I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .715 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .335 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	History
Brice Garnett	0.540
Rafael Campos	0.539
Fabian Gomez	0.522
Ted Potter	0.516
Cameron Percy	0.498
Josh Teater	0.480
Scott Brown	0.461
Aaron Baddeley	0.458

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Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this week’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
John Huh	98	393.8
Nick Taylor	125	326.8
Mark Hubbard	133	300.7
Matthias Schwab	140	288.7
Austin Smotherman	144	285.6
Victor Perez	151	275.4
David Lipsky	153	270.9
Ryan Armour	157	269.6

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Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this week.

Player	Rank	Rating
Jon Rahm	1	1510.0
Justin Thomas	2	1341.1
Patrick Cantlay	3	1317.5
Xander Schauffele	4	1253.7

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Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Nick Taylor	666.6
John Huh	480.6
Boo Weekley	245.7
Satoshi Kodaira	182.8
Bill Haas	177.1
Austin Smotherman	166.0
Kurt Kitayama	133.8
Ryan Armour	110.7

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Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Richy Werenski	-234.9
Kyle Stanley	-233.1
Victor Perez	-232.8
Bo Hoag	-204.7
Max McGreevy	-204.4
Chesson Hadley	-182.9
Tyler Duncan	-175.7
Jim Herman	-167.5

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Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this week’s course within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.29	Shots gained off the tee
0.21	Greens in regulation
0.12	Putts per GIR
0.10	Shots gained around the green

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Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Tyler Duncan	70.47
Seth Reeves	70.72
Austin Smotherman	70.73
Rasmus Hojgaard	70.88
Joseph Bramlett	70.91
Ryan Armour	70.94
David Lipsky	70.99
Nick Hardy	71.02

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Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Seung-yul Noh	73.0
Kiradech Aphibarnrat	72.8
Kelly Kraft	72.4
Victor Perez	72.3
Richy Werenski	72.3
Chesson Hadley	72.3
David Skinns	72.3
Joshua Creel	72.2

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Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2022 and the event venue.

Player	Residence	Distance
Rafael Campos	Guaynabo, Puerto Rico	19
Curtis Thompson	Boynton Beach FL	1075
Peter Uihlein	Jupiter FL	1075
Richy Werenski	Jupiter FL	1075
Camilo Villegas	Jupiter FL	1075
Luke Donald	Jupiter FL	1075
Jim Herman	Palm City FL	1100
Brett Drewitt	Ponte Vedra Beach FL	1275
Jared Wolfe	Ponte Vedra Beach FL	1275
Tyler Duncan	Ponte Vedra Beach FL	1275

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