12
Mar

Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard

Thomas Hawley 0 comment

Jason Day
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Jason Day 16.8 22
2 Justin Rose 24.5 3
3 Rickie Fowler 28.1 14
4 Louis Oosthuizen 28.1 106
5 Hideki Matsuyama 31.9 49
6 Henrik Stenson 32.8 4
7 Alex Noren 35.2 36
8 Brian Harman 37.8 54
9 Marc Leishman 38.3 7
10 Tyrrell Hatton 38.3 69
11 Tommy Fleetwood 39.2 26
12 Zach Johnson 39.3 26
13 Kevin Chappell 41.0 7
14 Rory McIlroy 41.6 1
15 Pat Perez 42.1 DNP
16 Francesco Molinari 42.2 26
17 Jason Kokrak 43.0 87
18 Brandt Snedeker 43.2 97
19 Tiger Woods 44.0 5
20 Adam Scott 44.0 41
21 Luke List 45.0 7
22 Patrick Reed 46.2 7
23 James Hahn 47.4 58
24 Kevin Na 47.7 36
25 Bubba Watson 48.1 66
26 Jamie Lovemark 48.1 41
27 Emiliano Grillo 48.6 26
28 Sam Burns 50.4 49
29 Cameron Smith 50.4 103
30 Martin Laird 50.6 26
31 Charles Howell 51.7 14
32 Lucas Glover 52.0 49
33 Ryan Moore 52.1 5
34 Matthew Fitzpatrick 52.3 87
35 Byeong Hun An 52.4 14
36 Scott Piercy 52.6 87
37 Charley Hoffman 52.8 14
38 Keegan Bradley 53.0 26
39 Kevin Streelman 53.3 41
40 Scott Stallings 53.7 78
41 Kevin Kisner 54.1 106
42 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 54.3 87
43 Ian Poulter 54.5 41
44 Kyle Stanley 56.3 14
45 Russell Knox 56.7 73
46 Patton Kizzire 57.4 87
47 Charl Schwartzel 57.7 97
48 Jimmy Walker 57.8 73
49 William McGirt 58.0 26
50 Stewart Cink 58.1 58
51 Chris Kirk 58.4 13
52 Chesson Hadley 58.4 49
53 Bud Cauley 58.5 14
54 Brandon Harkins 58.9 36
55 Ollie Schniederjans 59.6 41
56 Shane Lowry 59.7 87
57 Matt Every 60.1 106
58 Vaughn Taylor 60.2 DNP
59 Peter Uihlein 60.3 66
60 Ben Martin 60.9 87
61 Bryson DeChambeau 61.0 2
62 Patrick Rodgers 61.2 7
63 Anirban Lahiri 61.2 75
64 Hudson Swafford 61.5 75
65 JB Holmes 61.7 41
66 Sean O’Hair 62.1 7
67 Aaron Baddeley 62.8 DNP
68 Sam Saunders 63.3 78
69 Haotong Li 63.3 54
70 Graeme McDowell 63.3 22
71 John Huh 63.4 26
72 Derek Fathauer 63.6 DNP
73 Austin Cook 63.6 36
74 Brian Gay 64.0 22
75 Grayson Murray 64.7 14
76 Tyrone van Aswegen 64.8 72
77 JJ Spaun 64.9 DNP
78 Aaron Wise 65.0 41
79 Sung Kang 65.1 58
80 Kelly Kraft 65.2 DNP
81 Nick Taylor 65.5 78
82 Scott Brown 65.6 103
83 David Lingmerth 65.6 64
84 Beau Hossler 66.7 66
85 Danny Lee 66.9 97
86 Billy Horschel 66.9 54
87 Aj McInerney 67.0 78
88 CT Pan 67.0 41
89 Harris English 67.6 22
90 Tom Hoge 67.7 26
91 Ted Potter 67.8 117
92 Ryan Armour 67.9 77
93 Kevin Tway 68.1 58
94 Chris Stroud 68.4 DNP
95 Si Woo Kim 68.8 111
96 Whee Kim 69.2 97
97 Abraham Ancer 69.2 DNP
98 Alex Cejka 69.6 87
99 Mackenzie Hughes 69.6 54
100 Brian Stuard 69.7 36
101 Robert Streb 70.0 78
102 Talor Gooch 70.2 26
103 Luke Donald 70.7 115
104 Camilo Villegas 70.8 111
105 JT Poston 71.0 DNP
106 Padraig Harrington 71.3 78
107 Tyler Duncan 71.4 78
108 Martin Pillar 72.0 113
109 Smylie Kaufman 72.0 119
110 Sangmoon Bae 72.3 106
111 Billy Hurley 72.4 78
112 Curtis Luck 72.5 58
113 Yuta Ikeda 72.6 87
114 Vijay Singh 72.8 106
115 Benjamin Silverman 72.9 DNP
116 Davis Love 72.9 58
117 Hunter Mahan 73.5 78
118 Cody Gribble 74.0 103
119 Ernie Els 74.3 49
120 DA Points 74.5 97
121 Sam Horsfield 75.1 14
122 Stuart Appleby 75.6 97
123 Satoshi Kodaira 75.6 113
124 Danny Willett 75.7 WD
125 Tim Herron 81.4 87
126 Robert Gamez 85.6 116
127 Paul Goydos 85.6 69
128 Donny Lee 85.6 117
129 Collin Morikawa 85.6 64
130 Doc Redman 85.6 71
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The accuracy number for these picks is 211. The average is 213. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

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