04
Mar

Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard

Thomas Hawley 0 comment
Rory McIlroy
Rory McIlroy
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Rory McIlroy 2.0 6
2 Jason Day 15.7 WD
3 Justin Rose 15.7 63
4 Rickie Fowler 17.0 40
5 Brooks Koepka 23.6 85
6 Hideki Matsuyama 23.7 33
7 Marc Leishman 30.5 23
8 Bryson DeChambeau 31.4 46
9 Francesco Molinari 31.6 1
10 Tommy Fleetwood 33.4 3
11 Ian Poulter 33.9 23
12 Rafa Cabrera Bello 37.3 3
13 Patrick Reed 37.4 50
14 Henrik Stenson 37.5 17
15 Louis Oosthuizen 37.6 91
16 Charles Howell 38.4 15
17 Tyrrell Hatton 41.3 29
18 Phil Mickelson 41.4 71
19 Billy Horschel 41.9 50
20 Jason Kokrak 42.6 10
21 Adam Hadwin 44.2 33
22 Lucas Glover 44.8 10
23 Si Woo Kim 45.1 103
24 Michael Thompson 46.0 71
25 Zach Johnson 46.0 40
26 Bubba Watson 46.3 17
27 Haotong Li 48.7 107
28 Keegan Bradley 50.2 46
29 Bud Cauley 50.8 71
30 Kevin Kisner 52.9 23
31 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 53.0 23
32 Luke List 53.1 10
33 Shane Lowry 53.4 97
34 JB Holmes 53.5 91
35 Byeong Hun An 53.7 10
36 Kevin Na 53.8 71
37 Scott Piercy 53.8 54
38 Daniel Berger 55.1 97
39 Matthew Fitzpatrick 56.0 2
40 Matt Wallace 56.6 6
41 Harold Varner 56.9 107
42 Ryan Moore 57.1 33
43 Abraham Ancer 57.1 107
44 Kyle Stanley 57.3 71
45 Thorbjorn Olesen 57.3 71
46 Brian Gay 57.8 85
47 Charley Hoffman 57.8 71
48 Brandt Snedeker 57.9 50
49 Chesson Hadley 58.0 17
50 Beau Hossler 58.0 58
51 JT Poston 59.1 66
52 Stewart Cink 59.2 107
53 Danny Lee 59.3 85
54 Aaron Wise 59.9 40
55 CT Pan 60.0 71
56 Patrick Rodgers 60.1 46
57 Danny Willett 61.3 103
58 Joel Dahmen 61.4 103
59 Jhonattan Vegas 61.5 23
60 Steve Stricker 61.6 58
61 Graeme McDowell 61.8 54
62 Keith Mitchell 62.0 6
63 Brian Harman 62.2 97
64 Trey Mullinax 62.2 DNP
65 Chris Stroud 62.4 121
66 Martin Laird 62.4 91
67 Talor Gooch 62.5 DNP
68 Ryan Armour 62.5 91
69 Charl Schwartzel 63.1 DNP
70 Sungjae Im 63.2 3
71 Matt Every 63.3 119
72 Austin Cook 63.4 71
73 Pat Perez 63.5 50
74 JJ Spaun 63.6 63
75 Joaquin Niemann 63.7 46
76 Kevin Streelman 63.7 58
77 Scott Brown 64.0 116
78 Nate Lashley 64.1 91
79 Sam Ryder 64.3 33
80 Vaughn Taylor 64.4 71
81 Chris Kirk 64.5 15
82 Eddie Pepperell 64.7 57
83 Scott Langley 65.5 116
84 Jimmy Walker 65.5 58
85 Nick Watney 65.6 DNP
86 Cameron Champ 66.0 107
87 Patton Kizzire 66.1 DNP
88 Brice Garnett 66.3 71
89 Scott Stallings 66.6 40
90 Adam Schenk 66.7 29
91 Aaron Baddeley 66.9 17
92 Hudson Swafford 66.9 29
93 Sung Kang 67.0 6
94 Anirban Lahiri 67.0 69
95 Ted Potter 67.1 107
96 Brian Stuard 67.3 DNP
97 Jason Dufner 67.6 103
98 Corey Conners 67.9 97
99 Dominic Bozzelli 67.9 107
100 Harris English 67.9 68
101 Johnson Wagner 68.2 33
102 Carlos Ortiz 68.2 29
103 Bronson Burgoon 68.2 71
104 Richy Werenski 68.3 107
105 Ernie Els 68.4 71
106 Sam Saunders 68.5 63
107 Brendan Steele 68.5 17
108 Sam Horsfield 68.7 33
109 Roger Sloan 68.9 23
110 Bill Haas 69.2 119
111 Sam Burns 69.4 54
112 Martin Kaymer 69.8 33
113 Ryan Blaum 70.1 17
114 Vijay Singh 70.2 71
115 Davis Love 70.3 DNP
116 Cameron Davis 70.5 DNP
117 Hunter Mahan 70.6 40
118 Andrew Landry 70.6 97
119 Robert Streb 71.2 97
120 Anders Albertson 71.3 115
121 Ollie Schniederjans 71.4 91
122 Chase Wright 72.1 DNP
123 Martin Trainer 72.6 66
124 Adam Long 73.5 10
125 Michael Kim 74.0 85
126 DA Points 75.4 58
127 Tim Herron 77.2 69
128 Braden Thornberry 81.0 85
129 Viktor Hovland 82.0 40
130 Robert Gamez 82.2 122
131 Rod Perry 82.2 118
132 Justin Suh 82.2 85
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The accuracy number for these picks is 14. The average is 138. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order starting with the top pick to win the event. The Finish Estimate reflects each player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, and recent performance in the event. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public.
 

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