I love this place!

Entrants ranked on history in the event. The value reflects the player’s success and number of years competed within the last eight years, weighted in favor of more recent seasons. A value of 1.000 would mean the player appeared every year and won every time. A value of about .715 puts the player in the top 1 percent of all players who have played the event at least once in the last eight seasons, a value of .335 puts a player in the top 10 percent.

Player	History
Kelly Kraft	0.355
Joel Dahmen	0.353
Brice Garnett	0.312
David Hearn	0.308
Nate Lashley	0.284
George McNeill	0.274
Graeme McDowell	0.265
Hudson Swafford	0.265

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Top of the heap

The top eight players (per the Hawley Ratings) among this week’s entries.

Player	Rank	Rating
Maverick McNealy	50	655.8
Taylor Pendrith	67	548.5
Sahith Theegala	77	503.0
Joel Dahmen	80	466.8
Jhonattan Vegas	82	457.5
Emiliano Grillo	99	391.0
Adam Svensson	106	378.6
Aaron Rai	112	363.7

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Sorry, can’t make it

The top four players (per the Hawley Ratings) who are not playing this event.

Player	Rank	Rating
Jon Rahm	1	1484.8
Justin Thomas	2	1380.3
Patrick Cantlay	3	1257.5
Cameron Smith	4	1237.8

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Ooh, that’s hot

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Upward change
Brian Stuard	650.9
Taylor Pendrith	414.9
Matthias Schwab	262.5
Brice Garnett	249.9
Kurt Kitayama	214.8
Davis Riley	207.6
Callum Tarren	194.7
Brandon Wu	194.0

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Brr, that’s cold

Players are ranked by performance in their last four appearances in comparison with their current Hawley Rating.

Player	Downward change
Aaron Rai	-357.9
Andrew Putnam	-320.2
Hayden Buckley	-317.8
Hudson Swafford	-297.2
Wyndham Clark	-269.1
Hank Lebioda	-263.0
Roger Sloan	-254.6
Vincent Whaley	-244.9

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Certain skills required

Among a set of 10 PGA Tour and DP World Tour statistics that reflect physical characteristics of the course, this table shows the four that have the highest unique correlation with player performance. Events on this week’s course within the last eight years are considered, and the minimum is 80 player appearances. In mathematical terms, the number shown is the partial correlation coefficient.

Stat value	Statistic
0.34	Greens in regulation
0.16	Putts per GIR
0.10	Scrambling
0.08	Shots gained off the tee

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Location, location, location

Event entrants ranked by predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. based on the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Hayden Buckley	71.62
Nicolai Hojgaard	71.67
Emiliano Grillo	71.79
Austin Smotherman	71.87
Cameron Percy	71.89
Paul Barjon	71.90
Taylor Pendrith	71.93
Seth Reeves	71.94

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Anyplace but here

Event entrants ranked by worst predicted score per 18 holes based solely on “course fit” — i.e. the player’s current percentile standing in each of the four statistics shown above.

Course fit	Player
Martin Trainer	74.0
Wesley Bryan	73.9
Joshua Creel	73.7
Grayson Murray	73.6
Fabian Gomez	73.5
Stephan Jaeger	73.5
Kelly Kraft	73.5
Ted Potter	73.5

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Staying close to home

Exempt entrants ranked by miles between their listed residence as of January 2022 and the event venue.

Player	Residence	Distance
Rafael Campos	Guaynabo, Puerto Rico	150
Curtis Thompson	Boynton Beach FL	925
Peter Uihlein	Jupiter FL	950
Camilo Villegas	Jupiter FL	950
Patrick Rodgers	Palm Beach Gardens FL	950
Kevin Tway	Jupiter FL	950
Hayden Buckley	Naples FL	1000
Taylor Pendrith	Palm Beach Gardens FL	1025
Adam Svensson	Palm Beach Gardens FL	1025

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