15
Jul

148th Open Championship

Thomas Hawley 0 comment
Rory McIlroy
Rory McIlroy
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Rory McIlroy -9.1 74
2 Patrick Cantlay 8.8 41
3 Justin Rose 10.7 20
4 Adam Scott 11.2 139
5 Tiger Woods 12.7 119
6 Jon Rahm 17.1 11
7 Dustin Johnson 17.3 51
8 Hideki Matsuyama 18.2 87
9 Xander Schauffele 20.0 41
10 Matt Kuchar 20.5 41
11 Webb Simpson 21.6 30
12 Justin Thomas 28.0 11
13 Jason Day 28.6 74
14 Paul Casey 28.9 57
15 Gary Woodland 30.5 87
16 Henrik Stenson 31.7 20
17 Bryson DeChambeau 31.8 107
18 Jordan Spieth 32.2 20
19 Tommy Fleetwood 33.3 2
20 Brooks Koepka 33.7 4
21 Marc Leishman 34.0 135
22 Rickie Fowler 35.2 6
23 Francesco Molinari 37.0 11
24 Billy Horschel 38.9 107
25 Rafa Cabrera Bello 39.3 119
26 Chez Reavie 41.5 87
27 Sergio Garcia 41.9 67
28 Ian Poulter 42.7 127
29 Jason Kokrak 42.7 32
30 Shane Lowry 43.1 1
31 Jim Furyk 43.5 63
32 Matt Wallace 43.5 51
33 Patrick Reed 43.6 10
34 Louis Oosthuizen 43.9 20
35 Byeong Hun An 44.6 32
36 Lucas Glover 45.0 20
37 Tyrrell Hatton 45.1 6
38 Rory Sabbatini 46.2 16
39 Brandt Snedeker 46.2 74
40 Charles Howell 46.4 DNP
41 Adam Hadwin 46.6 57
42 Ryan Palmer 46.9 127
43 Tony Finau 47.2 3
44 Joaquin Niemann 48.0 107
45 Emiliano Grillo 48.2 146
46 Sungjae Im 48.4 139
47 Matthew Fitzpatrick 48.7 20
48 Kevin Kisner 49.9 30
49 Kevin Streelman 51.6 57
50 Michael Lorenzo-Vera 52.6 135
51 Andrew Putnam 52.6 32
52 Zach Johnson 52.9 98
53 Danny Willett 53.1 6
54 Phil Mickelson 53.4 135
55 Doc Redman 54.0 20
56 Abraham Ancer 54.0 74
57 Russell Knox 54.2 41
58 Eddie Pepperell 54.7 71
59 Haotong Li 55.0 98
60 Graeme McDowell 55.0 57
61 Keegan Bradley 55.1 74
62 Lee Westwood 55.9 4
63 Alex Noren 56.6 11
64 Bubba Watson 56.6 51
65 Thomas Pieters 56.9 67
66 Andy Sullivan 57.4 139
67 Aaron Wise 58.1 41
68 Erik Van Rooyen 58.2 20
69 Bernd Wiesberger 58.6 32
70 Kyle Stanley 58.9 41
71 Thorbjorn Olesen 59.3 57
72 Nate Lashley 59.4 74
73 Cameron Smith 59.6 20
74 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 60.1 32
75 Luke List 60.6 127
76 CT Pan 61.0 139
77 Charley Hoffman 61.5 51
78 Lucas Bjerregaard 62.2 16
79 Joel Dahmen 62.3 119
80 Andrea Pavan 62.4 127
81 Sung Kang 62.8 98
82 Branden Grace 63.0 51
83 Joost Luiten 63.4 32
84 Jorge Campillo 63.9 127
85 Dylan Frittelli 63.9 32
86 Alexander Bjork 64.4 107
87 Keith Mitchell 64.4 74
88 Jimmy Walker 64.7 119
89 JB Holmes 64.7 67
90 Si Woo Kim 65.2 87
91 Romain Langasque 65.3 63
92 Paul Waring 66.2 63
93 Stewart Cink 66.3 20
94 Justin Harding 66.4 41
95 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 66.7 87
96 Richard Sterne 67.6 139
97 Jazz Janewattananond 67.6 107
98 Tom Lewis 67.9 11
99 Adri Arnaus 68.3 135
100 David Lipsky 68.5 98
101 Robert Rock 68.7 107
102 Adrian Otaegui 68.9 87
103 Oliver Wilson 69.3 119
104 Patton Kizzire 69.4 98
105 Corey Conners 69.8 119
106 Mikko Korhonen 70.0 63
107 Ryan Fox 70.4 16
108 Miguel Angel Jimenez 70.9 153
109 Brandon Stone 71.0 107
110 Chris Wood 71.1 87
111 Ernie Els 71.3 32
112 Alexander Levy 71.4 74
113 Robert MacIntyre 71.7 6
114 Padraig Harrington 71.8 87
115 Shubhankar Sharma 72.6 51
116 Kurt Kitayama 72.9 87
117 Callum Shinkwin 73.1 41
118 Zander Lombard 73.2 119
119 Yuta Ikeda 73.8 139
120 Jake McLeod 74.7 107
121 Prom Meesawat 74.9 150
122 Connor Syme 75.0 74
123 Dimitrios Papadatos 75.1 153
124 Shaun Norris 75.2 127
125 Matthew Baldwin 75.3 98
126 Austin Connelly 75.9 150
127 Darren Clarke 76.1 87
128 Shugo Imahira 76.6 146
129 Paul Lawrie 76.9 107
130 Jack Senior 77.4 98
131 Garrick Porteous 77.4 146
132 Dong-kyu Jang 77.4 87
133 Brandon Wu 77.5 127
134 Yoshinori Fujimoto 77.7 98
135 Doyeob Mun 78.2 98
136 Chan Kim 78.4 127
137 Sang-hyun Park 78.5 16
138 Gunn Charoenkul 78.9 119
139 Mikumu Horikawa 79.0 107
140 Yosuke Asaji 79.3 67
141 Yuki Inamori 79.4 72
142 Inn-choon Hwang 81.5 41
143 Takumi Kanaya 81.8 74
144 Tom Lehman 82.1 150
145 Sam Locke 82.2 146
146 Isidro Benitez 82.2 107
147 Curtis Knipes 82.2 139
148 Matthias Schmid 82.2 107
149 James Sugrue 82.2 74
150 Thomas Thurloway 82.2 155
151 Ashton Turner 82.2 57
152 Andrew Wilson 82.2 32
153 David Duval 82.2 156
Benjamin Hebert late entry 43
Nino Bertasio late entry 72
Andrew Johnston late entry 80
Brian Harman late entry 85
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The accuracy number for these picks is 5. The average is 134. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful in this event in the last eight years.

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