18
Jan

The American Express

Thomas Hawley 0 comment
Jon Rahm
Jon Rahm
Pick Player Finish Estimate Actual Finish
1 Jon Rahm 22.3 14
2 Patrick Cantlay 24.6 9
3 Scottie Scheffler 37.2 25
4 Matthew Wolff 40.9 130
5 Sungjae Im 41.9 11
6 Russell Henley 42.2 14
7 Abraham Ancer 44.8 40
8 Talor Gooch 45.8 81
9 Seamus Power 46.2 14
10 Tony Finau 46.6 40
11 Corey Conners 47.2 111
12 Cameron Tringale 49.8 71
13 Patrick Reed 52.3 55
14 Taylor Moore 54.2 67
15 Justin Rose 55.5 33
16 Alex Noren 56.1 81
17 Hayden Buckley 56.1 122
18 Sebastian Munoz 56.7 144
19 Will Zalatoris 56.9 6
20 Andrew Landry 57.5 140
21 Luke List 57.6 22
22 Brian Harman 57.9 3
23 Adam Hadwin 58.2 25
24 Lanto Griffin 58.4 3
25 Denny McCarthy 58.6 6
26 Adam Long 59.2 81
27 Si Woo Kim 59.2 11
28 Charley Hoffman 59.8 DNP
29 Michael Thompson 59.8 144
30 Harold Varner 60.2 22
31 Rickie Fowler 60.7 140
32 Jhonattan Vegas 60.9 81
33 Carlos Ortiz 61.4 122
34 Christiaan Bezuidenhout 61.7 40
35 Kevin Streelman 62.0 127
36 Aaron Rai 62.8 59
37 Brendan Steele 62.8 130
38 Troy Merritt 63.1 94
39 Jason Day 63.3 49
40 Brendon Todd 63.4 94
41 KH Lee 63.9 63
42 Charles Howell 64.3 25
43 John Huh 64.4 94
44 Gary Woodland 64.7 94
45 Tom Hoge 64.9 2
46 Lucas Glover 65.0 33
47 Chris Kirk 65.1 94
48 Alex Smalley 65.6 25
49 Rory Sabbatini 65.7 136
50 Zach Johnson 65.8 14
51 Cameron Champ 65.8 94
52 Kramer Hickok 65.9 94
53 Chez Reavie 66.4 81
54 Doug Ghim 66.5 59
55 Martin Laird 67.0 DNP
56 Harry Higgs 67.2 40
57 Dylan Frittelli 67.2 94
58 James Hahn 67.3 94
59 Andrew Putnam 67.3 14
60 Russell Knox 67.4 81
61 Adam Schenk 67.5 94
62 Vincent Whaley 67.5 40
63 Robert Streb 67.5 71
64 Scott Stallings 67.7 94
65 CT Pan 67.7 71
66 Wesley Bryan 67.7 130
67 Patton Kizzire 67.9 22
68 Cameron Young 67.9 40
69 Emiliano Grillo 68.0 63
70 Scott Piercy 68.2 71
71 Max McGreevy 68.2 122
72 Henrik Norlander 68.6 63
73 Danny Lee 68.7 81
74 Adam Svensson 69.3 49
75 Wyndham Clark 69.4 13
76 Hank Lebioda 69.5 49
77 Matthew NeSmith 70.4 81
78 Phil Mickelson 70.4 150
79 Francesco Molinari 70.6 6
80 Sepp Straka 70.8 49
81 Taylor Pendrith 70.9 71
82 Patrick Rodgers 70.9 40
83 JJ Spaun 70.9 25
84 Hudson Swafford 71.0 1
85 Tyler McCumber 71.1 94
86 JT Poston 71.2 25
87 Richy Werenski 71.7 130
88 Nick Taylor 71.8 33
89 Andrew Novak 71.9 71
90 Pat Perez 71.9 71
91 Roger Sloan 72.1 14
92 Brandt Snedeker 72.2 14
93 Doc Redman 72.2 71
94 Dylan Wu 72.2 81
95 Chad Ramey 72.3 140
96 Trey Mullinax 72.4 59
97 Brian Stuard 72.5 81
98 Kevin Tway 72.7 94
99 Davis Riley 72.7 59
100 Tyler Duncan 73.0 81
101 Nate Lashley 73.3 148
102 Sahith Theegala 73.4 33
103 Peter Malnati 73.9 116
104 Greyson Sigg 74.0 25
105 Chesson Hadley 74.0 116
106 Sam Ryder 74.1 49
107 Brandon Hagy 74.3 122
108 Joseph Bramlett 74.6 33
109 Brice Garnett 74.8 70
110 Bronson Burgoon 75.0 49
111 Jason Dufner 75.0 40
112 Nick Hardy 75.0 67
113 Jim Herman 75.0 136
114 Camilo Villegas 75.3 33
115 Lee Hodges 75.6 3
116 Ryan Moore 75.7 127
117 Peter Uihlein 75.7 111
118 Nick Watney 75.8 122
119 Anirban Lahiri 75.8 66
120 Ben Kohles 75.8 111
121 Jonathan Byrd 75.8 116
122 Austin Cook 76.0 127
123 Chan Kim 76.1 71
124 David Lipsky 76.2 14
125 Seth Reeves 76.3 148
126 Michael Gligic 76.3 55
127 Dawie van der Walt 76.5 150
128 Jimmy Walker 76.6 136
129 David Skinns 76.7 130
130 Curtis Thompson 76.8 81
131 Luke Donald 77.1 94
132 Sung Kang 77.3 140
133 Justin Lower 77.3 144
134 Martin Trainer 77.7 55
135 Kevin Chappell 78.0 55
136 Chris Stroud 78.1 94
137 Paul Barjon 78.4 10
138 Graeme McDowell 78.5 40
139 Seung-yul Noh 78.6 67
140 Kurt Kitayama 78.9 150
141 Kelly Kraft 78.9 116
142 Brian Gay 79.0 111
143 Scott Gutschewski 79.2 116
144 Bill Haas 79.4 94
145 Brandon Wu 80.1 81
146 Austin Smotherman 80.2 144
147 Brett Drewitt 80.5 94
148 John Pak 81.1 116
149 Jonas Blixt 81.4 156
150 Davis Love 82.2 154
151 TJ Vogel 82.5 130
152 James Du Preez 82.5 154
153 Mark Wilson 82.6 136
154 Kyle Mendoza 82.6 150
Stephen Stallings late entry 32
Jared Wolfe late entry 34
Callum Tarren late entry 78
Joshua Creel late entry 115
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The accuracy number for these picks is 9. The average is 136. (An accuracy number of 1000 would indicate a perfect set of picks from first place through 16th.)

Players are listed in order of preference. The Finish Estimate reflects the player’s Hawley Rating, fit for the course, past performance in this event, and recent performance in tour events. Observed Odds is the frequency that a player actually wins the event, given the listed Finish Estimate and its margin behind the favorite. This differs from betting odds, which reflect take-out by the sports book and sentiment of the public. Course fit reflects the player’s statistical profile in relationship to the statistical profile of players who have been successful on this course in recent events.

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