27
May

Italian Open

Thomas Hawley 0 comment
Francesco Molinari
Francesco Molinari
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Francesco Molinari -5.8 2
2 Tommy Fleetwood 7.5 23
3 Alex Noren 26.5 23
4 Ian Poulter 27.3 8
5 Matthew Fitzpatrick 29.2 30
6 Rafa Cabrera Bello 35.3 4
7 Tyrrell Hatton 42.1 103
8 Ross Fisher 47.1 84
9 Miguel Angel Jimenez 51.5 14
10 Graeme McDowell 53.2 5
11 Alexander Levy 53.8 65
12 Joost Luiten 53.9 DNP
13 David Horsey 54.7 129
14 Martin Kaymer 55.3 8
15 Thomas Pieters 55.4 14
16 Andy Sullivan 56.8 5
17 Lee Westwood 57.2 5
18 Jorge Campillo 59.6 60
19 Alexander Bjork 61.2 96
20 Hideto Tanihara 61.7 80
21 Lucas Bjerregaard 61.8 71
22 Harold Varner 61.9 DNP
23 Benjamin Hebert 62.0 23
24 Haotong Li 62.2 19
25 Chris Paisley 63.1 103
26 David Lipsky 63.4 65
27 Darren Fichardt 63.9 74
28 Dylan Frittelli 64.4 30
29 Jeunghun Wang 64.4 80
30 Soren Kjeldsen 65.1 42
31 Andrew Johnston 65.1 42
32 Richie Ramsay 65.3 103
33 Nacho Elvira 65.7 42
34 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 65.8 19
35 Paul Dunne 66.2 30
36 Fabrizio Zanotti 66.7 60
37 Nicolas Colsaerts 66.7 115
38 Adrian Otaegui 66.8 36
39 Joakim Lagergren 67.2 122
40 Mikko Korhonen 67.4 84
41 Erik Van Rooyen 67.5 42
42 Robert Rock 67.7 42
43 Andrea Pavan 67.7 103
44 Richard Bland 67.9 70
45 Matt Wallace 67.9 51
46 Thorbjorn Olesen 68.1 1
47 Ryan Fox 68.2 8
48 George Coetzee 68.5 103
49 Chris Wood 68.5 36
50 Dean Burmester 68.9 30
51 Thongchai Jaidee 69.2 84
52 Marc Warren 69.3 84
53 Richard Sterne 69.5 65
54 Mikko Ilonen 69.7 96
55 Pablo Larrazabal 69.8 DNP
56 Danny Willett 70.6 8
57 Matthew Southgate 70.7 84
58 Jacques Kruyswijk 70.7 14
59 Marcus Kinhult 70.8 103
60 Romain Wattel 71.0 115
61 Eddie Pepperell 71.3 51
62 Callum Shinkwin 72.4 8
63 Sam Horsfield 72.5 103
64 Ashun Wu 72.6 60
65 Chris Hanson 72.8 84
66 Matteo Manassero 72.9 36
67 Andrew Dodt 73.0 122
68 Padraig Harrington 73.1 36
69 David Drysdale 73.4 65
70 Stephen Gallacher 73.5 96
71 Maximilian Kieffer 73.6 129
72 Soomin Lee 73.8 144
73 Julien Guerrier 73.9 51
74 Bradley Dredge 74.0 23
75 Austin Connelly 74.3 51
76 Paul Waring 74.4 122
77 Felipe Aguilar 74.4 84
78 Peter Hanson 74.4 80
79 Robert Karlsson 74.6 140
80 Lee Slattery 74.6 3
81 Scott Hend 74.6 14
82 Jordan Smith 74.7 8
83 Aaron Rai 74.7 51
84 Jason Scrivener 74.9 21
85 Scott Jamieson 75.0 83
86 Tapio Pulkkanen 75.0 140
87 Nino Bertasio 75.1 115
88 Thomas Detry 75.1 36
89 Oliver Fisher 75.3 21
90 Wade Ormsby 75.3 71
91 Renato Paratore 75.5 153
92 Brett Rumford 75.8 42
93 Marcus Fraser 75.9 122
94 Lasse Jensen 76.0 115
95 Matthieu Pavon 76.4 122
96 Chase Koepka 76.4 103
97 David Howell 76.6 42
98 Thomas Aiken 76.7 30
99 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 76.7 129
100 Sebastien Gros 76.8 84
101 Haydn Porteous 77.1 51
102 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 77.2 30
103 Gregory Bourdy 77.2 84
104 Brandon Stone 77.4 65
105 Jin Choi 77.5 96
106 James Morrison 77.6 23
107 Ricardo Gouveia 78.3 96
108 Adam Bland 78.4 23
109 Matthias Schwab 78.4 42
110 Marcel Siem 78.5 137
111 Sam Brazel 78.5 137
112 Gregory Havret 78.5 78
113 Matthew Baldwin 78.7 152
114 Jamie Donaldson 78.8 74
115 Andres Romero 78.8 74
116 Alvaro Quiros 79.1 103
117 Ashley Chesters 79.2 96
118 Daniel Im 79.2 78
119 Daniel Brooks 79.4 73
120 Edoardo Molinari 79.5 129
121 Sebastian Heisele 79.6 84
122 Raphael Jacquelin 79.9 122
123 Connor Syme 80.0 84
124 Thomas Bjorn 80.3 DNP
125 Adrien Saddier 80.5 51
126 Phachara Khongwatmai 80.5 103
127 Gavin Green 80.5 74
128 Pedro Oriol 80.5 103
129 Scott Fernandez 80.6 144
130 Ryan Evans 80.8 60
131 Jens Dantorp 80.8 42
132 Jeff Winther 80.9 129
133 Pontus Widegren 80.9 129
134 Pep Angles 81.0 147
135 Steven Brown 81.0 129
136 Laurie Canter 81.0 36
137 Rak hyun Cho 81.2 140
138 Lorenzo Gagli 81.2 14
139 Clement Sordet 81.3 115
140 Charlie Ford 81.4 23
141 Carlos Pigem 81.5 153
142 SSP Chawrasia 81.5 129
143 Nicolas Geyger 81.7 147
144 Mark Foster 82.0 115
145 Josh Geary 82.6 51
146 Zander Lombard 82.7 155
147 Trevor Immelman 82.7 60
148 Jason Norris 82.7 103
149 Luca Cianchetti 82.9 115
150 Enrico di Nitto 83.3 149
151 Oliver Farr 83.5 149
152 Francesco Laporta 84.0 122
153 Bradley Neil 85.2 140
154 Guido Migliozzi 85.6 96
155 Filippo Bergamaschi 85.6 84
156 Jacopo Vecchi Fossa 85.6 144
Ross McGowan late entry 54
James Heath late entry 138
Federico Maccario late entry 151
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The accuracy number for these picks is 293. The average is 211. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

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