11
Mar

The Players Championship

Thomas Hawley 0 comment

McIlroy/ Thomas
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Rory McIlroy -0.5 1
2 Justin Thomas -0.5 35
3 Jason Day 6.9 8
4 Dustin Johnson 7.9 5
5 Patrick Cantlay 16.3 102
6 Rickie Fowler 18.3 47
7 Tiger Woods 18.5 30
8 Francesco Molinari 19.6 56
9 Justin Rose 22.0 8
10 Brooks Koepka 23.0 56
11 Jon Rahm 23.2 12
12 Hideki Matsuyama 23.5 8
13 Webb Simpson 23.9 16
14 Ian Poulter 27.4 56
15 Tommy Fleetwood 28.0 5
16 Adam Scott 28.1 12
17 Paul Casey 28.3 136
18 Xander Schauffele 29.2 81
19 Gary Woodland 31.6 30
20 Rafa Cabrera Bello 32.1 140
21 Tony Finau 32.4 22
22 Charles Howell 33.1 35
23 Marc Leishman 35.6 81
24 Bryson DeChambeau 37.7 20
25 Louis Oosthuizen 37.9 56
26 Matt Kuchar 38.7 26
27 Patrick Reed 39.3 47
28 Tyrrell Hatton 40.1 116
29 Bubba Watson 40.3 56
30 Sergio Garcia 40.4 22
31 Lucas Glover 40.6 116
32 Jason Kokrak 41.0 47
33 Henrik Stenson 42.2 92
34 Cameron Smith 42.6 56
35 Phil Mickelson 44.5 116
36 Billy Horschel 45.1 26
37 Adam Hadwin 45.9 134
38 Alex Noren 46.9 102
39 Si Woo Kim 47.3 56
40 Zach Johnson 47.6 128
41 Ryan Palmer 48.0 92
42 Michael Thompson 49.1 70
43 Haotong Li 49.4 81
44 Kevin Kisner 49.5 22
45 Chez Reavie 49.5 92
46 Matthew Fitzpatrick 50.3 41
47 Russell Knox 50.3 35
48 Luke List 50.4 56
49 Byeong Hun An 50.5 26
50 Jordan Spieth 50.9 92
51 Emiliano Grillo 51.4 26
52 Chesson Hadley 51.6 102
53 Branden Grace 51.6 72
54 Keegan Bradley 51.8 16
55 Keith Mitchell 52.9 47
56 Matt Wallace 53.5 30
57 Jim Furyk 54.0 2
58 JB Holmes 54.2 92
59 Scott Piercy 54.3 56
60 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 54.5 140
61 Ryan Moore 54.8 20
62 Daniel Berger 55.7 67
63 Jhonattan Vegas 56.0 3
64 Harold Varner 56.4 128
65 Kevin Na 56.6 78
66 Shane Lowry 57.3 111
67 Bud Cauley 57.4 47
68 Andrew Putnam 57.6 134
69 Chris Kirk 57.9 56
70 Aaron Wise 58.1 92
71 Russell Henley 58.3 92
72 Abraham Ancer 58.4 12
73 Brian Gay 58.4 56
74 Thorbjorn Olesen 58.8 41
75 Sungjae Im 59.1 81
76 Danny Lee 59.6 136
77 Kyle Stanley 59.7 81
78 Sung Kang 59.9 47
79 JT Poston 60.1 22
80 Lucas Bjerregaard 60.1 30
81 Beau Hossler 60.4 81
82 Charley Hoffman 60.4 136
83 Patrick Rodgers 60.4 77
84 CT Pan 60.8 72
85 Pat Perez 61.0 DNP
86 Brandt Snedeker 61.3 5
87 Charl Schwartzel 61.6 125
88 Nick Taylor 62.2 16
89 Danny Willett 62.2 116
90 Trey Mullinax 62.2 81
91 Kevin Tway 62.3 116
92 Stewart Cink 62.5 111
93 Aaron Baddeley 62.5 116
94 Talor Gooch 62.5 111
95 Ryan Armour 62.8 102
96 Scott Brown 63.2 116
97 Brian Harman 63.3 8
98 Sam Ryder 63.7 92
99 Joel Dahmen 64.1 12
100 Kevin Streelman 64.1 81
101 JJ Spaun 64.4 WD
102 Jimmy Walker 64.6 67
103 Adam Schenk 64.8 DNP
104 Brendan Steele 64.8 81
105 Martin Laird 65.0 102
106 Eddie Pepperell 65.1 3
107 Nick Watney 65.1 92
108 Roger Sloan 65.1 DNP
109 Austin Cook 65.3 111
110 Nate Lashley 65.3 DNP
111 Vaughn Taylor 65.3 41
112 Carlos Ortiz 65.3 DNP
113 Rory Sabbatini 65.4 35
114 Scott Stallings 65.8 81
115 Wyndham Clark 65.8 DQ
116 Peter Uihlein 65.9 111
117 Scott Langley 65.9 67
118 Patton Kizzire 66.1 79
119 Martin Kaymer 66.3 71
120 Troy Merritt 66.3 81
121 Jason Dufner 66.5 74
122 Cameron Champ 66.6 WD
123 Denny McCarthy 66.7 41
124 Brice Garnett 67.3 35
125 Brian Stuard 67.5 102
126 Ryan Blaum 67.6 102
127 Brandon Harkins 67.7 128
128 Anirban Lahiri 67.8 74
129 KH Lee 68.0 DNP
130 Vijay Singh 68.1 125
131 Adam Long 68.5 79
132 Richy Werenski 68.6 47
133 Hudson Swafford 68.6 DNP
134 Bronson Burgoon 68.7 125
135 Harris English 69.0 102
136 Ted Potter 69.0 116
137 Sam Saunders 69.2 116
138 Kelly Kraft 69.5 47
139 Corey Conners 70.0 41
140 Dominic Bozzelli 70.4 92
141 Grayson Murray 70.6 128
142 Tyler Duncan 71.0 74
143 Alex Cejka 71.3 102
144 Robert Streb 71.6 DNP
145 Whee Kim 71.8 DNP
146 Andrew Landry 71.9 47
147 Tom Hoge 72.1 30
148 Chase Wright 72.2 DNP
149 Seamus Power 72.2 35
150 John Huh 72.6 128
151 Ollie Schniederjans 72.6 16
152 Martin Trainer 72.8 41
153 Satoshi Kodaira 73.1 128
154 Michael Kim 74.6 136
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The accuracy number for these picks is 393. The average is 139. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order starting with the top pick to win the event. The Finish Estimate reflects each player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, and recent performance in the event. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public.
 

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