05
Aug

The Northern Trust

Thomas Hawley 0 comment
Rory McIlroy
Rory McIlroy
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Rory McIlroy 4.6 6
2 Jon Rahm 10.5 3
3 Justin Rose 12.7 10
4 Dustin Johnson 16.5 24
5 Patrick Cantlay 16.9 12
6 Webb Simpson 17.0 18
7 Justin Thomas 18.9 12
8 Tiger Woods 20.1 WD
9 Tommy Fleetwood 21.0 43
10 Adam Scott 26.1 5
11 Brooks Koepka 26.4 30
12 Xander Schauffele 28.0 86
13 Paul Casey 29.5 DNP
14 Matt Kuchar 30.5 95
15 Collin Morikawa 32.3 52
16 Francesco Molinari 33.9 82
17 Henrik Stenson 35.1 DNP
18 Rickie Fowler 35.1 86
19 Rory Sabbatini 35.4 43
20 Hideki Matsuyama 35.6 30
21 Billy Horschel 36.2 21
22 Tony Finau 37.7 30
23 Shane Lowry 38.7 52
24 Rafa Cabrera Bello 38.8 DNP
25 Marc Leishman 38.9 102
26 Ian Poulter 38.9 10
27 Patrick Reed 39.3 1
28 Bubba Watson 39.5 107
29 Lucas Glover 39.7 43
30 Jason Day 39.7 86
31 Jason Kokrak 40.2 12
32 Jordan Spieth 41.3 6
33 Bryson DeChambeau 41.3 24
34 Louis Oosthuizen 42.7 6
35 Gary Woodland 43.9 52
36 Charles Howell 44.2 95
37 Tyrrell Hatton 44.6 59
38 Byeong Hun An 44.7 38
39 Jim Furyk 45.9 52
40 Matthew Wolff 46.2 71
41 Sungjae Im 48.3 38
42 Kevin Kisner 48.6 12
43 Sergio Garcia 49.2 112
44 Brandt Snedeker 50.6 6
45 Joaquin Niemann 51.3 30
46 Ryan Palmer 51.3 77
47 Scott Piercy 51.3 67
48 Adam Hadwin 51.8 43
49 Danny Willett 52.1 24
50 Andrew Putnam 52.5 12
51 Chez Reavie 52.7 38
52 Cameron Smith 53.0 59
53 Vaughn Taylor 53.4 30
54 Ryan Moore 53.4 18
55 Emiliano Grillo 54.0 86
56 Brian Harman 54.3 52
57 Kevin Na 54.7 77
58 Kyle Stanley 54.8 71
59 Abraham Ancer 56.0 2
60 JT Poston 56.1 59
61 Keegan Bradley 56.6 64
62 Aaron Wise 56.9 43
63 Russell Knox 57.5 112
64 Bud Cauley 57.5 WD
65 Martin Laird 57.9 83
66 Cameron Tringale 58.8 86
67 Kevin Streelman 59.6 95
68 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 59.8 71
69 Phil Mickelson 60.2 71
70 Roger Sloan 60.2 64
71 Graeme McDowell 60.6 95
72 Sam Burns 60.8 DNP
73 Nick Watney 61.7 59
74 Wyndham Clark 61.7 18
75 Luke List 61.8 77
76 Dylan Frittelli 61.9 43
77 Nate Lashley 62.1 95
78 Brice Garnett 62.2 107
79 Russell Henley 62.2 59
80 Brian Stuard 62.4 52
81 Sepp Straka 62.6 107
82 Nick Taylor 62.9 86
83 Si Woo Kim 63.0 84
84 Denny McCarthy 63.0 102
85 Joel Dahmen 63.1 67
86 Jhonattan Vegas 63.2 38
87 Aaron Baddeley 63.4 WD
88 Charley Hoffman 63.6 77
89 Michael Thompson 63.9 86
90 Peter Malnati 64.0 102
91 CT Pan 64.1 24
92 Keith Mitchell 64.1 64
93 Sung Kang 64.4 95
94 Mackenzie Hughes 64.6 67
95 Chesson Hadley 64.7 43
96 JB Holmes 64.8 52
97 Troy Merritt 65.3 12
98 Andrew Landry 65.4 30
99 Pat Perez 65.5 86
100 Branden Grace 65.5 30
101 Scott Stallings 65.6 114
102 Corey Conners 65.6 21
103 Max Homa 65.6 38
104 Sebastian Munoz 65.7 43
105 Matt Jones 65.9 30
106 Scott Brown 66.1 76
107 JJ Spaun 66.2 114
108 Jonas Blixt 66.3 107
109 Ryan Armour 66.3 43
110 Harold Varner 66.3 3
111 Talor Gooch 66.4 71
112 Patton Kizzire 66.5 86
113 Carlos Ortiz 66.7 67
114 Adam Schenk 66.7 24
115 Kevin Tway 66.8 24
116 Sam Ryder 66.8 107
117 Matt Every 66.8 95
118 Patrick Rodgers 66.8 102
119 Brian Gay 66.9 118
120 KH Lee 68.0 102
121 Chris Stroud 68.1 WD
122 Adam Long 68.3 114
123 Danny Lee 68.5 81
124 Kelly Kraft 71.5 114
125 Cameron Champ 72.4 21
More | Less
The accuracy number for these picks is 113. The average is 135. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

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