20
Aug

The Northern Trust

Thomas Hawley 0 comment
Dustin Johnson
Dustin Johnson
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Dustin Johnson -6.7 11
2 Justin Rose 5.0 101
3 Justin Thomas 9.4 8
4 Jason Day 16.0 20
5 Rickie Fowler 16.8 DNP
6 Patrick Cantlay 17.7 8
7 Tiger Woods 19.1 40
8 Francesco Molinari 20.5 90
9 Brooks Koepka 20.9 8
10 Webb Simpson 21.0 28
11 Tommy Fleetwood 24.5 20
12 Paul Casey 24.6 60
13 Jon Rahm 25.5 109
14 Jordan Spieth 28.4 25
15 Tony Finau 29.6 2
16 Louis Oosthuizen 30.3 28
17 Alex Noren 32.9 90
18 Phil Mickelson 33.5 15
19 Henrik Stenson 34.7 DNP
20 Zach Johnson 35.1 40
21 Ryan Moore 36.3 90
22 Ian Poulter 37.5 48
23 Patrick Reed 38.2 25
24 Xander Schauffele 40.2 81
25 Tyrrell Hatton 41.0 20
26 Matt Kuchar 41.3 60
27 Bubba Watson 41.5 34
28 Adam Scott 41.8 5
29 Rafa Cabrera Bello 42.3 60
30 Hideki Matsuyama 43.9 15
31 Kevin Kisner 44.1 73
32 Charles Howell 45.4 101
33 Kevin Na 46.3 15
34 Luke List 46.4 48
35 Branden Grace 46.5 81
36 Kyle Stanley 46.7 28
37 Stewart Cink 46.9 101
38 Emiliano Grillo 47.0 48
39 Marc Leishman 47.0 34
40 Keegan Bradley 48.3 34
41 Brandt Snedeker 48.5 DNP
42 Charley Hoffman 48.6 20
43 Bryson DeChambeau 48.7 1
44 Gary Woodland 49.7 48
45 Jamie Lovemark 51.5 34
46 Brian Harman 51.8 48
47 Pat Perez 52.4 40
48 Russell Henley 52.4 90
49 Chesson Hadley 52.8 56
50 Beau Hossler 53.6 60
51 Billy Horschel 53.8 3
52 Jimmy Walker 53.9 71
53 Charl Schwartzel 54.3 81
54 Kevin Chappell 54.6 109
55 Joel Dahmen 54.6 97
56 Jason Kokrak 54.9 40
57 Chris Kirk 55.1 78
58 Daniel Berger 55.1 15
59 Byeong Hun An 55.8 40
60 Adam Hadwin 56.5 11
61 Brian Gay 56.6 70
62 Andrew Putnam 56.7 78
63 Russell Knox 56.9 97
64 Chez Reavie 56.9 20
65 Kevin Tway 57.0 56
66 Brendan Steele 57.0 106
67 Jason Dufner 57.1 81
68 Cameron Smith 57.4 3
69 CT Pan 58.4 60
70 Harold Varner 58.6 40
71 Kevin Streelman 59.2 40
72 Martin Laird 59.2 73
73 JJ Spaun 59.5 60
74 Austin Cook 59.8 60
75 Rory Sabbatini 59.8 101
76 Anirban Lahiri 60.1 71
77 Danny Lee 60.6 34
78 JB Holmes 60.8 90
79 Abraham Ancer 60.9 81
80 Si Woo Kim 61.5 76
81 Keith Mitchell 61.6 117
82 Bud Cauley 61.9 DNP
83 William McGirt 62.1 117
84 Ryan Palmer 62.5 5
85 Aaron Wise 62.5 5
86 James Hahn 63.8 81
87 Ollie Schniederjans 64.3 90
88 Patrick Rodgers 64.3 DNP
89 Peter Uihlein 64.4 48
90 Tyler Duncan 64.5 112
91 Vaughn Taylor 64.8 90
92 Jhonattan Vegas 65.2 15
93 Nick Watney 65.4 11
94 Scott Piercy 65.6 48
95 Ryan Armour 65.7 78
96 Troy Merritt 65.9 115
97 Sam Ryder 66.2 28
98 Richy Werenski 66.3 112
99 John Huh 66.6 81
100 Grayson Murray 66.7 WD
101 Sam Saunders 67.0 60
102 Ryan Blaum 67.0 109
103 Tom Hoge 67.1 101
104 Bronson Burgoon 67.3 11
105 Sean O’Hair 67.3 28
106 Michael Kim 67.3 81
107 Patton Kizzire 67.7 60
108 Andrew Landry 67.8 76
109 Scott Brown 67.8 97
110 Harris English 67.8 97
111 Nick Taylor 67.9 81
112 JT Poston 68.0 115
113 Brice Garnett 68.0 106
114 Ted Potter 68.2 40
115 Scott Stallings 68.3 28
116 Seamus Power 68.5 34
117 Whee Kim 68.5 48
118 Trey Mullinax 68.7 56
119 Alex Cejka 68.8 56
120 Brandon Harkins 68.9 60
121 Satoshi Kodaira 68.9 112
122 Kelly Kraft 70.2 106
123 Sung Kang 70.3 75
124 Brian Stuard 71.8 25
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The accuracy number for these picks is 73. The average is 207. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order from the top pick to win the event and then downward. The Finish Estimate reflects a stew of data, and for each player it is unique for this event, this course. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite.
 

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