I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .715 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .335 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	History
Rory McIlroy	0.898
Matthew Fitzpatrick	0.708
Bryson DeChambeau	0.648
Jason Kokrak	0.632
Marc Leishman	0.618
Tyrrell Hatton	0.589
Tommy Fleetwood	0.567
Sungjae Im	0.552

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Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this week’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Jon Rahm	1	1510.0
Scottie Scheffler	6	1117.9
Rory McIlroy	7	1103.7
Viktor Hovland	12	1028.6
Bryson DeChambeau	14	938.6
Paul Casey	15	874.3
Will Zalatoris	16	874.0
Adam Scott	17	871.8

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Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this week.

Player	Rank	Rating
Justin Thomas	2	1341.1
Patrick Cantlay	3	1317.5
Xander Schauffele	4	1253.7
Collin Morikawa	5	1134.6

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Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Sepp Straka	1400.6
Scottie Scheffler	1171.8
Billy Horschel	980.3
Keith Mitchell	956.6
Will Zalatoris	906.1
Cameron Young	896.0
Sam Ryder	876.4
Matthew Fitzpatrick	800.7

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Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Bryson DeChambeau	-870.6
Sam Burns	-767.9
Corey Conners	-697.6
Aaron Wise	-598.4
Matthew Wolff	-553.3
Patrick Reed	-543.9
Adam Long	-379.3
Hayden Buckley	-372.4

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Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this week’s course within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.27	Greens in regulation
0.14	Driving distance
0.07	Shots gained putting
0.05	Shots gained in approach

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Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Player	Course fit
Hayden Buckley	73.66
Jon Rahm	73.78
Jason Kokrak	75.17
Paul Barjon	75.18
Taylor Moore	75.19
Taylor Pendrith	75.28
Will Zalatoris	75.58
Bryson DeChambeau	75.62

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Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Player	Course fit
Martin Trainer	84.2
Danny Willett	81.6
Sung Kang	81.3
Ian Poulter	80.9
Lucas Herbert	80.8
Adam Long	80.6
Tom Hoge	80.5
Peter Malnati	80.2

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In the neighborhood

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2022 and the event venue.

Player	Residence	Distance
Graeme McDowell	Orlando FL	29
Charles Howell	Orlando FL	29
Henrik Stenson	Orlando FL	29
Ian Poulter	Orlando FL	29
Taylor Pendrith	Palm Beach Gardens FL	100
Adam Svensson	Palm Beach Gardens FL	100
Lanto Griffin	Ponte Vedra Beach FL	125
Billy Horschel	Ponte Vedra Beach FL	125

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