08
Apr

The Masters

Thomas Hawley 0 comment
Rory McIlroy
Rory McIlroy
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Rory McIlroy -7.5 21
2 Dustin Johnson 3.1 2
3 Justin Rose 10.9 66
4 Tiger Woods 15.4 1
5 Justin Thomas 18.5 12
6 Paul Casey 20.5 82
7 Tommy Fleetwood 21.3 36
8 Hideki Matsuyama 23.0 32
9 Jon Rahm 23.5 9
10 Rickie Fowler 23.8 9
11 Francesco Molinari 23.8 5
12 Patrick Cantlay 24.3 9
13 Jason Day 28.2 5
14 Webb Simpson 32.5 5
15 Louis Oosthuizen 32.7 29
16 Xander Schauffele 33.5 2
17 Adam Scott 34.1 18
18 Matt Kuchar 34.3 12
19 Sergio Garcia 34.9 66
20 Tony Finau 35.7 5
21 Ian Poulter 35.8 12
22 Gary Woodland 36.4 32
23 Brooks Koepka 36.6 2
24 Charles Howell 36.6 32
25 Marc Leishman 37.4 49
26 Bryson DeChambeau 37.9 29
27 Rafa Cabrera Bello 38.5 36
28 Jordan Spieth 38.6 21
29 Henrik Stenson 40.6 36
30 Bubba Watson 42.3 12
31 Kevin Kisner 42.5 21
32 Tyrrell Hatton 45.3 56
33 Patrick Reed 46.7 36
34 Billy Horschel 47.5 56
35 Phil Mickelson 47.8 18
36 Brandt Snedeker 49.0 73
37 Matthew Fitzpatrick 50.0 21
38 Matt Wallace 50.2 80
39 Lucas Bjerregaard 50.5 21
40 Keith Mitchell 50.9 43
41 Emiliano Grillo 51.2 62
42 Cameron Smith 51.5 51
43 Alex Noren 51.8 62
44 Zach Johnson 51.8 58
45 Keegan Bradley 52.2 43
46 Haotong Li 53.2 43
47 Si Woo Kim 53.5 21
48 Branden Grace 54.0 58
49 Kevin Na 54.2 46
50 Charley Hoffman 54.9 29
51 Aaron Wise 57.4 17
52 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 57.6 49
53 Thorbjorn Olesen 58.1 21
54 Eddie Pepperell 58.4 51
55 Shane Lowry 59.2 78
56 JB Holmes 59.4 62
57 Kyle Stanley 61.3 21
58 Danny Willett 64.3 66
59 Jimmy Walker 64.3 36
60 Justin Harding 64.4 12
61 Stewart Cink 64.7 66
62 Corey Conners 65.0 46
63 Charl Schwartzel 65.3 73
64 Kevin Tway 65.9 36
65 Patton Kizzire 66.7 18
66 Martin Kaymer 68.5 51
67 Adam Long 69.2 73
68 Andrew Landry 71.0 46
69 Satoshi Kodaira 71.1 61
70 Vijay Singh 71.7 84
71 Shugo Imahira 73.4 77
72 Trevor Immelman 73.8 51
73 Michael Kim 75.2 82
74 Fred Couples 78.0 73
75 Bernhard Langer 79.0 62
76 Angel Cabrera 79.6 86
77 Viktor Hovland 81.1 32
78 Larry Mize 81.3 78
79 Mike Weir 81.3 66
80 Jose Maria Olazabal 81.8 86
81 Takumi Kanaya 81.8 58
82 Sandy Lyle 82.0 66
83 Jovan Rebula 82.0 80
84 Ian Woosnam 82.1 84
85 Devon Bling 82.2 55
86 Kevin O’Connell 82.2 66
87 Alvaro Ortiz 82.2 36
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The accuracy number for these picks is 284. The average is 139. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of predictions from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order starting with the top pick to win the event. The Finish Estimate reflects each player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, and recent performance in the event. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public.
 

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