09
Mar

The Players Championship

Thomas Hawley 0 comment
Rory McIlroy
Rory McIlroy
Pick Player Finish Estimate Observed Odds Course fit
1 Rory McIlroy -11.5 12-1 70.5
2 Jon Rahm 6.8 20-1 71.3
3 Webb Simpson 16.1 25-1 71.0
4 Hideki Matsuyama 17.1 25-1 71.1
5 Justin Thomas 17.9 25-1 71.2
6 Patrick Cantlay 21.9 30-1 71.2
7 Tommy Fleetwood 25.8 35-1 71.0
8 Dustin Johnson 27.3 40-1 72.0
9 Tyrrell Hatton 28.9 40-1
10 Adam Scott 30.2 45-1 71.0
11 Bryson DeChambeau 30.6 45-1 71.1
12 Xander Schauffele 31.3 45-1 71.0
13 Brooks Koepka 33.6 50-1
14 Jason Day 34.6 55-1 72.3
15 Sungjae Im 35.1 55-1 71.5
16 Justin Rose 36.8 60-1
17 Patrick Reed 36.8 60-1 72.0
18 Billy Horschel 37.1 60-1 72.0
19 Matt Kuchar 39.2 70-1 72.4
20 Paul Casey 40.4 75-1 71.4
21 Marc Leishman 42.2 80-1 71.4
22 Byeong Hun An 42.6 85-1 71.9
23 Collin Morikawa 43.2 85-1 71.4
24 Ian Poulter 43.4 85-1 72.1
25 Louis Oosthuizen 43.9 90-1 71.3
26 Daniel Berger 44.1 90-1 71.8
27 Brandt Snedeker 44.2 90-1 72.4
28 Tony Finau 44.2 90-1 71.3
29 Shane Lowry 44.6 95-1 71.5
30 Rickie Fowler 44.6 95-1 72.1
31 Gary Woodland 44.8 95-1 71.0
32 Matthew Fitzpatrick 45.0 95-1 72.0
33 Joel Dahmen 46.1 100-1 72.2
34 Ryan Palmer 48.7 100-1 72.1
35 Henrik Stenson 49.3 100-1 72.0
36 Scottie Scheffler 49.6 100-1 71.4
37 Max Homa 49.6 100-1 72.2
38 Abraham Ancer 49.6 100-1 71.5
39 Sergio Garcia 49.8 100-1 71.4
40 Jason Kokrak 49.9 100-1 71.7
41 Scott Piercy 49.9 100-1 72.0
42 Ryan Moore 50.4 100-1 71.9
43 Rafa Cabrera Bello 50.5 100-1 72.7
44 Kevin Na 51.6 150-1 72.2
45 Francesco Molinari 51.7 150-1 72.8
46 Harris English 53.0 150-1 71.2
47 Sung Kang 53.9 150-1 71.9
48 Kevin Kisner 54.0 150-1 72.5
49 Jordan Spieth 54.2 150-1 72.8
50 Adam Hadwin 54.3 150-1 71.7
51 Bubba Watson 54.4 150-1 71.4
52 Jim Furyk 54.5 150-1 71.6
53 Lanto Griffin 54.7 150-1 71.8
54 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 55.4 200-1 72.6
55 Andrew Putnam 55.7 200-1 72.2
56 Harold Varner 57.0 200-1 71.7
57 Wyndham Clark 57.0 200-1 72.2
58 Chez Reavie 57.0 200-1 72.5
59 Victor Perez 57.1 200-1 70.6
60 Danny Willett 57.4 250-1 72.8
61 Talor Gooch 57.4 250-1 71.9
62 Sebastian Munoz 57.5 250-1 71.7
63 Viktor Hovland 57.5 250-1 72.3
64 Carlos Ortiz 57.5 250-1 71.7
65 JT Poston 57.6 250-1 72.2
66 Vaughn Taylor 57.6 250-1 72.7
67 Rory Sabbatini 58.0 250-1 72.8
68 Erik Van Rooyen 58.1 250-1 71.8
69 Keegan Bradley 58.3 250-1 72.2
70 Bud Cauley 58.4 250-1 72.1
71 Bernd Wiesberger 58.7 250-1 71.9
72 JB Holmes 58.7 250-1 72.7
73 Keith Mitchell 58.9 250-1 72.5
74 Danny Lee 59.0 250-1 71.9
75 Brendon Todd 59.4 300-1 72.7
76 Charles Howell 59.4 300-1 71.8
77 Graeme McDowell 59.6 300-1 72.4
78 Mark Hubbard 59.8 300-1 72.1
