11
Jul

The 149th Open

Thomas Hawley 0 comment
Jon Rahm
Jon Rahm
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Jon Rahm 25.7 3
2 Rory McIlroy 28.0 46
3 Xander Schauffele 30.4 26
4 Brooks Koepka 33.6 6
5 Jordan Spieth 35.3 2
6 Louis Oosthuizen 36.7 3
7 Collin Morikawa 37.1 1
8 Patrick Cantlay 37.7 98
9 Patrick Reed 38.4 98
10 Dustin Johnson 41.6 8
11 Justin Thomas 41.9 40
12 Scottie Scheffler 42.2 8
13 Paul Casey 42.7 15
14 Harris English 43.2 46
15 Daniel Berger 43.2 8
16 Bryson DeChambeau 43.8 33
17 Tyrrell Hatton 44.4 78
18 Brian Harman 44.9 19
19 Webb Simpson 45.0 19
20 Tony Finau 46.0 15
21 Abraham Ancer 46.3 59
22 Matthew Fitzpatrick 46.9 26
23 Shane Lowry 50.8 12
24 Adam Scott 51.1 46
25 Russell Henley 52.8 78
26 Viktor Hovland 53.0 12
27 Jason Kokrak 53.4 26
28 Charley Hoffman 53.5 98
29 Jason Day 53.8 125
30 Joaquin Niemann 54.0 59
31 Alex Noren 54.1 125
32 Justin Rose 54.3 46
33 Sergio Garcia 55.2 19
34 Tommy Fleetwood 55.3 33
35 Corey Conners 55.6 15
36 Rickie Fowler 55.8 53
37 Keegan Bradley 56.1 78
38 Will Zalatoris 56.6 WD
39 Cameron Smith 56.6 33
40 Ryan Palmer 56.7 78
41 Kevin Kisner 57.0 73
42 Ian Poulter 57.1 26
43 Kevin Streelman 57.3 19
44 Talor Gooch 57.6 33
45 Cameron Tringale 57.8 26
46 Sam Burns 58.0 76
47 Marc Leishman 58.1 78
48 Branden Grace 58.3 98
49 Max Homa 58.5 40
50 Zach Johnson 59.7 DNP
51 Francesco Molinari 60.0 78
52 Matt Kuchar 61.3 130
53 Lee Westwood 61.3 59
54 Chris Kirk 61.6 78
55 Billy Horschel 61.7 53
56 Guido Migliozzi 62.3 78
57 Stewart Cink 62.5 98
58 Robert MacIntyre 62.6 8
59 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 62.7 53
60 Gary Woodland 63.2 98
61 Lanto Griffin 64.0 33
62 Lucas Glover 64.6 125
63 Joel Dahmen 64.6 46
64 Carlos Ortiz 64.9 125
65 Emiliano Grillo 64.9 12
66 Phil Mickelson 65.3 152
67 Brendon Todd 65.7 98
68 Erik Van Rooyen 66.1 98
69 Matt Wallace 66.5 40
70 Troy Merritt 66.6 98
71 Victor Perez 66.9 78
72 Danny Willett 67.0 33
73 Sebastian Munoz 67.4 78
74 Martin Kaymer 67.4 78
75 Bernd Wiesberger 67.6 59
76 Matt Jones 67.6 98
77 Brandt Snedeker 67.6 19
78 Chez Reavie 67.7 59
79 Henrik Stenson 68.4 78
80 Thomas Detry 68.5 130
81 Adam Hadwin 68.5 115
82 Andy Sullivan 68.9 26
83 Mac Hughes 69.2 6
84 Richard Bland 69.2 67
85 Ryan Fox 69.8 67
86 Antoine Rozner 70.0 59
87 Matthias Schwab 70.2 98
88 Keith Mitchell 70.6 115
89 Jason Scrivener 70.9 115
90 Min Woo Lee 70.9 98
91 Padraig Harrington 71.2 72
92 Rafa Cabrera Bello 71.3 98
93 Byeong Hun An 71.4 26
94 Johannes Veerman 71.4 46
95 Kurt Kitayama 71.6 78
96 Aaron Rai 71.7 19
97 CT Pan 72.2 136
98 Justin Harding 72.5 19
99 Joost Luiten 72.9 136
100 Garrick Higgo 73.1 142
101 Dean Burmester 73.3 40
102 Jimmy Walker 73.7 78
103 Marcus Armitage 74.0 53
104 Mike Lorenzo-Vera 74.2 115
105 Louis de Jager 74.5 DNP
106 Jack Senior 74.5 67
107 Marcus Kinhult 74.8 78
108 Romain Langasque 75.0 136
109 Benjamin Hebert 75.0 33
110 Paul Waring 75.6 142
111 Jorge Campillo 75.6 78
112 Jazz Janewattananond 75.8 46
113 Marcel Schneider 77.0 145
114 Richard Mansell 77.2 74
115 Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 78.1 115
116 Rikard Karlberg 78.3 78
117 Aaron Pike 81.7 145
118 Sam Bairstow 82.5 136
119 Christoffer Bring 82.5 136
120 Ricardo Celia 82.5 115
121 Daniel Croft 82.5 153
122 David Duval 82.5 DNP
123 Sam Forgan 82.5 150
124 Abel Gallegos 82.5 145
125 Ben Hutchinson 82.5 145
126 Joe Long 82.5 130
127 Nicholas Poppleton 82.5 142
128 Laird Shepherd 82.5 98
129 Connor Worsdall 82.5 150
130 Cole Hammer 82.5 130
131 Darren Clarke 83.1 130
132 Haotong Li 142.2 115
133 Lucas Herbert 150.0 98
134 Shaun Norris 150.0 98
135 Chan Kim 150.0 53
136 Rikuya Hoshino 150.0 130
137 Takumi Kanaya 150.0 78
138 Daniel van Tonder 150.0 40
139 Jaco Ahlers 150.0 136
140 Brad Kennedy 150.0 125
141 Ryosuke Kinoshita 150.0 59
142 Matthias Schmid 150.0 59
143 Yuki Inamori 150.0 154
144 JC Ritchie 150.0 40
145 Ernie Els 150.0 115
146 Deyen Lawson 150.0 155
147 Ryutaro Nagano 150.0 78
148 Yuxin Lin 150.0 74
149 Daniel Hillier 150.0 98
150 Richard T Lee 150.0 115
151 Poom Saksansin 150.0 76
152 Jonathan Thomson 150.0 53
Dylan Frittelli late entry 5
Marcel Siem late entry 17
Brendan Steele late entry 67
Sam Horsfield late entry 70
Harold Varner late entry 86
John Catlin late entry 119
Adam Long late entry 147
The accuracy number for these picks is 164. The average is 135. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

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