 Hudson Swafford 60.6 99
63 Martin Laird 60.9 9
64 Ben Martin 61.7 67
65 Alex Cejka 61.7 WD
66 Bryson DeChambeau 61.7 5
67 Robert Garrigus 61.8 52
68 Scott Brown 61.9 113
69 Byeong Hun An 61.9 23
70 Chesson Hadley 62.3 5
71 Brian Gay 62.9 9
72 Billy Horschel 63.0 43
73 Kevin Tway 63.2 57
74 Nick Taylor 63.9 52
75 Aaron Wise 64.1 DNP
76 Retief Goosen 64.3 73
77 Julian Suri 64.4 127
78 Sung Kang 64.7 99
79 CT Pan 64.8 62
80 Grayson Murray 65.0 70
81 John Huh 65.3 38
82 Martin Flores 65.9 21
83 Danny Lee 66.0 73
84 Wesley Bryan 66.1 109
85 Tyrone van Aswegen 66.1 69
86 Vaughn Taylor 66.5 11
87 Harold Varner 66.7 38
88 Rory Sabbatini 66.8 31
89 Robert Streb 67.3 84
90 Nick Watney 67.4 26
91 Patrick Rodgers 67.4 99
92 Ryan Armour 67.7 73
93 Mackenzie Hughes 67.7 73
94 Chad Campbell 67.8 43
95 Ryan Blaum 67.9 117
96 Morgan Hoffmann 68.1 124
97 Beau Hossler 68.2 17
98 Michael Kim 68.3 84
99 Chris Stroud 68.4 84
100 Kelly Kraft 68.6 122
101 Whee Kim 68.9 99
102 Aaron Baddeley 68.9 26
103 Blayne Barber 69.0 67
104 Geoff Ogilvy 69.3 109
105 Brice Garnett 69.5 DNP
106 Richy Werenski 69.5 84
107 Benjamin Silverman 69.8 48
108 JJ Henry 70.0 DNP
109 Camilo Villegas 70.1 57
110 Nicholas Lindheim 70.2 DNP
111 Scott Stallings 70.5 23
112 Smylie Kaufman 70.5 124
113 Hunter Mahan 70.5 109
114 Talor Gooch 70.7 DNP
115 Billy Hurley 70.8 117
116 Abraham Ancer 70.8 DNP
117 Tyler Duncan 70.9 120
118 Dominic Bozzelli 71.1 99
119 Derek Fathauer 71.4 48
120 Jonas Blixt 72.0 113
121 Colt Knost 72.1 62
122 KJ Choi 72.4 99
123 Tom Lovelady 72.5 113
124 Fabian Gomez 72.5 84
125 Jonathan Randolph 72.6 DNP
126 Cody Gribble 72.7 70
127 Stephan Jaeger 72.9 DNP
128 Peter Malnati 73.3 73
129 DA Points 73.7 126
130 Matt Every 74.4 109
131 Greg Chalmers 74.4 122
132 John Peterson 74.9 57
133 Andrew Loupe 75.3 129
134 Martin Pillar 75.3 DNP
135 Sangmoon Bae 76.3 113
136 Wyndham Clark 77.4 117
137 Jesse Mueller 77.7 128
138 Charlie Beljan 85.0 72
Ricky Barnes late entry 98
Cameron Tringale late entry 106
Richard Lee late entry 108
John Oda late entry 121
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The accuracy number for these picks is 44. The average is 212. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

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