79 Brian Harman 60.0 300-1 72.2
80 Tom Hoge 60.0 300-1 72.1
81 Jhonattan Vegas 60.0 300-1 72.2
82 Maverick McNealy 60.1 300-1 72.1
83 Cameron Smith 60.3 300-1 72.1
84 Cameron Tringale 60.3 300-1 71.6
85 Russell Knox 60.5 300-1 71.5
86 Matt Wallace 60.8 350-1 73.3
87 Emiliano Grillo 61.0 350-1 71.8
88 Joaquin Niemann 61.0 350-1 71.7
89 Lucas Glover 61.4 350-1 72.1
90 Patrick Rodgers 61.6 350-1 72.1
91 Nick Taylor 61.7 350-1 71.9
92 Phil Mickelson 61.8 350-1 72.4
93 Adam Long 61.9 400-1 71.9
94 Corey Conners 62.0 400-1 71.6
95 Matthew NeSmith 62.3 400-1 71.7
96 Russell Henley 62.4 400-1 71.9
97 Kevin Streelman 62.6 400-1 72.2
98 Brice Garnett 62.8 400-1 72.4
99 Harry Higgs 63.0 400-1 72.1
100 Denny McCarthy 63.8 500-1 72.1
101 Dylan Frittelli 63.9 500-1 72.7
102 Matt Jones 64.0 500-1 72.3
103 Cameron Davis 64.0 500-1 71.9
104 Luke List 64.1 500-1 71.9
105 Sam Burns 64.3 500-1 72.5
106 Cameron Champ 64.5 500-1 71.5
107 Troy Merritt 64.6 500-1 72.5
108 Jimmy Walker 64.6 500-1 72.2
109 Charley Hoffman 64.7 500-1 72.2
110 KH Lee 64.7 500-1 72.4
111 Branden Grace 64.9 500-1 71.2
112 Kevin Tway 65.0 500-1 71.8
113 Nate Lashley 65.0 500-1 72.4
114 Brendan Steele 65.2 600-1 71.5
115 Andrew Landry 65.3 600-1 72.7
116 Zach Johnson 65.4 600-1 72.4
117 Brian Stuard 65.5 600-1 72.8
118 Nick Watney 65.7 600-1 71.5
119 Pat Perez 65.8 600-1 72.1
120 Matthew Wolff 66.3 600-1 72.2
121 Aaron Wise 66.4 600-1 71.9
122 Adam Schenk 66.5 600-1 72.0
123 Scott Brown 66.7 600-1 72.8
124 Kyle Stanley 66.8 600-1 72.2
125 CT Pan 67.0 600-1 72.9
126 Martin Laird 67.2 600-1 71.9
127 Aaron Baddeley 67.2 600-1 72.7
128 Chesson Hadley 67.3 600-1 71.8
129 Zac Blair 67.4 600-1 73.1
130 Robby Shelton 67.5 600-1 72.1
131 Kiradech Aphibarnrat 67.6 600-1 72.0
132 Mackenzie Hughes 67.8 600-1 72.6
133 Si Woo Kim 67.9 600-1 72.9
134 Bronson Burgoon 68.1 600-1 72.1
135 Peter Malnati 68.2 600-1 73.3
136 Brian Gay 68.3 600-1 72.4
137 Sam Ryder 68.7 600-1 72.0
138 Jason Dufner 68.7 600-1 72.5
139 Sepp Straka 69.1 600-1 72.0
140 Henrik Norlander 69.3 600-1 72.3
141 Xinjun Zhang 69.4 600-1 72.0
142 Michael Thompson 70.0 600-1 73.0
143 Matt Every 70.0 600-1 72.8
144 Ryan Armour 70.2 600-1 72.8
145 Scott Stallings 70.5 600-1 72.1
146 JJ Spaun 70.7 600-1 72.5
147 Jazz Janewattananond 71.0 600-1 72.0
148 Roger Sloan 71.7 600-1 73.2
149 Scott Harrington 71.8 600-1 72.0
150 Chris Stroud 72.2 600-1 73.0
151 Tyler Duncan 72.8 600-1 72.6
152 Patton Kizzire 72.9 600-1 73.0
153 Jim Herman 76.1 600-1 73.3
154 Retief Goosen 76.5 600-1
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Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

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