15
Aug

The Northern Trust

Thomas Hawley 0 comment
Jon Rahm
Jon Rahm
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Jon Rahm 20.1 3
2 Dustin Johnson 30.3 76
3 Xander Schauffele 33.1 16
4 Daniel Berger 33.6 56
5 Rory McIlroy 34.0 43
6 Bryson DeChambeau 36.9 31
7 Brooks Koepka 37.3 31
8 Tony Finau 38.4 1
9 Harris English 38.5 31
10 Jordan Spieth 39.9 73
11 Paul Casey 40.8 64
12 Patrick Cantlay 41.1 11
13 Louis Oosthuizen 41.6 DNP
14 Collin Morikawa 42.2 124
15 Justin Thomas 42.3 4
16 Webb Simpson 43.1 47
17 Scottie Scheffler 43.7 43
18 Abraham Ancer 45.0 64
19 Adam Scott 46.7 76
20 Cameron Smith 47.9 2
21 Hideki Matsuyama 48.7 43
22 Viktor Hovland 51.8 43
23 Sam Burns 51.8 21
24 Joaquin Niemann 51.8 47
25 Matthew Fitzpatrick 52.7 88
26 Jason Kokrak 53.6 76
27 Tyrrell Hatton 53.8 97
28 Patrick Reed 53.9 DNP
29 Russell Henley 54.1 56
30 Bubba Watson 54.7 88
31 Max Homa 55.1 47
32 Kevin Na 55.5 8
33 Sergio Garcia 56.2 88
34 Talor Gooch 56.6 31
35 Corey Conners 56.7 8
36 Shane Lowry 57.1 11
37 Ryan Palmer 57.4 76
38 Ian Poulter 57.4 31
39 Cameron Tringale 58.2 21
40 Jason Day 58.2 112
41 Jhonattan Vegas 58.4 76
42 Brian Harman 58.6 75
43 Kevin Streelman 59.0 64
44 Alex Noren 59.8 4
45 Sungjae Im 60.3 16
46 Kevin Kisner 60.4 119
47 Charl Schwartzel 60.6 88
48 Charley Hoffman 60.7 21
49 Justin Rose 61.1 DNP
50 Hank Lebioda 61.3 101
51 Cameron Champ 61.3 27
52 Maverick McNealy 61.7 27
53 Gary Woodland 61.7 74
54 Sebastian Munoz 61.9 21
55 Seamus Power 62.0 31
56 Adam Hadwin 62.5 101
57 Marc Leishman 62.5 47
58 Billy Horschel 62.9 31
59 Matthew Wolff 63.0 119
60 Mac Hughes 63.0 27
61 Si Woo Kim 63.4 76
62 Cameron Davis 64.0 31
63 Keegan Bradley 64.2 11
64 Lanto Griffin 65.1 64
65 Luke List 65.4 70
66 Branden Grace 66.1 97
67 Patton Kizzire 66.3 56
68 Emiliano Grillo 66.4 76
69 Lee Westwood 66.5 27
70 Dylan Frittelli 66.6 56
71 Sepp Straka 66.8 88
72 Carlos Ortiz 66.8 47
73 James Hahn 67.1 71
74 Harold Varner 67.2 11
75 JT Poston 67.3 122
76 Erik Van Rooyen 67.3 7
77 Joel Dahmen 67.3 31
78 KH Lee 67.5 47
79 Stewart Cink 67.8 21
80 Wyndham Clark 67.9 115
81 Brendan Steele 68.0 101
82 Matt Wallace 68.0 WD
83 Chris Kirk 68.2 56
84 Pat Perez 68.3 16
85 Scott Piercy 68.5 64
86 Brandon Hagy 68.5 113
87 Brandt Snedeker 68.5 47
88 Phil Mickelson 68.5 101
89 Keith Mitchell 68.8 8
90 Matt Kuchar 69.3 117
91 Lucas Glover 70.2 88
92 Matt Jones 70.4 117
93 Brendon Todd 70.4 115
94 Brian Stuard 70.5 101
95 Henrik Norlander 70.5 101
96 Zach Johnson 70.8 47
97 CT Pan 70.9 101
98 Harry Higgs 71.0 16
99 Adam Long 71.0 88
100 Aaron Wise 71.3 21
101 Doug Ghim 71.5 31
102 Adam Schenk 71.9 31
103 Scott Stallings 72.3 101
104 Sam Ryder 72.6 76
105 Tyler McCumber 73.1 76
106 Troy Merritt 73.1 101
107 Doc Redman 73.1 101
108 Denny McCarthy 73.2 71
109 Chesson Hadley 73.2 88
110 Richy Werenski 73.3 113
111 Kramer Hickok 73.6 56
112 Matthew NeSmith 73.9 97
113 Garrick Higgo 73.9 64
114 Brice Garnett 73.9 88
115 Chez Reavie 74.0 31
116 Kyle Stanley 74.5 76
117 Anirban Lahiri 74.8 56
118 Russell Knox 75.0 76
119 Tom Hoge 75.2 4
120 Martin Laird 75.3 76
121 Hudson Swafford 75.6 11
122 Andrew Putnam 76.0 56
123 Peter Malnati 77.5 47
124 Robert Streb 78.0 16
125 Brian Gay 81.4 101
Roger Sloan late entry 121
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The accuracy number for these picks is 72. The average is 136. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

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