09
Apr

Open de Espana

Thomas Hawley 0 comment

Jon Rahm
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Jon Rahm 11.4 1
2 Rafa Cabrera Bello 37.8 75
3 James Morrison 47.2 134
4 Maximilian Kieffer 48.6 12
5 Victor Dubuisson 53.5 134
6 Seung-su Han 53.8 21
7 Soren Kjeldsen 54.2 75
8 Andy Sullivan 58.0 21
9 Pablo Larrazabal 58.5 21
10 Jorge Campillo 58.7 5
11 Alejandro Canizares 60.3 12
12 Richie Ramsay 60.4 72
13 David Horsey 60.6 129
14 Paul Dunne 61.6 2
15 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 61.8 34
16 Hideto Tanihara 62.7 9
17 Andrew Johnston 64.7 12
18 Gregory Bourdy 64.9 46
19 Richard Bland 65.4 123
20 David Lipsky 65.5 67
21 Daisuke Kataoka 66.5 144
22 Thorbjorn Olesen 66.6 46
23 Fabrizio Zanotti 66.6 75
24 Felipe Aguilar 66.7 28
25 Adrian Otaegui 66.8 12
26 Ryan Fox 66.8 92
27 Dean Burmester 67.3 71
28 Nacho Elvira 67.8 3
29 Alexander Bjork 67.9 39
30 Nicolas Colsaerts 67.9 28
31 Eddie Pepperell 67.9 92
32 Mikko Korhonen 67.9 134
33 Richard Sterne 69.2 34
34 George Coetzee 69.3 4
35 Darren Fichardt 69.5 58
36 David Drysdale 69.5 75
37 Stephen Gallacher 69.6 52
38 Sam Horsfield 69.6 109
39 Gregory Havret 69.7 109
40 Jeunghun Wang 70.3 109
41 Robert Rock 70.3 28
42 Adam Bland 70.8 109
43 Raphael Jacquelin 70.9 109
44 Scott Jamieson 71.1 75
45 Graeme Storm 71.4 67
46 Matteo Manassero 71.4 39
47 Marcus Kinhult 71.5 92
48 Florian Fritsch 71.6 144
49 Matthew Southgate 71.7 DNP
50 Matthieu Pavon 71.8 75
51 Thomas Detry 72.0 92
52 Marc Warren 72.1 5
53 Chase Koepka 72.3 123
54 Julien Quesne 72.3 92
55 Thongchai Jaidee 72.4 73
56 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 72.5 109
57 Matt Wallace 72.7 129
58 Anthony Wall 72.7 52
59 Andrea Pavan 73.0 21
60 Thomas Aiken 73.0 123
61 Aaron Rai 73.7 12
62 Ashun Wu 73.8 34
63 Renato Paratore 73.8 21
64 Bradley Dredge 73.9 52
65 Joakim Lagergren 74.0 134
66 Callum Shinkwin 74.0 28
67 Jordan Smith 74.5 92
68 Edoardo Molinari 74.8 92
69 Andrew Dodt 75.1 123
70 Oliver Fisher 75.2 92
71 Ricardo Gouveia 75.8 52
72 Chris Hanson 76.0 92
73 Austin Connelly 76.0 63
74 Eduardo de la Riva 76.0 109
75 Paul Waring 76.0 63
76 Jason Scrivener 76.0 73
77 Gavin Green 76.3 46
78 Trevor Fisher 76.4 67
79 Connor Syme 77.1 92
80 Julien Guerrier 77.3 9
81 Nino Bertasio 77.4 34
82 Nicolas Geyger 77.4 92
83 Tapio Pulkkanen 77.5 21
84 Jamie Donaldson 77.5 92
85 Jeff Winther 77.8 34
86 Yusaku Miyazato 77.8 12
87 Lasse Jensen 78.0 134
88 Lee Slattery 78.0 147
89 Thomas Bjorn 78.1 DNP
90 Clement Sordet 78.1 152
91 Marcus Fraser 78.1 46
92 Paul Lawrie 78.1 75
93 Robert Karlsson 78.2 153
94 Phachara Khongwatmai 78.2 123
95 Sebastian Heisele 78.2 75
96 Charlie Ford 78.3 63
97 Jin Choi 78.4 58
98 Steven Brown 78.5 75
99 Ashley Chesters 78.7 134
100 Brandon Stone 78.8 39
101 David Howell 79.1 39
102 Erik Van Rooyen 79.2 21
103 Ben Evans 79.2 109
104 Matthew Baldwin 79.2 52
105 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 79.2 28
106 Scott Fernandez 79.6 75
107 Gavin Moynihan 79.9 134
108 Pedro Oriol 79.9 39
109 Mark Foster 80.0 75
110 Ryan Evans 80.1 153
111 Brett Rumford 80.3 5
112 Daniel Im 80.3 109
113 Christofer Blomstrand 80.3 92
114 Daniel Brooks 80.5 144
115 Niclas Fasth 80.5 134
116 Jacques Kruyswijk 80.5 9
117 Carlos Pigem 80.6 147
118 Alvaro Quiros 80.6 75
119 Matthew Nixon 80.7 109
120 Adrien Saddier 80.7 109
121 Jens Dantorp 80.7 67
122 Sebastien Gros 81.1 12
123 Nick Cullen 81.2 109
124 Richard McEvoy 81.6 155
125 Tom Lewis 81.6 129
126 Laurie Canter 81.7 92
127 Si-hwan Kim 82.1 46
128 Steve Webster 82.2 DNP
129 Johan Edfors 82.3 DNP
130 Zander Lombard 82.3 147
131 Pep Angles 82.3 46
132 Javier Colomo 82.9 75
133 Lorenzo Gagli 83.1 75
134 Oliver Farr 83.2 134
135 Pontus Widegren 83.5 75
136 Jason Norris 83.6 58
137 Ross McGowan 83.8 129
138 Jonathan Thomson 84.0 39
139 Matthias Schwab 84.3 28
140 Estanislao Goya 84.3 75
141 Eirik Tage Johansen 84.4 DNP
142 Josh Geary 84.7 134
143 Marcel Schneider 85.0 58
144 Oscar Serna 85.1 DNP
145 Rak hyun Cho 85.3 12
146 Bradley Neil 85.4 58
147 Adri Arnaus 85.4 75
148 Marco Iten 85.4 DNP
149 Alfredo Garcia-Heredia 85.4 147
150 Birgir Hafthorsson 85.6 123
151 Soomin Lee 85.6 147
152 Javier Sainz 85.6 109
153 Jose Luis Gonzalez Courtney 85.6 156
154 Alejandro Del Reyam 85.6 129
155 Billy McKenzie 85.6 92
156 Angel Hidalgo 85.6 109
157 Victor Pastor 85.6 12
158 Samuel Del Val 85.6 39
159 Sebastian Garcia Rodriguez 85.6 52
160 Santiago Tarrio Ben 85.6 92
161 Henric Sturehed 85.6 5
162 James Heath 85.8 92
163 Tom Murray 86.0 63
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The accuracy number for these picks is 315. The average is 212. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

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