05
Mar

Valspar Championship

Thomas Hawley 0 comment
Jordan Spieth
Jordan Spieth
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Jordan Spieth 12.4 92
2 Paul Casey 15.6 1
3 Henrik Stenson 26.9 107
4 Louis Oosthuizen 33.2 16
5 Tony Finau 34.1 107
6 Ryan Moore 34.8 92
7 Chez Reavie 35.6 79
8 Rory McIlroy 35.7 92
9 Matt Kuchar 36.5 40
10 Justin Rose 36.8 5
11 Steve Stricker 37.1 12
12 Patrick Reed 38.8 2
13 Webb Simpson 40.8 8
14 Charles Howell 41.1 40
15 Kevin Na 42.2 DNP
16 Sergio Garcia 44.2 4
17 Jason Dufner 44.7 79
18 Jason Kokrak 44.9 8
19 Brandt Snedeker 44.9 31
20 Adam Hadwin 45.1 12
21 Charl Schwartzel 45.4 49
22 Gary Woodland 45.6 79
23 Luke List 45.7 16
24 Charley Hoffman 46.8 120
25 Zach Johnson 47.3 16
26 Cameron Smith 47.4 46
27 Kevin Streelman 47.6 92
28 Branden Grace 49.9 8
29 Byeong Hun An 50.5 79
30 Adam Scott 50.5 16
31 Matthew Fitzpatrick 51.0 107
32 Lucas Glover 51.4 74
33 Martin Laird 52.0 92
34 Bill Haas 52.1 49
35 Scott Stallings 52.4 31
36 Jamie Lovemark 52.9 16
37 Ian Poulter 53.6 114
38 Chesson Hadley 54.0 120
39 Keegan Bradley 54.3 31
40 Ross Fisher 54.8 120
41 Brandon Harkins 55.1 79
42 Jim Furyk 56.0 7
43 Kyle Stanley 56.1 DNP
44 Ryan Palmer 56.9 28
45 Bud Cauley 57.4 128
46 Brian Gay 57.7 92
47 Chris Kirk 57.9 49
48 Stewart Cink 58.3 31
49 Sam Saunders 58.4 49
50 Sam Burns 58.5 12
51 Russell Knox 58.8 16
52 Bryson DeChambeau 59.1 WD
53 Ollie Schniederjans 59.5 49
54 Tiger Woods 59.5 2
55 John Huh 59.7 107
56 Shane Lowry 59.7 49
57 Jimmy Walker 60.1 28
58 Peter Uihlein 60.3 DNP
59 Rory Sabbatini 60.4 5
60 Vaughn Taylor 60.4 DNP
61 Patrick Rodgers 61.1 59
62 Robert Garrigus 61.7 31
63 JB Holmes 61.8 46
64 William McGirt 62.0 16
65 Harris English 62.2 120
66 Austin Cook 62.5 40
67 Nick Watney 62.9 59
68 Hudson Swafford 62.9 79
69 Derek Fathauer 63.0 135
70 Ben Martin 63.4 46
71 Aaron Baddeley 63.5 49
72 Grayson Murray 63.8 92
73 Aaron Wise 64.3 68
74 Luke Donald 64.3 64
75 Sung Kang 64.5 73
76 Martin Flores 64.5 77
77 Dominic Bozzelli 64.6 31
78 Nick Taylor 64.6 114
79 Scott Brown 65.0 64
80 Sean O’Hair 65.0 12
81 David Lingmerth 65.4 64
82 CT Pan 65.4 128
83 Danny Lee 65.5 128
84 Beau Hossler 65.7 92
85 Graeme McDowell 66.0 40
86 Chad Campbell 66.7 31
87 Kevin Tway 66.7 92
88 Retief Goosen 66.9 135
89 Andrew Landry 67.2 DNP
90 Ted Potter 67.3 79
91 Kelly Kraft 67.3 31
92 Billy Horschel 67.3 79
93 Tom Hoge 67.4 92
94 Tyrone van Aswegen 67.5 28
95 Troy Merritt 67.7 107
96 Harold Varner 67.7 78
97 Ryan Armour 68.4 40
98 Si Woo Kim 68.8 59
99 Alex Cejka 69.0 40
100 Seamus Power 69.0 120
101 Mackenzie Hughes 69.1 92
102 Whee Kim 69.2 49
103 Talor Gooch 69.4 120
104 Brian Stuard 69.4 79
105 Michael Kim 69.6 79
106 Robert Streb 69.6 120
107 Brice Garnett 69.9 31
108 Jonas Blixt 70.1 DNP
109 Padraig Harrington 70.2 114
110 Geoff Ogilvy 70.4 114
111 Tom Lovelady 70.5 128
112 Davis Love 70.7 135
113 Blayne Barber 70.9 16
114 Tyler Duncan 70.9 120
115 Martin Pillar 70.9 140
116 Ryan Blaum 70.9 16
117 JJ Henry 71.1 74
118 Camilo Villegas 71.2 114
119 Abraham Ancer 71.3 16
120 Benjamin Silverman 71.7 92
121 Smylie Kaufman 71.7 142
122 Rob Oppenheim 71.8 DNP
123 Richy Werenski 71.9 138
124 Sangmoon Bae 71.9 92
125 Greg Chalmers 72.0 107
126 Corey Conners 72.0 16
127 Billy Hurley 72.1 92
128 Shawn Stefani 72.1 DNP
129 Adam Schenk 72.3 59
130 Xin-jun Zhang 72.4 128
131 Andrew Putnam 72.4 92
132 Lanto Griffin 72.6 DNP
133 Peter Malnati 72.8 128
134 Bronson Burgoon 72.9 DNP
135 Nicholas Lindheim 73.4 140
136 Rod Pampling 73.6 59
137 Stephan Jaeger 73.7 49
138 Jonathan Randolph 73.8 79
139 Fabian Gomez 73.9 68
140 Colt Knost 74.2 142
141 Matt Every 74.5 68
142 DA Points 74.5 114
143 Ernie Els 76.1 64
144 Ze-cheng Dou 77.8 79
145 Jimmy Stanger 77.9 79
146 Bob Estes 83.7 49
147 Chris Couch 85.4 68
148 Dylan Meyer 85.6 74
149 Rod Perry 85.6 138
150 Ty Strafaci 85.6 128
Trey Mullinax late entry 11
TJ Vogel late entry 18
Sam Ryder late entry 72
Jack Maguire late entry 107
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The accuracy number for these picks is 223. The average is 213. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

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